英国金属和矿业咨询机构CRU表示，未来五年，中国铝半成品出口料激增60%，因国内需求无法追上日益增长的产能。

The metals and mining consultancy CRU said,In the next five years,China's aluminium intermediate exports is expected to surge 60%,Because domestic demand is unable to catch up with the growing capacity.

　　CRU铝业经理Paul Williams称，2006年中国成为铝半成品的净出口国，出货量快速增加，自2009年至去年间翻了三番至150万吨。

CRU aluminum manager Paul Williams said,In 2006 China become a net exporter of aluminum semi-finished products,Shipments increase rapidly,Since tripled between 2009 and last year to 1.5 million tons.

　　平轧铝等半成品是介于原铝锭和车轮等加工制品中间的半成品。

Flat to rolling aluminum semi-finished products is between the original aluminum ingots and processing products such as wheel in the middle of the semi-finished products.

　　据CRU介绍称，到2017年中国的铝半成品出口料升至240万吨左右。

According to CRU said,By 2017 China's aluminum intermediate exports is expected to rise to 2.4 million tonnes.

　　Williams本周在伦敦举行的CRU铝业大会上表示：“产能和实际消费的未来前景具有巨大分歧，因此可出口剩余将快速增加，这确实令人担忧，”

Williams said CRU aluminium conference held in London this week on:"Capacity and the actual consumption of future prospects has huge differences,So can export surplus will increase rapidly,This is really worrying,"

　　到2017年，中国铝半成品的潜在可出口剩余预计将增至逾600万吨，但出口或受限，将导致产能利用率下滑，因成本攀升、人民币走强及反倾销关税影响。

By 2017,China's aluminium semi-finished potential to export surplus is expected to more than 6 million tons,But exports or limited,Will lead to a decline in capacity utilization,Because of rising costs/A stronger yuan and the effects of anti-dumping duties.

　　Williams说，美国、澳大利亚和加拿大都已对中国产的铝挤压材征收临时反倾销关税。

Williams said,The United States/Australia and Canada have imposed on chinese-made aluminum extrusion materials provisional anti-dumping tariffs.

　　**需削减原铝产能**

Cut aluminium production * * * * need to be

　　CRU的Marco Georgiou在会议上称，原铝也出现供应过剩，截至2015年中国需要额外关闭200万吨冶炼产能，今年已削减了约100万吨产能。

CRU's Marco Georgiou said at the meeting,Aluminium also appear oversupply,As of 2015, China needs to shut down an extra 2 million tonnes of smelting capacity,Cuts in this year of about 1 million tons of production capacity.

　　他补充到，但这并未削减我国整体产出，因西北地区许多新的冶炼厂将投产。

"He added,But that did not cut the overall output in our country,Because of many new smelter will be put into production in the north west.

　　“我们仍预计今年新产能上线的速度要快于产能关闭速度。目前中国年化产能约在2,400万吨，年底料升至约2,500万吨。”

"We still expect a new capacity this year launched closed speed faster than productivity.Annual production capacity at present in China in about 2,4 million tons of,In base rose to about 2,5 million tons of."

　　他补充称，近期价格下滑足以导致明年和2015年的产能进一步削减200万吨，因按目前上海期交所现货铝价计算，中国料有31%的产能处于亏损状态。

He added,A recent downturn in prices enough to lead to further cuts in 2 million the production of next year and 2015 tons,Because the spot price calculation according to the Shanghai futures exchange,China is expected to have a production capacity of 31%.

　　年初迄今，上海期交所近月期铝合约下滑约4%，而伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期铝累计跌幅则达10%。

So far this year,Shanghai futures exchange in recent months, down about 4% aluminum futures contracts,The London metal exchange(The LME)The three-month aluminum accumulated fell 10%.