美国总统奥巴马日前表示，到2020年，美国可能会成为天然气净出口国。有媒体指出，这是一个最强烈信号，表明奥巴马支持扩大海外能源销售，奥巴马政府暗示支持建设更多设施以出口液化天然气。

美国总统奥巴马日前表示,By 2020,It can be a net exporter of natural gas in the United States.The media pointed out that,This is one of the most strong signal,Showed Obama's support to expand overseas energy sales,The Obama administration signaled support building more facilities to exporting liquefied natural gas (LNG).

　　据悉，近年来，得益于页岩气开发技术革命，美国天然气开采蓬勃发展、产量激增，天然气价格长期维持在低位。早在去年12月，美国能源部下属能源情报署就曾发布报告预测称，美国能源消费结构将发生重大变化，未来数年美国自产能源、新能源使用比例不断上升，能源进口不断减少，并将于2020年成为天然气净出口国。

It is understood,In recent years,Thanks to the shale gas development technology revolution,The U.S. natural gas drilling boom/A surge in production,Natural gas prices remain low for a long time.As early as December last year,The U.S. department of energy (doe) subordinates according to the energy information administration has issued a report forecasting,America will be major changes in energy consumption structure,The produced energy over the next few years/Rising proportion of new energy use,Energy imports,And will become a net exporter of natural gas in 2020.

　　根据美国能源信息局上个月底发布的报告，过去20年里，天然气在美国成为替代煤炭发电的重要力量，尤其是2009年后，由于天然气价格低迷和其清洁环保的优势，用天然气发电的电厂大增。而鉴于美国现在相对较小的天然气出口量、美国天然气价格低于国际市场的事实，美国天然气生产商正在寻找新的市场。2月，代表美国500多家油气企业的美国石油协会呼吁能源部批准天然气出口，预计从2015年到2035年，出口天然气可为美国经济增长贡献7000亿美元，并为美国年均创造21.3万个就业机会。但美国化工行业等下游部门反对天然气出口，认为这将削弱其能源成本优势。

根据美国能源信息局上个月底发布的报告,In the past twenty years,Natural gas has become an important power instead of coal in the United States,Especially after 2009,Because of the low natural gas prices and its clean environmental protection advantages,With natural gas power generation plant.And given the relatively small now natural gas exports/The U.S. natural gas prices lower than the fact that the international market,Natural gas producers in the United States are looking for new markets.In February,On behalf of the United States more than 500 oil and gas companies of the United States petroleum association called for the doe approved gas exports,From 2015 to 2035 is expected,Natural gas exports to the United States economic growth contribution of $700 billion,And for the United States to create 213000 jobs per year.But the United States chemical industry and downstream departments against gas exports,Think it will weaken its energy cost advantage.

　　而目前，美国政府也在考虑是否放开无限制出口液化天然气，一些官员还认为如果限制国内出口将影响美国支持自由贸易的形象。近期，从包括奥巴马在内的美国各官方表态中，不难发现美国正在认真思考其能源政策。奥巴马曾称：“我必须就我国要不要出口液化天然气做出一项全面的行政决定，但我可以向你们保证，一旦我做出这一决定，那么考虑我们如何利用这一决定降低西半球和中美洲的成本，将提上我的议事日程。”有媒体指出，白宫正将日益飙升的天然气产量视为国家安全政策的一个新要素，并有意将能源作为一项外交手段和博弈筹码。据悉，美国能源部正在审核多项新增液化天然气终端的建设申请，可能会在几个月内批准得克萨斯州的一个项目。如果新出口申请获批，将是美国第二次允许向非贸易协定伙伴国出售天然气。

而目前,The U.S. government is also considering whether to let go of restrict the export of liquefied natural gas (LNG),Some officials also argue that if limit domestic exports will affect the image of U.S. support for free trade.The recent,From, including Mr Obama, America's official statement,It is not difficult to find that the United States is thinking seriously about its energy policy.Obama has said:"I must want to exporting liquefied natural gas in China is a comprehensive administrative decision,But I can assure you,Once I make this decision,Then consider how to make use of a decision that we reduce the cost of the western hemisphere and Central America,Will be on my agenda."The media pointed out that,The White House is the soaring gas production as a new elements of national security policy,And use of energy as a diplomatic means and gambling chips.It is understood,The U.S. department of energy (doe) is currently reviewing a number of new construction of liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal application,May be approved within a few months in Texas a project.If the new export application is approved,Is the second to allow partners to sell gas to trade agreement.

　　美国能源信息局预计，在2018年以前，由于产量大幅提升，美国天然气价格将保持在每百万英热单位4美元以下；2018年以后，随着需求上升，天然气将逐渐替代其它高价能源，价格将逐渐走高。美国国会研究所此前也预计，如果出口大幅上升，将给天然气价格带来上行压力，但能否导致价格大幅上涨还不清楚。研究所还预计未来美国天然气生产商将在整合后调整产能，使地区和全球的供需关系更加均衡。

美国能源信息局预计,In 2018 years ago,Due to production increased substantially,U.S. natural gas prices will remain below the $4 per million British thermal units;2018 years later,With the increasing demand,Natural gas will gradually replace other high energy,Prices will gradually go up.The congress of the United States institute of previously expected,If exports have risen sharply,Will bring upward pressure to prices,But can lead to large price increases is not clear.Institute also predicted the future U.S. natural gas producers to adjust after the integration of production capacity,使地区和全球的供需关Department of更加均衡.

　　有行业人士认为，即将实现的天然气大规模出口不仅可以令美国平衡贸易收支、带动工业复兴，而且其低价还或将颠覆全球能源市场、甚至影响全球政治经济格局。白宫国家安全顾问汤姆·多尼伦4月底称，能源增产使美国更有能力实现国际安全目标，还可能打破天然气与油价上涨间的联系，使天然气传统供应方的控制力减弱。另据美国外交政策智库战略与国际研究中心能源专家萨拉·拉迪斯劳预计，美国政府会批准出口液化天然气，但速度会很慢。（曾一巳）

有行业人士认为,To achieve large-scale exports of natural gas can not only make the balance of the trade balance/Drive the industrial recovery,But also at a low price or will overturn global energy markets/Even affect the global political and economic landscape.The White House national security adviser Tom donilon said at the end of April,Energy production to make America more have the ability to achieve international security,还可能打破天然气与油价上涨间的联Department of,Traditional gas would reduce the supplier's control.According to American foreign policy think tank center for strategic and international studies energy expert Sarah pulled the tees is expected,The U.S. government would approve of liquefied natural gas (LNG) for export,But the speed will slow.(Have a third)