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页岩气减少天然气进口依赖性--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-01
我国页岩气资源开发潜力巨大,十二五期间我国页岩气行业将更为侧重于前期勘探准备工作。
Shale gas resources in our country great potential of development,1025 shale gas industry in China during the more focused on the exploration preparation。
首先,全球页岩气资源开发潜力巨大。其中全球页岩气资源量为456万亿立方米,主要分布在北美、中国、中亚、拉美、中东和北非、独联体等地区。世界页岩气资源开发潜力虽然巨大,但地质条件、经济环境差异较大,面临诸多制约,能否成功复制美国模式实现页岩气大规模商业性开发仍存在不确定性。
first,Global shale gas resources development potential is tremendous。Of the global shale gas mainly for 456 trillion cubic meters,The main distribution in North America、China、Central Asia、Latin America、Middle East and north Africa、The independent countries community and other areas。The world shale gas resources development potential though huge,But the geological conditions、The economic environment are different,Faces many restrict,Copy the model to achieve success shale gas large-scale commercial development is still uncertain。
其次,目前我国的石油对外依存度已经达到55%,对进口天然气的依存度为20%,而根据预测,到2020年,我国进口天然气的数量将占到总需求量的33%。国际能源署预测,如果我国页岩气开发进展顺利,2035年我国天然气消费对外依存度将只有20%;如果开发不力,届时我国50%天然气消费都将依赖进口。国内页岩气的开发力度决定了我国的天然气对外依存度大小。页岩气的开发会减轻我国面临的油气地缘竞争压力,尤其使我国在中俄天然气价格谈判过程中将拥有更多的议价能力。
second,At present our country's dependence on foreign oil has reached 55%,The dependence on imported gas for 20%,According to a forecast,By 2020,The number of China's imported natural gas will make up 33% of the total demand。The international energy agency forecasts,If our country shale gas development goes well,In 2035 China's natural gas consumption external dependence will be only 20%;If poor development,When our country 50% natural gas consumption will rely on imports。Domestic shale gas to strengthen the development of the country's natural gas external dependence size。Shale gas development will relieve China faces geopolitical competition pressure oil and gas,Especially in our country in natural gas price negotiation process between China and Russia will have more bargaining power。
目前,我国页岩气资源调查与勘探开发还处于探索起步阶段,我国页岩气开发正在有条不紊逐步开展。国土资源部已正式将页岩气批准为独立矿种,同时确定页岩气探矿权将采用市场化方式出让。中石油、中石化以及延长石油三大石油公司也在积极调整业务结构,将页岩气勘探开发作为非常规油气资源开发的重点。虽然我国页岩气资源潜力较大,但由于十二五期间我国页岩气行业将更为侧重于前期勘探准备工作,因此地质勘探业务为主的上市公司或将因此受益。
At present,Our country shale gas resource survey and exploration and development is still in the exploration in the early stage,Shale gas development in our country is in an orderly way gradually develop。The ministry of land and resources has been officially shale gas approved for independent will mineral ores,Shale gas exploration right and make sure that the market will use the way。Oil in、Sinopec and extend the three big oil companies and oil in actively adjust the business structure,Will shale gas exploration and development of oil and gas resources development as unconventional key。Although our country's shale gas resource potential,But because 1025 shale gas industry in China during the more focused on the exploration preparation,So the geological prospecting business mainly appear on the market company or will benefit。
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