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欧债危机预计两年始有转机--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-09-17

  欧洲危机牵动全球经济走势,韩国前总理、韩国贸易协会会长韩悳洙在港接受专访时表示,亚洲金融危机只影响了亚洲一部分国家,但整个国际大环境非常好;现在欧债危机的拖累更大,复苏缓慢,预计至少还需要两年的时间才会有转机。

The European crisis affect global economic trends,South Korea's former prime minister/South Korean trade association Korea 悳 bohk accept interview in Hong Kong said,The Asian financial crisis affects only the part of Asia countries,But the whole international environment is very good;Now the debt crisis more drag,Slow recovery,Is expected to at least also need two years will have to transfer.

  亚洲金融危机期间,韩悳洙担任韩国贸易部部长,他回忆说,为了应对亚洲金融危机,韩国主要做了两件事:一是更多地让市场机制运作,二是增加银行资金和劳动力,重整私人公司的财务状况,同时重新调整一些政府机构的组成。韩悳洙坦言:“那是一个痛苦的重组过程。”但他指出,所幸亚洲金融危机爆发的时候,只有亚洲某些国家的经济受损,整个国际大环境是好的,美国、欧洲、日本和中国对受亚洲金融危机影响的国家提供了很大的支持。而在目前的全球经济形势下,韩悳洙认为,要解决欧债危机困难很多。

During the Asian financial crisis,Korea 悳 bohk as South Korea trade minister,He recalls,In order to deal with the Asian financial crisis,South Korea main do two things:One is more to let the market operation mechanism,The second is to increase the bank capital and labor,Reforming private the financial position of the company,At the same time to adjust some of the composition of the government agencies.Korea 悳 bohk said:"It was a painful restructuring."But he points out,Fortunately, the Asian financial crisis broke out,Only the Asian countries economic damage,The whole international environment is good,The United States/The European/Japan and China to the Asian financial crisis countries to provide a lot of support.And in the current global economic situation,Korea 悳 bohk think,To solve the debt crisis is more difficult.

  被问到是否对欧洲危机的解决感到乐观,韩悳洙称:“我认为事情不会变得最坏。但我很担心欧洲的缓慢增长可能会对中国和亚洲其他国家造成影响。”在他看来,全球经济是相互依赖的,没有欧洲的参与,要实现全球经济复苏还须经历一条漫漫长路。

Asked whether the European crisis solution to feel optimistic,Korea 悳 bohk says:"I think things will not become the worst.But I'm worried about Europe's slow growth may be to China and other Asian countries affect."In his view,The global economy is interdependent,Without the participation of Europe,In order to realize the global economic recovery still must experience a long.

  谈及韩国经济受欧债危机的影响,韩悳洙指出,影响主要表现在出口方面,去年全年,韩国出口总量下跌了百分之二十,到上个月,缩窄到下跌百分之六。但他表明,韩国的GDP仍保持正增长。今年第一季度韩国GDP较去年同期增长百分之二点八,第二季度则同比增长百分之二点三。对于为何在外围环境不明朗的情况下,韩国经济仍表现良好,韩悳洙表示,这归功于韩国汽车制造、造船、钢铁产品和智能电话等产业的增长。

South Korea's economy of by the influence of European debt crisis,Korea is pointed out that 悳 bohk,Influence is reflected in export,Last year,South Korean exports fell twenty percent,To last month,Constriction to fell six percent.But he shows that,South Korea's GDP remain positive growth.South Korea's GDP in the first quarter of this year than last year the corresponding period grows two point eight percent,The second quarter is year-on-year growth of two point percent.For why in peripheral environment not clear,South Korea is still good economic performance,Korea 悳 bohk said,This is due to Korean auto manufacturing/shipbuilding/Iron and steel products and intelligent telephone calls and such growth in the industry.

  倡欧国进行内部货币贬值

European countries during internal devaluation

  韩悳洙认为,欧债危机的解决方法是很清晰的,欧洲各国必须重组经济架构,并竭尽办法增加出口。但他指出,由于欧元区奉行简单、单一的货币政策,受欧债危机影响的国家不能有弹性的货币兑换。因此,韩悳洙建议欧元区各国应该进行内部的货币贬值,包括:减少企业费用,降低通胀以及提升效率。“相对于亚洲金融危机,这一内部货币贬值的过程会带来更多的阵痛。”同时,整个国际金融市场都在看欧洲,它们负债太高,花费巨大,而且很多国家无力解决问题,致使事态每况愈下。韩悳洙指出,“我的建议是,整个欧元区应该有一个清楚的机制,能够使欧洲的各个机构增加外在的金融市场对他们的信任度。”然而,韩悳洙指出,欧洲各国存在巨大的政治分歧,就如何援助和给予多少援助给受欧债影响最严重的国家,他们很难达成共识。他认为,欧元区必须尽快采取行动。

Korea 悳 bohk think,The debt crisis solution is very clear,European countries must restructuring economic structure,And the best way to increase exports.But he points out,Due to the euro zone carries out simple/A single monetary policy,By the debt crisis countries cannot elastic currency exchange.therefore,Korea 悳 bohk suggest the eurozone countries should be internal devaluation,including:Reduce the enterprise cost,To reduce inflation and promote efficiency."Relative to the Asian financial crisis,This internal devaluation process will bring more pain."At the same time,The whole international financial markets are watching the European,They liability is too high,Spend huge,And many countries cannot solve the problem,The situation worse and worse.Korea is pointed out that 悳 bohk,"My suggestion is that,The whole euro zone should have a clear mechanism,Can make European organizations increase external financial market for their confidence."however,Korea is pointed out that 悳 bohk,European countries exist great political differences,How to aid and how much to give aid to the European debt affect the most serious countries,They find it difficult to reach a consensus.He thinks,The euro area must take action as soon as possible.



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