十月繁霜下，外贸国八条暖人心。内外需双双放缓，广交会订单难言乐观。出口低迷，何不扩进口？

October numerous under the hoarfrost,Article 8 foreign countries warm the heart.Both internal and external need to slow,The China export commodities fair order last optimistic.Export downturn,Why don't you expanding import?

　　扩进口，正当其时。无论是看历史的实践还是现实的无奈，亦不论是要助推产业升级还是拉动国内消费，扩大进口已是大势所趋。

Expanding import,As time.Whether see historical practice or reality helpless,Also whether to boost industrial upgrading or boosting domestic consumption,To expand import is the trend of The Times.

　　从历史上看，美国通过扩大进口有效地促进了本国经济的稳定增长，并用进口带动出口，实现了全球利益。美国通过实行“全球开放式”资源战略，建立起面向全球的多层次、多渠道供应保障体系，保障了美国经济增长对原材料和资源性产品的高需求。从1990年～2000年，美国高新技术产品进口由593.0亿美元增加到2221亿美元，即增长了274.54%。高新技术产品的大量进口对于促进其产业结构转型升级和探索国民经济新的增长点发挥了作用。此外，美国还通过遍布全球的跨国公司大量进口制成品，带动了其中间产品的出口。

From a historical point of view,The United States by expanding import effectively promote the country steady economic growth,To promote the export and import,Realize the global interests.The United States through the practice"The global open"Resource strategy,Set up the global multi-level/Multi-channel supply security system,Ensure the American economic growth for raw materials and resource products of high demand.From 1990 ~ 2000,The United States high-tech products imported from $59.3 billion to $222.1 billion,That is increased by 274.54%.A large number of high-tech products imported to promote the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure and explore the new growth point of national economy plays an important role.In addition,The United States also through all over the world multinational corporations in the importation of large quantity of manufactured goods,Drive of the export of products between.

　　贸易摩擦加剧，中国外贸保十就应扩进口。三大贸易伙伴中，中美贸易“机中有危”、中欧贸易持续下滑、中日贸易遭遇冰点。

Trade friction has intensified,China's foreign trade the ten should be expanding import.Three big trade partners,The us-china trade"Machine have dangerous"/Central European trade continued to slide/Sino-japanese trade encounter freezing point.

　　中国对美出口下降、双方贸易摩擦加剧、第三轮量化宽松货币政策（QE3）加快印钱都使中美贸易“机中有危”。

China's exports to America down/Both sides trade friction has intensified/The third round of quantitative easing monetary policy(QE3)To speed up the printing money that sino-us trade"Machine have dangerous".

　　海关数据显示，2012年8月，中国对美国出口累计同比增长10.2%，9月，中国对美国出口累计同比增长9.6%，9月比8月下降了0.6个百分点，美国拉动中国出口的作用将逐渐减弱；另外，大选年，中美贸易摩擦开始升温。无论是美商务部裁定中国输美化学增白剂、镀锌钢丝、钢质车轮存在倾销和补贴行为，还是其对华输美晶体硅光伏电池组件征收高额惩罚性关税，再或是美国制造业联盟采取对中国引擎、汽车电子设备、轮胎等相关产品发起的“双反”调查，又或是最近美国众议院情报委员会称华为、中兴可能威胁美国通信安全。如此密集的贸易争端都意味着中美贸易摩擦正在全面升级；而QE3出台后，美联储加速印美元，中国购买的美国国债又贬值了。这种“你买我国债，我买你产品”的平衡很有可能被打破。

Customs data display,In August 2012,China's exports to the United States in total year-on-year growth of 10.2%,September,China's exports to the United States in total year-on-year growth of 9.6%,9 month than in August fell 0.6%,The United States pull China's export effect will be weakened;In addition,Election year,The sino-american trade friction began warming.Whether beautiful ministry of commerce ruled China lost beauty chemical brightener/Galvanized steel wire/Steel wheel exists dumping and subsidies behavior,China is the lost beauty crystalline silicon solar cell module collection high punitive tariffs,Again or the United States manufacturing alliance to take China's engine/Automotive electronics equipment/Tires and other related products launched"Double reverse"survey,Or recently the United States house of representatives intelligence committee said huawei/Zte may threaten the communication security.So intense trade dispute means the sino-american trade friction is overall upgrade;And after QE3 issued,The federal reserve printing dollars acceleration,China's purchases of us treasuries and the depreciation.this"You buy my national debt,I buy your product"Balance is likely to be broken.

　　目前，我国的进口格局不利于产业结构转型升级。首先，我国的货物进口结构不尽合理，没有有效地服务于制造业的转型升级。加工贸易占比过高、资本品进口占比很低；其次、服务进口规模偏小、结构落后，没有有效地推动服务业的大发展；再次，技术进口也没有有效地服务于国家自主创新体系的建设；最后，进口及进口政策未能有效地服务于内陆承接沿海产业转移。

At present,China's import pattern against the industrial structure transformation and upgrade.First of all,China's imports of goods structure is not rational,No effective services in the manufacturing industry transformation and upgrade.Processing trade accounts for high than/The import of capital goods than is very low;secondly/Service import small scale/Structure behind,No effectively promote the development of the service industry;again,The technology import is not effectively serve the national independent innovation system construction;finally,Import and import policy failed to effectively serve in inland undertake coastal industrial transfer.

　　扩大进口不仅能突破资源利用瓶颈，充分利用全球资源，实现国民经济的持续增长，而且先进设备和先进技术的进口可以有效地促进科技进步和提高劳动，推动产业结构升级与优化。对进口大国而言，更可以充分利用其进口地位来推动出口，通过进出口的良性互动实现全球利益。

To expand import not only can breakthrough the bottleneck of resource utilization,Make full use of the global resources,To realize the sustained growth of national economy,And advanced equipment and advanced technology import can effectively promote the progress of science and technology and improve labor,To promote the upgrading of the industrial structure and optimization.As for importing countries,More can make full use of its import status to promote export,Through the import and export of the benign interaction to realize global interests.

　　外贸国八条中第六条就提到“积极扩大进口，重点增加进口先进技术设备、关键零部件以及与人民群众密切相关的生活用品，支持企业技术改造，促进贸易平衡”。中国现在应该扩进口拉动内需和消费，从而促进国内经济的发展。更重要的是，要让老百姓感受到扩大进口的实惠，形成外贸与消费的良性互动。

Article 8 foreign countries in article 6 is mentioned"Actively expand import,Key increase import advanced technology and equipment/The key parts and the people closely related articles for daily use,Support technology improvement of enterprises,Promote trade balance".China should now expanding import stimulating domestic demand and consumption,So as to promote the development of the domestic economy.More important is,To let people feel the benefits to expand import,Foreign trade and consumption formed the benign interaction.

　　传统经济学认为，只有净进出口才会拉动国内生产总值（GDP）增长，如果顺差减少或逆差增加，对外贸易就会对GDP形成负拉动。其实这种研究只是在静态地观察GDP,不适合解释当前高度全球化背景下进口的作用，从而造成错误的认识。

Traditional economics think,Only the net import and export will pull the gross domestic product(GDP)growth,If surplus to reduce or increase the deficit,Foreign trade would be to GDP forming negative pull.Actually this kind of research is just in the static observations of the GDP,Not suitable for explaining the height import role under the background of globalization,Thus result in the wrong understanding.

　　不在沉默中爆发，就在沉默中死亡。中国扩进口，正当其时。

Be not in silently explosion,In the silence of death.China's expanding import,As time.