【必联资讯】5月16日，商务部新闻发言人沈丹阳在例行发布会上表示，今年以来，我国外贸增长率一直高于普遍预期，特别是对部分地区的出口出现超高速增长。我们分析这里既有合理的因素，也有一些异常的因素，具体的原因还在调研分析之中。

[Will united information]On May 16,,Commerce ministry spokesman Shen Danyang said at a regular conference,This year以来,China's foreign trade growth rate has been higher than widely expected,Especially in some parts of the export of the ultra high speed growth.Here we analysis both the rational factors,There are some abnormal factors,Specific reason is still in the research analysis.

　　沈丹阳指出，许多专家认为，今年外贸发展有望好于去年，全年实现增长8%左右的目标有较大可能。尽管如此，我们认为当前外贸形势依然充满变数或者说不确定性，外贸发展面临着国内外压力还没有根本缓解，对外贸形势一点也不能够过于乐观。为什么这么讲？我们从外、内两方面分析。

Shen Danyang pointed out,Many experts believe,This year外贸发展有望好于去年,Annual growth of around 8% target is possible.In spite of this,We believe that the current foreign trade situation is still uncertain, or uncertainty,Foreign trade development is facing pressures both at home and abroad have not ease,On foreign trade situation is not to be too optimistic.Why do you speak?We are from the outside/In two aspects.

　　就外需而言，一方面发达经济体进一步下行的风险确实是有所缓解，市场需求预期有所恢复。但另一方面，外需不足尚未根本改善，全球性、系统性风险仍值得警惕。国际货币基金组织4月中旬发布了《世界经济展望》报告，将2013年全球经济增长预期下调到3.3%；世贸组织公布2012年全球贸易量增长只有2%，远低于2011年5%的增速，并将2013年全球贸易量增速的预期也下调到3.3%。

In terms of external demand,On the one hand, developed economies further downside risk is reduced,Market demand expectations are restored.But on the other hand,Lack of foreign demand have yet to be fundamentally improved,global/Systemic risk is alarming.The international monetary fund released in the middle of April[World economic outlook]The report,The 2013 global growth forecast to 3.3%;The world trade organization (wto) released global trade growth in 2012 was only 2%,Far below the 5% growth in 2011,And global trade volumes will be 2013 growth forecast to 3.3%.

　　从国内情况来看，一方面国内经济总体向好，但是另一方面劳动力、土地等要素成本上升，融资难、融资贵、人民币升值等诸多的困难还存在。比如，今年1-4月，人民币对美元、欧元、日元等主要货币快速升值，其中，4月份升值进一步加速，对外贸企业经营造成了一定影响。

From the domestic situation,On the one hand, the domestic economy getting better,But on the other hand Labour/Elements such as land costs rise,Financing difficulties/Financing your/The appreciation of the yuan and so on many difficulties still exist.Such as the,This year1-4月,The yuan against the dollar/The euro/Main rapid currency appreciation of the yen,Among them,Appreciation to further accelerate in April,Caused a certain influence on foreign trade enterprise management.