统计数据显示，2012年1月~8月我国进口玉米数量达372.6万吨，进口数量较去年同期大幅增加。

Statistics show,In January 2012 to August in the amount of corn import 3.726 million tons,Import quantity than the same period last year increased significantly.

　　对此，业内人士表示，尽管今年前8月我国玉米进口量大幅增加，但随着国内玉米丰产在即，在国内供给充足的情况下，预计未来我国玉米进口将大幅减少。

this,The personage inside course of study says,Although the first eight months of corn imports increased significantly in China,But along with the domestic corn fertility in sight,In the domestic supply plenty of cases,The expected future our country corn imports will sharply reduce.

　　进口量将自高点滑落

Imports will be down from the top

　　前8月玉米进口如此暴增，主要原因是第一季度我国玉米价格与外盘明显倒挂，导致企业进口国外玉米到港售卖。据悉，8月份到港的玉米基本上来自于美国，美国玉米到岸的船期大概在45天左右，而前期美国玉米价格相对比较低廉。

Before August corn import so jumps,The main reason is in China in the first quarter of the price of corn and outside dish obvious fuchsia,Lead to enterprise import foreign corn sold to Hong Kong.It is reported,In August to the port of the corn basically comes from the United States,U.S. corn cif timetable at about 45 days or so,The United States and the price of corn is relatively low.

　　但是随着6月份相关机构对美国干旱开始炒作，美国玉米价格大涨导致我国进口玉米的积极性骤减。

But as to the United States in June related institutions drought began to hype,The United States of corn prices lead to China's import corn enthusiasm fell sharply.

　　同时，国内玉米丰产在即、价格下滑也是导致未来玉米进口大幅下滑的主要因素。中商情报网研究员田悦表示，由于今年我国玉米产量有望达到2亿吨的最高纪录，并且由于国内玉米价格不断下滑，因此后期我国进口玉米量将大幅减少，预计今年我国进口玉米约500万吨。由于国内供给充足，库存需要时间消化，预计2013年我国进口玉米数量较2012年会有较大幅度的下降。

At the same time,Domestic corn fertility in sight/Prices also lead to future corn import the main factors of a sharp decline.Business information network researchers TianYue said,Because our country maize yield this year is expected to reach 200 million tons of record,And because the domestic corn prices are falling,So late in our country will sharply reduce the amount of import corn,In China this year is expected to import about 5 million tons of corn.Because the domestic supply enough,Inventory need time to digest,It is estimated that our import corn is the number 2012 have a substantial decline.

　　田悦表示，伴随新玉米陆续上市，国内现货市场玉米销售价格已受到冲击，我国局部地区玉米降价较明显，玉米各主产区及销区、港口玉米价格都有小幅回落。

TianYue said,With the new corn on the market in succession,The domestic spot market sales price of corn has been impact,Our country local corn price cut is obvious,The corn producing and XiaoOu/Port corn prices have dropped slightly.

　　全球玉米供需偏紧

Global corn partial tight supply and demand

　　田悦在接受采访时表示，由于今年北半球遭受严重旱灾，玉米大幅度减产。以美国为例，美国农业部10月公布供需报告显示，由于欧洲产量预估明显下调近1.5亿吨，2012/13年度全球玉米产量预估再度小幅下调，由9月预估的8.41亿吨下调至8.39亿吨，同比减产4.4%；总消费由9月的8.57亿吨微幅下调至8.53亿吨同比下降1.1%；结转库存由1.24亿吨下调至1.17亿吨。玉米库存消费比由9月预估14.5%小幅下调至13.7%，仍维持低位。田悦表示，全球玉米供需将维持偏紧格局。

TianYue said in an interview,Because of this year is suffering from a severe drought in the northern hemisphere,Corn production greatly.In the United States, for example,The United States department of agriculture announced October report of supply and demand,Since the European production estimated obviously cut nearly 150 million tons,2012/13 global maize yield estimate reduce small again,By September estimated 841 million tons of cut to 839 million tons,Lose 4.4% year-on-year;Total consumption by September 857 million tons to 853 million tons slightly down 1.1% year-on-year drop;Carry forward stock from 124 million tons to 117 million tons of cut.Corn inventory consumption than by September estimated 14.5% small cut to 13.7%,Remains low.TianYue said,Global corn supply and demand will remain partial tight pattern.

　　国内玉米丰产在即

Domestic corn fertility in sight

　　国家粮油信息中心8月15日发布8月份主要粮油

National cereals and oil information center released on August 15, in August main cereals and oil

　　作物面积和产量预测报告，将今年的玉米产量从7月

Crop area and yield forecast report,Will this year's maize yield from July

　　预估数下调50万吨至1.97亿吨。这一数据较上年

Estimated number by 500000 tons to 197 million tons.The data with a year

　　微增2.19%。其中，2012年中国玉米播种面积3430

Slightly increased by 2.19%.the,In 2012, China corn planting area of 3430

　　万公顷，较上年增加2.26%。由于东北大豆种植面积急

hectares,Representing an increase of 2.26%.Due to the northeast soybean planting area is urgent

　　剧减少，玉米种植面积的稳增确保了国内玉米供应的相对充足。

Play reduce,Corn planting area of steady increase ensure the supply of domestic corn relative enough.

　　据悉，东北地区尽管玉米种植面积增加4.4%，但是天气与病虫害造成单位产量下降，所以东北地区的玉米总产量为7945万吨，同比减少0.8%；华北地区玉米种植面积约为1113万公顷，同比增加1%，受天气利好因素影响，预计单位面积产量增加2.1%，玉米总产量为6556万吨，同比增加3.2%。

It is reported,Northeast China although corn planting area increased by 4.4%,But the weather caused by plant diseases and insect pests and unit yield decline,So the northeast region of the corn output for 79.45 million tons,Reduced by 0.8% year-on-year;North China corn planting area of about 11.13 million hectares,Increased by 1% year-on-year,Be the weather bullish factors,Is expected to yield per unit of area increased by 2.1%,Corn output for 65.56 million tons,Increased by 3.2% year-on-year.

　　业内人士表示，尽管减产导致全球范围粮食供应紧张，但是国内供需则相对平衡。目前看来，我国的玉米储备相对比较充足，这令我国玉米市场受国际市场玉米供需紧张影响较小。

The personage inside course of study says,Although production lead to global food supplies,But the domestic supply and demand is relative balance.Now it looks,China's corn reserves is relatively plenty,This makes our country maize market is the international market supply and demand less affected corn tension.