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8月进出口增速均在3%左右--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-09-07
路透调查综合逾20位机构分析师的预测中值显示,中国8月出口延续个位数的增幅,但较上月略有回升,反映欧债危机下外需依旧疲弱;而进口持续下降,显示中国经济下行压力仍大,内需不振.全月贸易顺差继续收窄至198亿美元。
Reuters survey integrated more than twenty analysts forecast value display,China's export continued the August single-digit growth,But a month earlier slightly rebounded,Reflect the debt crisis is still under weak now;While imports continued to decline,Show that China's economic downward pressure is still large,Domestic demand spot. Monthly trade surplus continued to narrow to $19.8 billion.
中国7月份的贸易数据曾因远低于市场预期令人大跌眼镜,7月出口创下今年1月来最低位,昭显受内外需双双疲弱夹击的中国经济仍未摆脱下行趋势。中国官方此前多次表态,有信心实现全年10%的贸易增速目标。
In July China trade data CengYinYuan below market expectations that suffered National People's Congress,July in January this year exports to least significant,Zhao show by internal and external need to both the weak flanked Chinese economy is still not get rid of the descending trend.China's official statement after many times,Have the confidence to realize annual 10% of trade growth target.
交通银行金融研究中心报告预计,8月份中国经济形势未能明显回暖,企业生产活动意愿不强,国内消费也偏弱,进口需求仍然较低;加之日本、德国等中国主要进口国的出口状况不佳,也侧面反映了8月份国内进口弱势。
Bank of communications financial research center is expected to report,China's economic situation in August to significantly milder,Enterprise production activities will not strong,Domestic consumption also weak,Import demand remains low;Together with Japan/Germany and China's major importers in the export situation is not good,Also reflection in August the domestic import vulnerable.
出口方面,交行报告预计8月份世界经济复苏步伐仍然缓慢,美国、日本经济的此前好转未能持续,市场悲观情绪再次蔓延,8月份出口的外部形势严峻。国内稳出口政策短期内难以见效,预计8月份出口规模可能回落至1,700亿美元左右,出口增速将由正转负.预计未来出口难以根本改观。
export,In the report is expected in August the world economic recovery is still slow pace,The United States/Japan's economy had better not last,The market pessimism spread again,In August the external export grim situation.Domestic steady export policies in the short term is difficult to act,In August is expected to export scale may fall to 1,About $70 billion,Export growth will be positive turn negative. The expected future export difficult to fundamental change.
瑞银报告就认为,受企业去库存及国际大宗商品市场价格回落,预计8月进口增幅会放缓至3.5%左右,而出口增幅预计在2.5%左右。
Ubs report will think,By the enterprise to inventory and international commodities market prices back down,August is expected to import growth will slow to 3.5%,And export growth is expected to around 2.5%.
刚刚公布的中国8月份制造业PMI数值,无论是跌破荣枯分水岭的官方数据,抑或创41个月低点的汇丰数据,均暗示中国三季度经济探底仍在继续。
Just released in August of China manufacturing PMI numerical,Whether below vicissitude watershed of official data,Or and 41 months low HSBC data,Are suggesting that China's third quarter economic exploratory bottom continues.
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