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出口降进口增我国煤炭市场继续供大于求--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-10-16

  一边是出口量急速下降,一边是进口量大幅上升,国内煤炭市场供大于求的状况仍不见好转,因此国内煤炭价格在迎峰度冬时期缺乏反弹后劲。

On one side is a sharp decline exports,One is the imports have risen sharply,The domestic coal market supply exceeds demand situation is still not get better,Therefore the domestic coal prices in peaks winter period lack of momentum in the rebound.

  海关总署日前发布的数据显示,2012年前三季度我国累计出口煤炭745万吨,较去年同期累计减少468万吨,同比下降38.6%;前三季度累计出口金额为12.98亿美元,与去年同期的22.39亿美元相比,下降了42%。

The general administration of customs to released data show,2012 years ago in the third quarter cumulative export coal 7.45 million tons,Compared to the same period last year to reduce total 4.68 million tons,38.6% year-on-year drop;The first three quarters accumulative total export amount of $1.298 billion,With the same period last year compared to $2.239 billion,Dropped 42%.

  同时,今年前三季度累计出口焦炭及半焦炭86万吨,较去年同期的301万吨,减少了215万吨,大幅下降71.5%;前三季度累计出口焦炭及半焦炭金额3.83亿美元,较去年同期下滑了71.9%。

At the same time,The first three quarters of this year total export coke and half coke 860000 tons,During the same period last year 3.01 million tons,Reduce the 2.15 million tons,Fell sharply by 71.5%;The first three quarters accumulative total export coke and semicoke amounting to $383 million,Compared to the same period last year dropped 71.9%.

  相比之下,我国煤炭进口量却呈大幅上升的态势。1~8月,我国煤炭累计进口达1.85亿吨,同比增长46.3%。这已经超过去年全年1.82亿吨的煤炭进口总量。

Compared with,In our country's coal imports but is dramatically rise the situation.1 ~ 8 month,In our country's coal accumulated import 185 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 46.3%.This has higher than last year's 182 million tons of coal import.

  大宗产品电子商务平台金银岛分析师张志斌对《第一财经日报》表示,一方面,受国内高关税、出口配额等政策影响,国内煤炭出口并没有优势;另一方面,全球经济不景气,国外市场也严重萎缩。

Bulk products e-commerce platform treasure island ZhangZhiBin analysts to[The first financial daily]said,On the one hand,The country's high tariffs/Export quota policy influence,The domestic coal exports and no advantage;On the other hand,The global economic recession,Foreign markets may also serious atrophy.

  一位秦皇岛煤炭贸易商介绍,现在煤炭进口贸易依然很不好做,即便如此,国内每个月的煤炭进口量仍维持在1700万吨左右。

A qinhuangdao coal traders is introduced,Now coal import trade is still very bad to do,Even so,The domestic each month of coal imports is still maintained at 17 million tons.

  同时,在上述因素的影响下,国内煤价与国外相比已经没有任何竞争优势。据了解,美国坑口发热量为5800大卡的动力煤报价22.68美元/吨。煤炭铁路运输成本为每吨0.0194美元/英里,运送至西海岸运费估算将达到平均18.82美元/吨。由巴拿马干散货船运送至中国秦皇岛港的海运费用平均每吨22.74美元。

At the same time,In under the influence of the factors mentioned above,Domestic and foreign prices compared has no competitive advantage.It is understood,The United States pithead calorific value for 5800 kilocalorie power coal price $22.68 / ton.Coal railway transportation cost per ton for $0.0194 / miles,Transported to a west coast freight estimation to average $18.82 / ton.The panama dry bulk carrier shipping to China shipping cost nort an average of $22.74 per ton.

  “按照17%的增值税税率进行计算,美国动力煤的到岸价将约为75.16美元/吨。按1:6.35的美元汇率,上述美国煤炭若运到秦皇岛,价格只有477元/吨。但国内煤炭坑口价就400元以上,而且运费也不低。”张志斌说。

"According to the VAT rate of 17% were calculated,The United States power coal cif will be about $75.16 / ton.Press 1:6.35 dollar exchange rate,The above the United States if coal to qinhuangdao,The price is only 477 yuan/ton.But the domestic coal pithead price is 400 yuan of above,And freight is not low."ZhangZhiBin said.



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