美国农业部9月份月报认为，2012/13年度美国棉花出口量占全球出口总量的比重将大幅反弹6%，主要原因是美国棉花产量增加。同时，全球棉花进口量预计下滑19%，主要原因是中国的储备棉政策不再促进棉花进口，中国的棉花进口量预计减少一半以上。美棉出口的主要竞争对手虽然在2011/12年度获益匪浅，但2012/13年度的市场份额将大幅下降，原因是中国进口需求大减。 

The United States department of agriculture in September that monthly report,2012/13 annual American cotton exports account for the proportion of total global exports will rebound sharply 6%,The main reason is that American cotton yield increase.At the same time,Global cotton imports is expected to decline 19%,The main reason is that China's ChuBeiMian policy is no longer promote cotton importation,China's cotton imports is expected to reduce more than half.American cotton exports the main rival in the 2011/12 fiscal year although benefit,But 2012/13 annual share of the market will drop sharply,The reason is China's import demand big reduction. 

　　尽管本年度全球棉花进口量将大幅减少，但美国占全球出口市场的比重却保持稳定。在棉花产量恢复、中国以外地区的进口需求强劲增长以及美棉出口对中国市场的依赖程度减弱的共同影响下，美棉占全球棉花出口的比重将会扩大。 

Although this year global cotton imports will be substantially reduced,But the United States accounted for the proportion of the global export market remained stable.In the cotton output recovered/Outside China's import demand strong growth and American cotton exports to China market depends on the degree of the common weakened under the influence,American cotton share of global cotton exports will be enlarged. 

　　相比之下，印度棉花出口预计减少三分之二，原因是国内供应减少、国内需求增加以及出口政策多变。由于印度纺织厂利润较高、中国对印度纱线的进口需求旺盛，因此印度纺织用棉量看增。此外，印度多次限制棉花出口将使买家的采购兴趣受到打击。 

Compared with,India is expected to reduce export cotton two-thirds,The reason is the domestic supply reduce/Domestic demand increase and export policy changeable.Since India textile higher profits/China to India yarn import demand,Therefore India textile YongMianLiang see increased.In addition,India multiple limit cotton export will make buyers purchasing interest hit. 

　　虽然本年度初期澳大利亚和巴西的可供出口量充足，但占全球出口市场的比重将减少10%以上，主要原因是中国进口需求减弱以及来自美国和其他出口国的竞争加剧。 

Although the early this year for Australian and Brazilian exports enough,But accounted for the proportion of the global export market will be reduced by more than 10%,The main reason is that China's import demand weakened and from the United States and other exporters of competition.