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钢价突然“变脸”贸易商抛货忙--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-02-28
在楼市调控新政和钢材社会库存创新高的双重压力下,节后的钢价突然“变脸”,结束了自去年12月初开始的上涨行情。钢价的急转直下引发了钢贸商的恐慌情绪,不少钢贸商开始急于抛货变现。
In the property market regulation policies and steel under double pressures of social inventory record,After the steel price suddenly"face",The end of the rally since early December.The steel price plummet triggered panic steel trading business,Many steel trading business began to eager to throw the goods sold.
上海一家钢贸企业负责人李先生告诉记者,出于对节后上涨行情的期待,去年年底不少钢贸商都囤了货。“可‘国五条’出台后,钢价‘闻控而跌’,钢贸商的信心受到很大的打击”。
A Shanghai steel trade enterprise director Mr Li told reporters,Due to the holiday rally,Many steel trade are store the goods at the end of last year."Can be‘The five countries’after,Steel prices‘Smell of control and fell’,Steel trading business confidence is a big blow".
“近几天公司对所有的销售人员进行了动员,目标只有一个——尽最大努力‘出货’。”上海一家钢贸企业的销售经理包先生对期货日报记者说,一旦价格继续下跌,想要出货的钢贸商会更多,而市场需求并没有出现太大好转,货将越来越难卖。
"In recent days the company for all sales personnel mobilization,There is only one goal - try our best‘The shipment’."A Shanghai steel trade enterprises, the sales manager Mr Bao told futures daily reporter,If prices continue to fall,Want to ship more steel trade chamber of commerce,The market demand does not get too much better,The goods will become more and more difficult to sell.
西本新干线提供的最新数据显示,昨日螺纹钢HRB400φ25mm全国均价为4017元/吨,下跌19元/吨,HRB335φ25mm为3909元/吨,下跌18元/吨,高线HPB235φ6.5mm为3892元/吨,下跌14元/吨。
XiBen Shinkansen provide according to the latest data,Yesterday rebar HRB400 phi is 25 mm the national average price for 4017 yuan/ton,Down 19 yuan/ton,HRB335 phi is 25 mm for 3909 yuan/ton,Fell 18 yuan/ton,Elevated HPB235 phi is 6.5 mm for 3892 yuan/ton,Down 14 yuan/ton.
“春节期间钢材社会库存大幅攀升,我们已经隐约感觉到钢价有回调的可能,因此一过了春节就赶忙开始大量出货。”上海金通物产有限公司相关负责人告诉记者,由于行情越来越难以把控,特别是大行情的持续时间越来越短,他们这种存货“赌行情”的模式盈利变得越来越困难。
"During the Spring Festival steel social inventories rise sharply,We have already faintly feel that steel prices have the possibility of callback,So a hurried to go out after the Spring Festival."The relevant person in charge of Shanghai jintong products co., LTD told reporters,Because the market is getting more and more difficult to handle,The duration of the especially big market is more and more short,Them in stock"Gambling prices"Pattern of profits is becoming more and more difficult.
另一方面,国内钢材产量还在继续增加。中国钢铁工业协会最新数据显示,2013年2月中旬,重点大中型企业粗钢日均产量为171.86万吨,旬环比增长1.01%。预估2月中旬全国粗钢日均产量为200.61万吨,旬环比增长0.86%。
On the other hand,Domestic steel production continues to increase.The China iron and steel association, according to the latest figures,In the middle of February 2013,Key large and medium-sized enterprises average daily output of 1.7186 million tons of crude steel,Ten-day rose 1.01%.Forecast in mid-february the crude steel output of 2.0061 million tons,Ten-day rose 0.86%.
记者注意到,全国日均粗钢产量时隔9个月后再度重回200万吨以上的高位,距离去年5月上旬的历史最高点204.53万吨也已经相去不远,而重点钢企的日均粗钢产量更是已经创下了历史新高。
Reporters noticed that,National average daily crude steel output after 9 months to return to again after more than 2 million tons of high,From the early in May of last year's all-time high of 2.0453 million tons has also not far from,And focus on the daily crude steel production of the steel companies has hit a record.
“钢厂提前加大产能释放,说明企业看好后市、抢占旺季订单的意愿极为迫切。”西本新干线首席分析师刘秋平认为,供给方单方面过度倾斜,面对的是尚未完全明朗的政策和需求释放情况,这难免会对当前市场形成较大压力,甚至将制约后期消费旺季钢材价格反弹的高度。
"Steel mills to ramp up production capacity in advance to release,Enterprise bullish/Preempt the willingness to peak season order is very urgent."XiBen Shinkansen, chief analyst at LiuQiuPing thought,Supply side unilaterally excessive tilt,Face is not fully clear policies and demand release,This will inevitably to the current market form a larger pressure,Even will restrict the consumption season late steel prices rebound height.
在“我的钢铁”网钢材事业部副总经理张钊看来,近期螺纹钢的价格已经进入了挤泡沫的阶段,在接下来的3月份,上海地区螺纹钢价格突破4000元/吨的可能性不大,“还会是一个消耗低成本资源去库存化的过程,只能等待下一轮的成本推动”。
In the"I steel"Vice general manager, steel net, immediately,Recent rebar prices have entered into a crowded bubble phase,In the next march,Shanghai rebar prices topped 4000 yuan/ton is unlikely,"Also can be a destocking process consumes a low cost resources,Can only wait for the next round of the cost of driving".
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