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2013年,贸易商会有春天吗?--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2013-01-23
据报道,刚刚过去的2012年对整个煤炭行业来说可谓极其难忘,所谓“黄金”市场并没有延续下来,与2012年初相比,煤价累计跌幅高达20%。国家取消电煤价格双轨制的政策使社会目光集中在煤与电之间。在煤电之间,还存在着大批以“倒煤”为生的人。这群人在市场改革中会迎来春天吗?
According to the report,Just the past 2012 years to the coal industry is very unforgettable,The so-called"gold"The market did not continue down,Compared with the early 2012,Total prices fell as much as 20%.National cancel electric coal price of the double system of social policy focused on between coal and electricity.In the coal between,There are a large number of to"Down coal"make.This group of people in the reform of the market will usher in a spring?
煤炭的黄金10年,涌现出一大批以做煤炭为生的人,投资煤矿是其一,还有一部分人选择做贸易,成为“暴富”的煤老板。然而,2012年,进口煤的大量闯入和汛期丰富的降水打破了贸易商赚钱的美梦。他们堆积在港口和煤场的煤炭不得不低价抛售,很多人赔得一塌糊涂。
Coal gold ten years,Emerging a large number of coal to do a man,Investment is one of coal mine,Others choose to do trade,become"money"Coal boss.however,In 2012,,Import a lot of coal in flood season and abundant precipitation broke the traders make money dreams.They heaped in ports and coal storage coal have to sell at a low price,A lot of people in a big mess to compensate.
煤炭贸易隐性成本很多,大到铁路运输,小到采样化验,利益方众多,都想从中得点好处。业内鱼龙混杂,信用缺失加大了贸易风险。
The coal trade recessive cost a lot,The railway transport,Small to sampling test,Parties many,Want to have some benefits from.The good and evil people mixed up,Credit loss increased trade risk.
就在国家发文提出取消电煤价格双轨制之后,全国各地的煤炭交易中心乐了。他们推出的网上现货交易得到不断推广,煤炭贸易商在这样的平台上可以实现交易透明化,操作规范化,经营风险大大降低。
In national dispatch to cancel electric coal prices after the double,All parts of the country's coal trading center joy.They launched online stock trading constantly promotion,Coal traders in this platform can realize trading transparency,Operation standardization,Operational risk is greatly reduced.
产煤大省山西率先通过中国(太原)煤炭交易中心探索新交易模式,省内铁路和公路运输的煤炭均由交易中心线上配置。
Coal production in Shanxi Province by the Chinese(taiyuan)Coal trading center explore new transaction mode,Province railway and highway transportation coal all by trading center line configuration.
为了规避风险、提高市场流通性和节约交易成本,动力煤和炼焦煤等煤种走进期货市场也指日可待。这些金融衍生品可以有效锁定企业盈利,将未来风险放在可控的范围内。期货市场是开放性的,煤炭贸易商也可以随时参与交易。
In order to avoid risk/Increase market liquidity and save the transaction cost,Steam coal and coking coal, coal into the futures market is not far off.These financial derivatives can effectively lock enterprise profit,Will the future risk in the controllable range.Futures market is open,Coal traders also can at any time in the deal.
40%的焦炭出口关税也在今年1月1日正式取消。业内预计,此举必会带动国内焦炭市场,甚至拉动炼焦煤的进口。焦炭贸易量的上升必会带动炼焦煤贸易量的增加。这也是煤炭贸易商的机会所在。
40% of the coke export tariffs in January 1, officially cancelled.The industry is expected to,This will provide a boost to the domestic coke market,Even pull coking coal imports.The rise of coke trade will drive the increased volume of coking coal.This is also the coal trade business opportunities.
从长期来说,国内外投资机构均看好煤炭贸易。国际能源署曾预计,由于中国等新兴市场的驱动,煤炭将在未来10年超越石油成为世界第一大燃料。中国的煤炭需求以每年3.7%的速度增长,煤炭进口量也将有所增加。
In the long term,Investment institutions at home and abroad are valued coal trade.The international energy agency has forecast,Because of China's emerging markets such as driver,Coal will be in the future ten years beyond the oil becomes one of the world's first big fuel.China's coal demand rising at an annual rate of 3.7%,Coal imports will also increase.
不断净化的市场竞争环境和日趋规范的流通秩序,对于拥有长期稳定客户关系的贸易商而言,无疑是个福音。
Continuous purification market competition environment and more standard circulation order,To have a long-term and stable customer relationship for traders,Is undoubtedly the Gospel.
不得不说的是,当前经济形势仍待明朗,此时谈煤炭市场的走势尚有很多不确定性。全球性的产能过剩不可忽视,经济复苏需要时间,短期内,煤炭市场将不会有大的转变。然而,机遇总是在危机中出现的,当下正是市场自身的调整期,煤炭贸易商也需要自我优化,削减成本,开拓市场,这样才能在严峻的市场中存活下来。
Have to say is,The current economic situation is still to be clear,Now talk about coal market situation has a lot of uncertainty.Global overcapacity can not be ignored,Recovery takes time,In the short term,Coal market will not have big change.however,Opportunities always appear in the crisis,It is the market's period of adjustment,Coal traders also need self optimization,Cut costs,Develops the market,Such ability in severe market to survive.
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