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我国大豆进口量或将下滑--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-04-29

  据海外媒体报道,国际谷物理事会(IGC)于周五下调当前市场年度中国大豆(4767,19.00,0.40%)进口预估,因国内爆发禽流感。

According to overseas media reports,The international grains council(The IGC)In Friday's downgrade of the current market annual soybean in China(4767,19.00,0.40%)Imports of forecast,Due to the outbreak of avian flu in China.

  在截至9月30日的当前市场年度,IGC下调中国进口量预估200万吨至5900万吨,但仍高于2011/12年度的5710万吨。

On Sept. 30 years of the current market,The The IGC lower Chinese imports estimated 2 million tons to 59 million tons,But still higher than 2011/12 of 57.1 million tons.

  中国大豆进口过去五年的平均增长率为16%,在2012/13年度料放缓至3.3%。

China's soybean imports over the past five years the average growth rate of 16%,Is expected to slow to 3.3% in 2012/13 academic year.

  中国爆发禽流感疫情导致大批家禽被捕杀,增强大豆需求下滑的预期。

Bird flu outbreaks in China lead to lots of birds were killed,Enhance decline in soybean demand forecast.

  大豆压榨后的豆粕(3172,48.00,1.54%)用于制作动物饲料。中国是全球最大的大豆进口国,占全球贸易的60%,主要从美国和南美进行进口。

After the crushing of soybean meal(3172,48.00,1.54%)Used to produce animal feed.China is the world's largest soybean importer,Accounted for 60% of global trade,Main imports from the United States and South America.

  政府预估数据显示,在截至3月的六个月内,中国大豆进口量减少9%。贸易商称,这主要是因为巴西港口拥挤严重,导致发运延迟。

The government estimates show,In the six months ending in March,China's soybean imports by 9%.Traders said,This is mainly because the Brazilian port congestion is serious,Lead to delay of shipment.

  南美经纪公司CosurSA主管FreddyPranteda称:“禽流感将在下半年影响大豆需求,因中国已满足6月前的大豆进口需求。”

South American brokerage FreddyPranteda CosurSA director said:"In the second half of the bird flu will affect soybean demand,Because China has meet the soybean import demand until June."

  IGC下调中国2012/13年度大豆消费量预估80万吨至7530万吨,但这一水平仍将处于纪录高位。

The IGC downgraded China 2012/13 soybean consumption forecast 800000 tons to 75.3 million tons,But this level will remain at record highs.



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