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俄罗斯粮食出口预计下降到2760万吨--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-14

  据俄媒体报道,粮食预测公司总经理弗拉基米尔·别特利钦科指出, 2012 -2013农业年度(2012年7月1日-2013年6月底)俄罗斯粮食出口量将仅达2370万吨,此前预测的本农业季度的粮食出口量为2760万吨。

According to Russian media reported,Food prediction company general manager vladimir don't, the imperial families said, 2012-2013 annual agriculture(On July 1, 2012-at the end of June 2013)Russian food exports will only to 23.7 million tons,With forecasts of the agricultural quarter of 27.6 million tons of grain exports。

  总经理弗拉基米尔·别特利钦科在俄罗斯农业控股公司座谈会上指出,若本农业年度(2012/2013)粮食的出口量为2760万吨,则粮食结转库存量约1400万吨,库存量和粮食的收获量共9300万吨,因此,俄罗斯粮食出口的潜力下降,或将至2370万吨。

General manager vladimir don't, the imperial families in Russia agricultural holding company forum said,If the annual agriculture(2012/2013)Food exports for 27.6 million tons,The food carry forward inventories of about 14 million tonnes,Inventories and grain crop of 93 million tons,so,Russia grain exports potential decline,Or will to 23.7 million tons。

  他还指出,在新一农业季度(2012/2013)粮食的出口量有可能下降,小麦的出口量或将降至1760万吨,本农业季度(2011/2012)的小麦出口量为2150万吨。

He also pointed out that,In a new agricultural quarter(2012/2013)Food exports may decline,Wheat exports or will drop to 17.6 million tons,This agricultural quarter(2011/2012)Wheat exports for 21.5 million tons。

  专家预测,大麦的出口量将下降至280万吨,本农业季度(2011/2012)大麦的出口量为320万吨。但玉米的出口量将上涨至220万吨,本农业季度(2011/2012)玉米的出口量为180万吨。

Experts predict,Barley exports will drop to 2.8 million tons,This agricultural quarter(2011/2012)Exports of barley for 3.2 million tons。But exports of corn will rise to 2.2 million tons,This agricultural quarter(2011/2012)Exports of corn to 1.8 million metric tons。

  据总经理弗拉基米尔·别特利钦科称,截至2012年5月,俄罗斯联邦的粮食出口量超2550万吨。俄罗斯粮食的主要购买国包括:埃及(占出口总量的29.8%)、土耳其(占11.2%)、沙特阿拉伯(占8.5%)、以色列(占4.7%)、也门(占3.9%)、肯尼亚(占3.2%)、意大利(占2.9%),以及西班牙、利比亚、约旦和突尼斯。

According to the general manager, vladimir don't the imperial families says,By May 2012,Russia's federal food exports of over 25.5 million tons。The main buying countries including Russia food:Egypt(Exports account for 29.8% of the total)、Turkey(11.2%)、Saudi Arabia(8.5%)、Israel(4.7%)、yemen(3.9%)、Kenya(3.2%)、Italy(2.9%),And Spain、Libya、Jordan and Tunisia。

  粮食预测公司总经理弗拉基米尔·别特利钦科预计,2012年俄罗斯的粮食总收获量将达9320万吨,2011年的粮食总收获量为9420万吨。同时,2012年4月,专家预测的粮食总收获量为9530万吨,但由于俄罗斯南部地区的粮食损失,粮食产量预测有所下降。

Food prediction company general manager vladimir don't the imperial families, expected,In 2012, Russia's overall food crop will reach 93.2 million tons,2011 years of the overall food crop for 94.2 million tons。At the same time,April 2012,Experts predict the food of total crop of 95.3 million tons,But because Russia southern areas of the food the loss,Food production forecast fell。

  他还指出,农业部粮食产量预测数据显示,春播的进程良好,粮食作物的播种面积已达预期的91%。总经理弗拉基米尔·别特利钦科预计,2012年粮食作物的总播种面积将扩大至4596万公顷,2011年粮食的总播种面积为4357万公顷。其中玉米的播种面积将超过200万公顷,2011年播种面积为170万公顷。此外,粮用豆类作物的播种面积扩大至180万公顷,2011年的播种面积为155万公顷。西伯利亚地区受干旱天气影响,因此并不是南部地区天气条件最有利的地区。

He also pointed out that,Department of agriculture to forecast the grain production data shows,The spring sowing good process,Food crops to the seeding of the area has reached the expected 91%。General manager vladimir don't the imperial families, expected,2012 years of grain crop planting area always expanding to 45.96 million hectares,In 2011 the total grain sowing area of 43.57 million hectares。One of the corn planting area of more than 2 million hectares,2011 years planting area of 1.7 million hectares。In addition,Grain sowing area with legumes expand to 1.8 million hectares,2011 years of planting area of 1.55 million hectares。The Siberian region by drought weather,So is not the most favorable weather conditions south of the region。

  谈及新一农业季度(2012/2013)的粮食价格情况,弗拉基米尔·别特利钦科指出,由于小麦供需失衡,世界市场上小麦平均价格将继续上涨。(预计此农业年度小麦的收获量将达6.77亿吨,据美国农业部统计数据显示,小麦的总需求量为6.86亿吨)

Talk about a new agricultural quarter(2012/2013)Food prices,Vladimir don't the imperial families, said,Because wheat unbalanced supply and demand,The world market average prices will continue to rise in wheat。(This year is expected to wheat crop agriculture will amount to 677 million tons,According to the U.S. department of agriculture data show,The total demand for wheat 686 million tons)

  然而,小麦价格的飙升可能影响玉米市场的行情,预计玉米产量将创历史新高。

however,The surge in wheat prices may affect the corn market,Corn is expected to yield will hit a record high。

  专家预测,总体上,新一农业年度俄罗斯的四等品质小麦的价格可达300美元/吨;三等品质小麦的价格将达330美元/吨。

Experts predict,In general,A new agricultural annual Russia's four quality wheat prices to $300 / tons;Three classes of quality wheat prices will reach us $330 / mt。



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