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煤炭进口量年内首现回落 贸易商纷纷转行--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-08-25
来自海关总署8月21日的统计数据显示,1-7月我国进口煤及褐煤1.64亿吨,同比增长55.5%;进口金额为178亿美元,同比增加61.3%。而煤炭出口方面,前7月煤及褐煤出口628万吨,相比去年同期的966万吨,下降35.1%;出口金额11亿美元,与去年同期的17.7亿美元相比,同样下降37.9%。
From the general administration of customs on August 21 statistical data display,July 1 - China's imported coal and lignite 164 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 55.5%;The import amount of $17.8 billion,Increased by 61.3% year-on-year。And coal export,Before July coal and lignite export 6.28 million tons,Compared with the same period last year of 9.66 million tons,Fell by 35.1%;Export value of 1.1 billion dollars,With the same period last year compared to $1.77 billion,Also fell by 37.9%。
不难看出,煤炭进出口的数量、金额差距如此之大,“预计年内进口煤炭数量将将远超去年的1.82亿吨,突破2.5亿吨。整个国际煤炭市场好的时候,进口煤的优势体现不出来,但在煤价下滑比较厉害的时期,其下跌幅度远远超过同时期的国内煤价,加上进口煤质量通常较好,在国内还是很有市场的。”一位业内资深专家在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示。
It is easy to see,The number of coal import and export、The amount of such a big gap,“Is expected to import coal quantity in will far exceed 182 million tons last year,Exceed 250 million tons。The whole international coal market good time,Import coal advantages does not come out,But prices decline in better times,Its fell by far more than the same period of the domestic coal prices,Add import coal quality usually better,There is still in the domestic market。”A senior experts in the industry in accept《Securities daily》A reporter to interview said。
煤贸商纷纷转行
Coal trade business have turned
虽说一直以来进口煤多是作为补充国内煤炭不足的身份出现,但是在经济下行,煤价直线下跌的上半年,进口煤炭无论从量上还是金额上都连月保持着大幅增长的态势,颇受业界关注。
It has been imported coal is supplemented the identity of the domestic coal shortage appear,But in the economy down,Coal prices in the first half of the straight down,Import coal no matter from quantity or amount are on even keep the growth situation,A popular industry attention。
在持续了半年多逐月上涨的态势后,进口煤终于在7月份有了下降的迹象。根据海关总署8月21日的统计数据,2012年煤炭进口量首次在7月份环比出现了下降。
For more than half a year in the month after rising trend,Import coal finally in July, a sign of coming down。According to the general administration of customs on August 21 statistical data,In 2012, for the first time, coal imports in July link has declined。
数据显示,2012年7月我国煤炭进口量为2427万吨,环比下降10.74%,同比增长14.2%。虽然与去年同期相比进口量仍有增无减,但显然增幅出现明显收窄。7月份我国出口煤及褐煤50万吨,较2012年6月份增加3万吨,环比下跌6.38%,与去年同期相比下跌45.05%。
Data display,In July 2012 in our country's coal imports for 24.27 million tons,Link fell by 10.74%,Year-on-year growth of 14.2%。Although compared with the same period last year imports still unabated,But obviously increase obviously appear narrow。July, of our country export coal and lignite 500000 tons,A June 2012 an increase of 30000 tons,Chain fell 6.38%,Compared with the same period last year fell 45.05%。
至于出现下降的原因,上述专家告诉记者,“上半年整个煤炭市场不好,煤价的下跌使得部分主做进出口煤炭的贸易商损失严重,尤其是到6月份左右,屡屡听到有煤炭贸易商毁约的消息,甚至部分已经暂停进口,这是造成7月份进口煤出现首次下降的最直接原因”。
As for the cause of the decline,The above expert told reporters,“In the first half of the coal market is bad,Coal prices fall make part of main do import and export coal traders and severe losses,Especially to 6 months or so,Coal traders have repeatedly heard the news of the breach of promise,Even some has suspended imports,This is caused by imported coal in July for the first time in the most direct reason for decline”。
“现在,很多以前主要做煤炭进出口贸易的公司都把业务转向了其他方面,尤其是沿海地区的贸易商。”山西当地一家煤炭贸易公司销售经理张国栋告诉记者。据他介绍,往年这个时候,公司通常已经开始大量地购买煤炭,因为马上就要到煤炭消费的下一个旺季了。但是,今年公司已经不敢像往年一样囤货了。
“now,Many main do before coal import and export trade company of the business to the other aspects,Especially coastal areas traders。”Shanxi a local coal trading company sales manager ZhangGuoDong told reporters。According to he introduced,This time last,Companies usually have begun to buy in large quantities of coal,Because of coal consumption is coming in the next season the。but,This year the company has not like the usual stockpile。
在他看来,经济形势的不明朗使得很多贸易商不敢轻举妄动。自然,进口煤下降就是情理之中的事情了,最根本还是在于国内经济下行,下游需求下降。
In his view,The economic situation is not clear that many traders can't act rashly。natural,Import coal drop is in the reason of things,The most fundamental lies in the domestic economy down,Downstream demand decline。
不过,进口煤增速回落,对于国内的煤炭企业来说倒是好事。“这将有助于缓解国内煤炭企业的市场压力,同时也将减轻国内从企业到港口的高库存。”上述专家说道。
but,Import coal growth dropped,Regarding the domestic coal enterprise is good for。“This will help ease the domestic coal enterprise market pressure,At the same time will also reduce the domestic enterprise to port from high inventory。”The experts say。
前7月进口量激增6成
Before July imports surge into 6
海关总署的统计数据显示,1-7月我国进口煤及褐煤1.64亿吨,同比增长55.5%,进口国主要来自澳大利亚、印尼、越南、俄罗斯等国。
The general administration of customs statistical data display,July 1 - China's imported coal and lignite 164 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 55.5%,Importing countries mainly comes from Australia、Indonesia、Vietnam、Russia and other countries。
其中,上半年,我国累计进口各种煤炭约1.4亿吨,同比增长65.9%,其中,炼焦煤、烟煤和褐煤进口量分别为2764万吨、4360万吨和2687万吨,分别增长44%、175%、90%。上半年,我国南方沿海地区口岸占全国煤炭进口量的72%,仅广东、上海、江苏、浙江四省(直辖市)进口量就占总进口量的58%。
the,In the first half of,Our country accumulated import all kinds of about 140 million tons of coal,Year-on-year growth of 65.9%,the,Coking coal、Bituminous coal and lignite imports respectively for 27.64 million tons、43.6 million tons and 26.87 million tons,Growth of 44%, respectively、175%、90%。In the first half of,South China coastal areas of the national port coal imports 72%,Only guangdong、Shanghai、jiangsu、Zhejiang four provinces(Municipality directly under the)Imports will account for 58% of the total imports。
与此相对应的出口量却可怜得很,1-6月我国煤炭累计出口578万吨,同比下跌34%。“这与国际欧美经济形势不太好以及国家的政策有很大关系。”上述专家如是表示,国家如今对煤炭的政策是鼓励进口,控制出口,同时,国际经济形势不好,国际煤炭价格大跌,虽然上半年国内煤价下跌幅度也很大,但与国际煤价相比,仍然没有价格优势,出口肯定会受到影响。
And the corresponding exports is very poor,1-6 months in our country's coal accumulative total export of 5.78 million tons,Fell 34% year-on-year。“This and international Europe and the United States economic situation is not so good, and the state policies have very big concern。”The experts said so,Now countries of coal policy is to encourage imports,Control export,At the same time,The international economic situation is not good,International coal prices plunged,Although in the first half of the domestic coal prices fell by is very big also,But compared with the international coal prices,There is still no price advantage,Export must be affected。
青岛海关统计,上半年山东省口岸进口煤炭1436万吨,同比增加近1倍;金额达18.3亿美元;进口平均价格为127.6美元/吨,同比反而下跌0.7%。同期,山东省口岸出口煤炭129.5万吨,减少39.2%;金额2.4亿美元,下降47.5%。
Qingdao customs statistics,In the first half of the port in shandong province imported 14.36 million tons of coal,Year-on-year increase of about 1 times;Amounted to us $1.83 billion;Import average price of $127.6 / ton,It fell 0.7% year-on-year。Over the same period,Shandong province port export coal 1.295 million tons,Reduced by 39.2%;The amount of $240 million,Fell by 47.5%。
那么,从前7月的煤炭进口形势看,后5个月的市场又将如何?对此,上述专家认为,温总理前一阶段提到经济困难可能还会持续一段时间,目前看,与上半年相比,下半年煤炭进口量会放缓。
so,Once upon a time on July coal import situation to see,After five months of market and how will it?this,The experts say,Premier wen jiabao in the previous stage mentioned economic difficulties may is likely to continue for some time,Now look at,Compared with the first half,The second half of coal imports will slow。
只是7月份乃至下半年进口放缓的迹象仍不能改变2012年我国煤炭全年进口量将大幅增长的现状。“从以往看,煤炭消费的下一个旺季马上就到来了,”他表示,今年已经过去了7个月,煤炭进口量已经到了1.64亿吨。以上半年以及7月份的煤炭进口量为基准计算,预计今年煤炭进口量将会突破2.5亿吨。去年,我国进口煤炭总量为1.82亿吨。
But the second half of July and signs of slowing imports still can not change throughout the year 2012 China's coal imports will be the present situation of the sharp increase。“From the past to see,Coal consumption next season soon arrived,”He said,This year has been the past seven months,Coal imports has reached 164 million tons。In the first half and in the July issue of the coal imports as a benchmark calculation,This year is expected to coal imports will exceed 250 million tons。Last year,Our country is imported coal amount for 182 million tons。
山西当地煤炭贸易商张国栋也向记者透露,“近几个月,多数买家向他购买煤炭或是询问煤价,也多是询问印尼等国家的进口煤炭价格”。据他介绍,进口煤一般煤质非常好,价格又比较低,在中国还是非常有市场的。 来源:证券日报 胡仁芳
Shanxi local coal traders ZhangGuoDong also revealed to reporters,“In recent months,Most buyers to buy from him or ask coal prices,Also is asked Indonesia and other countries import coal price”。According to he introduced,Import coal general coal quality is very good,The price is relatively low,In China or very market。 source:Securities daily HuRenFang
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