据知名分析师DorabMistry称，随着通货膨胀率放慢，今年印度可能再度上调棕榈油和豆油进口关税，印度政府计划以此保护国内油籽农户的利益。

According to the famous DorabMistry analysts said,With inflation to slow down,This year India may again raised the palm oil and soybean oil import tariffs,The Indian government plans to protect domestic oilseeds farmers' interests.

　　Mistry称，印度政府可能在二月底宣布下一项措施。

Mistry said,The Indian government may be in the end of February announced a measure.

　　Mistry称，印度食用油行业已经要求政府将毛食用油的进口关税上调到10%，将精炼食用油的进口关税上调至17.5%。他认为到2013年3月底进口关税可能会达到这个水平。

Mistry said,India's oil industry has asked the government will hair oil import tariff increase to 10%,Will be refined oil import tariff increase to 17.5%.He thought to the end of March 2013 the import tariff could reach this level.

　　Mistry称，印度大豆和油菜籽农户需要最低3.5-3.8万卢比/吨的价格，才能继续种植油籽作物，这相当于每吨650-710美元。目前大豆价格徘徊在3.24万卢比/吨。

Mistry said,India soybean and rape seed farmers need to lowest 3.5-38000 rupees/tons of price,To continue to grow oilseed crop,This is equivalent to $710 to $650 per ton.At present the soybean prices hovering in the 32400 rupees/ton.

　　这吸引农户转播其他更有价值的农作物，诸如玉米、豌豆和蔬菜等，这意味着印度政府可能在八月底之前将毛食用油进口关税上调到20%，将精炼食用油的进口关税上调至27.5%。

This attract farmers on other more valuable crops,Such as corn/Peas and vegetables,This means that the Indian government may be in late August before hair oil import tariff increase to 20%,Will be refined oil import tariff increase to 27.5%.

　　印度上调进口关税的同时，正值马来西亚维持二月份毛棕榈油出口零关税不变，旨在削减庞大的库存。

India raise import tariffs at the same time,When Malaysia maintain February crude palm oil export zero tariff unchanged,To cut the huge inventory.

　　Mistry称，从8月份开始，俄罗斯和乌克兰葵花油也将上市供应，葵花油价格将会低于豆油，从而压制植物油价格。

Mistry said,Began in August,Russia and Ukraine sunflower oil will also listed supply,Sunflower oil price will be lower than soybean oil,So as to suppress vegetable oil price.

　　本月印度将毛棕榈油进口关税从零上调到了2.5%，同时取消了长达六年的基础进口价格冰冻政策，此举旨在遏制低廉的棕榈油进口。

India this month will be crude palm oil import tariff increase from zero to 2.5%,At the same time is cancelled for six years of basic import prices frozen policy,The move is aimed at containing low palm oil import.

　　Mistry称，印度政策的任何调整都会影响到马来西亚和印尼。即使十二月份马来西亚棕榈油库存达到创纪录的260万吨，棕榈油价格依然高达2400到2500令吉/吨，约合790-820美元。

Mistry said,India policy any changes will affect the Malaysia and Indonesia.Even if December Malaysian palm oil inventory to a record 2.6 million tons,Palm oil price is still as high as 2400 to 2500 ringgit/ton,$790 - $820.

　　Mistry称，这些价格可能不会提振棕榈油需求，因为从五月份开始，棕榈油产量将会提高，而竞争性豆油供应也将会大幅增加。他表示，在可预测的未来，马来西亚棕榈油库存不可能低于200万吨。

Mistry said,The price may not boost palm oil demand,Because from starting in May,Palm oil production will increase,And competitive soybean oil supply will increase.He said,In the predictable future,Malaysian palm oil inventory may not less than 2 million tons.

　　Mistry预计今年1月底马来西亚棕榈油库存可能与去年12月份相当，今年2月到4月期间可能下滑。

Mistry expected this year to the end of may and the Malaysian palm oil inventory is in December,February to April period may be slowing down.

　　Mistry称，印尼棕榈油库存最多降至400万吨左右，从5月份开始印尼棕榈油库存可能再度增加。

Mistry said,Indonesia palm oil stock the most down to 4 million tons,From the beginning in Indonesia palm oil inventory may again increase.

　　印尼目前的棕榈油库存在500万吨左右。

Indonesia palm oil is stock in 5 million tons.