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最大贸易伙伴经济衰退 引发我国外贸骤减--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-08-17

  5、6月外贸数据一度提振了浙江外贸市场信心,各大机构纷纷报告称下半年有望企稳回升,不料7月杀了个“回马枪”,浙江外贸再现负增长

5、June foreign trade data once boost the zhejiang foreign trade market confidence,Each big institutions have report is expected to rebound in the second half of stabilising,Behold July killed a“Back thrust”,Zhejiang foreign trade representation negative growth。

  据杭州海关统计,7月浙江外贸进出口总值、出口、进口同比分别下降5.6%、5.2%、6.7%。

According to hangzhou customs statistics,July zhejiang foreign trade import and export (GDP)、export、Imports were down by 5.6% year-on-year、5.2%、6.7%。

  浙江省商务厅国际经济贸易研究中心张汉东认为这在预料之中,“全国外贸拐点已经到来,浙江也不例外,各种深层次因素造成的外贸疲软是长期的。”

Zhejiang business hall international economic and trade research center ZhangHanDong think it is as expected,“The national foreign trade inflection point has come,Zhejiang is no exception,All kinds of deep factors weakness is the foreign trade for a long time。”

  浙江省商务厅相关部门负责人近日也向记者表示:“各级政府都在出台扶持政策,商务部也在做出口基地等,但效果必定比较慢。”

Zhejiang business hall responsible person of related department recently also told reporters:“Governments at all levels are issued support policy,The ministry of commerce also do export base and so on,But the effect will be quite slow。”

  下半年压力会更大

In the second half of the pressure will be greater

  据统计,前7个月,浙江省实现外贸进出口总值1769亿美元,同比增长2%,低于全国平均增速5.1个百分点,居全国各省市第5位。

According to the statistics,First seven months,Realization of zhejiang province foreign trade import and export (GDP) of us $176.9 billion,Year-on-year growth of 2%,Below the national average rate of 5.1%,All provinces and cities in the fifth。

  从主要出口市场情况来看,浙江对欧盟出口同比下降8.7%,对美国、东盟和俄罗斯出口增速放缓,分别增长12.2%、9.6%和10.9%。

From the main export market situation,Zhejiang exports to Europe 8.7% year-on-year drop,In the United States、Asean and Russia export growth is slowing,Growth of 12.2%, respectively、9.6% and 10.9%。

  在出口商品结构上,纺织服装、鞋类等低端产品出口依旧低迷,家电、汽车等中端产品,出口相对增长较快。

In the structure of export goods,Textile clothing、Footwear of low end products such as export is still low,Home appliance、Automobile and other end product,Export relative is growing rapidly。

  而光伏产业跌幅尤大。据海关分析,受欧盟反倾销调查影响,前7个月浙江省出口太阳能电池11.6亿美元,同比大幅下降38.9%。

And photovoltaic industry especially big decline。According to the analysis,The eu anti-dumping investigation by the impact,The first seven months of zhejiang's export solar cell $1.16 billion,Fell sharply by 38.9% year-on-year。

  这样的数据,在业界看来,可能还只是开始,而非前6个月受去年订单和出口退税相关政策影响所造成的外贸数据“假象”。特别是7月份浙江民营企业进出口156.9亿美元,同比下降1.3%,这是17个月来首次出现负增长。

This data,In the industry seems to,May's only the start,Rather than the first six months of last year by order and export tax refund policies influence caused by foreign trade data“illusion”。Especially in July zhejiang private enterprises import and export $15.69 billion,1.3% year-on-year drop,This is 17 months for the first time in negative growth。

  宁波、绍兴、温州等地区的进出口企业老板告诉记者,上半年的数据多少受去年剩余订单影响,下半年才真的“揭不开锅”。

ningbo、shaoxing、Wenzhou region, such as the import and export enterprise boss told reporters,In the first half of last year how much data by residual order influence,Didn't really in the second half of“Jie in”。

  “上半年我们还能正常运营,主要是受市场影响,日本的订单从去年挪到了今年,7月份以来没怎么动过工,我现在都很闲。”温州“打火机王”李中坚无奈道。

“In the first half we can normal operation,Is mainly influenced by the market,Japan's order from last year to move this year,Since July didn't moved work,I now are very idle。”wenzhou“Lighter king”LiZhongJian helpless way。

  不只浙江,外贸疲软已蔓延全国。

Not only zhejiang,Foreign trade weakness has spread throughout the country。

  据海关部署统计,今年7月我国出口总额同比仅增长1%,分别比5月和6月的增幅回落14%和10%,为六个月来的最低水平,前7个月中,外贸大省广东、江苏等也都已现增速放缓之势。

According to customs statistics deployment,In July China exports only 1% year-on-year growth,Than respectively may and June rise a drop of 14% and 10%,For six months to the lowest level,First seven months,Foreign trade major province of guangdong、Jiangsu and so on also has now the potential growth is slowing。

  商务部副部长高虎城10日也坦言,中国要完成年初所确定的外贸10%左右的增长目标,下半年的压力会更大。

Vice-minister of commerce gao hucheng 10 also said,China will complete determined at the beginning of the foreign trade 10% growth target,In the second half of the pressure will be greater。

  政策扶持之惑

The policy support and confused

  针对如此外贸形势,杭州海关近期出台八项措施,保浙江外贸出口增速10%。相关举措包括提升通关效率和缩短退税审批时间,以及为省内守法诚信企业提供先放行后征税的通关优惠等措施。

For such foreign trade situation,Hangzhou customs recently issued eight measures,The zhejiang foreign trade export growth of 10%。Relevant measures including improve customs clearance efficiency and shorten the time of tax rebates for examination and approval,As well as the provincial law-abiding integrity enterprises provide first after the release of the customs clearance measures such as tax preferential。

  投资也在加速。统计显示,1-7月,浙江省固定资产投资9053亿元,比去年同期增长24.6%,增速比上半年加快0.7个百分点,比全国同期高4.2个百分点。7月末,全省新开工项目14025个,增长33.8%。

Investment are also accelerating。Statistics show that,1 - July,Zhejiang investment in the fixed assets 905.3 billion yuan,Than last year the corresponding period grows 24.6%,Growth in the first half of 0.7% than to speed up,The same period than the national high 4.2%。By the end of July,The new project 14025,Growth of 33.8%。

  民营企业也尝试加大对外合作。

Private enterprises have tried to increase foreign cooperation。

  在8月14日召开的“2012转型升级、浙港企业合作周系列活动”发布会上,浙江省经信委副主任吴家曦表示,加强浙港合作是推动浙江经济转型升级的客观需要。

On August 14, held“The transformation and upgrading of 2012、ZheGang enterprise cooperation weeks series of activities”conference,By the letter of zhejiang province, deputy director of the committee WuGuXi said,ZheGang strengthen cooperation to promote the transformation and upgrading of zhejiang's economy is the objective need。

  据悉,香港已是浙江省第一大外资来源地、第一大对外投资目的地和第五大出口市场。截至2011年,浙江在香港成立了800多家企业,香港在浙投资总额超过1000亿美元。

It is reported,Hong Kong has in zhejiang province is the first largest foreign investor、The first big foreign investment destination and the fifth largest export market。By the end of 2011,Zhejiang founded in Hong Kong more than 800 enterprises,Hong Kong in zhejiang a total investment of more than us $100 billion。

  但这些不能解决根本。“传统工业竞争不过安徽、江西,高新技术产业竞争不过国外,浙江外贸形势比较严峻。”浙江省社科院经济所所长徐剑锋告诉记者,转型升级如今已是箭在弦上不得不发。

But these can not solve the fundamental。“The traditional industrial competition but anhui、jiangxi,High and new technology industry competition but abroad,Zhejiang foreign trade situation is severe。”Zhejiang academy of economy XuJianFeng told reporters,The transformation and upgrading of now is a point of no return had to send。

  转型升级,要实现市场多元化、自主创新、注重品牌、设计、营销等,这些话已耳熟能详,“关键是政府要从微观领域退出,让市场在资源配置中发挥作用”。张汉东说。

Transformation and upgrading of,To realize the market diversification、Independent innovation、Pay attention to brand、design、marketing,These words too familiar,“The key is the government should from microcosmic exit,Let the market in the allocation of resources to play a role”。ZhangHanDong said。

  张汉东称,改革的根本在于政府放手由市场去优胜劣汰,而政府扮演的角色是降低交易成本、减税让利,“哪个行业不好就给补助这种形式只会适得其反”。

ZhangHanDong says,The fundamental reform lies in the government to let go by the market to survival of the fittest,And the role of government is to reduce transaction costs、Profit tax cuts,“Which industry bad will give subsidies this form will only be counterproductive”。

  日前,浙江省下发《关于进一步支持企业技术创新加快科技成果产业化的若干意见》,要求全省财政科技投入增长幅度高于同级财政经常性收入增长幅度1个百分点以上。

a,Zhejiang province issued《On further support enterprise technology innovation to speed up the industrialization of scientific and technological achievements some opinions》,Request the financial investment in science and technology increase higher than the current fiscal revenue growth rate of 1% above。

  省财政为此设立了10亿元创新强省专项资金,用于支持以企业为主体的科技创新与人才引进,到2015年,这个数字将达50亿元。

Provincial financial therefore set up 1 billion yuan innovation strong province special funds,Used to support for enterprise as the main body of the science and technology innovation and talent introduction,By 2015,The number will reach 5 billion yuan。

  不过,民营企业认为技术创新难度很大。徐剑锋指出,“当前浙江正积极引入央企大项目,尽管会带来当地产值和税收的大幅增加,但对产业转型的带动有限,因为央企都是封闭型的大系统,民企不可能掌握其核心技术。”

but,Private enterprises believe that technology innovation difficulty is very great。XuJianFeng pointed out that,“The current zhejiang is actively introducing renmin large project,Although will bring local output value and tax increase,But for industry transformation of the drive limited,Because renmin are enclosed system,Corporation not may have its core technology。”

  受访的多位企业主也赞同这个观点,“转型升级没有3-5年难有基础,政策扶持无非是倒闭得慢一点,关键是缺乏核心技术,难以在新兴产业立足,就像光伏一样。”

The surveyed many business owners also agree with this view,“The transformation and upgrading of no 3-5 years to have a basis,Policy support is nothing but closed slowly,The key is the lack of core technology,Difficult to in the emerging industry based on,Like as pv。”

  而对于呼声很高的减税让利,张汉东担忧的是,“浙江省财政收入从去年上半年27.6%的增幅下降到今年的4.4%,这个时候大规模减税,各地已经心有余而力不足”。

For the much-fancied profit tax cuts,ZhangHanDong concern is,“Zhejiang province from fiscal revenue growth of 27.6% in the first half of last year dropped to 4.4% this year,This time massive tax cuts,All have the spirit is willing, but the insufficient”。



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