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钟慧文:贸易保护将使美国丧失中国机会--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-11-05

  美国总统奥巴马年初在其首份国情咨文中发出“豪言壮志”:未来5年内使出口翻一番,这项举措将为美国创造200万个就业机会。尽管美国政府已经将出口视为美国增长和就业的核心驱动力,但尽快消除限制美对华高科技出口的种种不合时宜的管制,克服国内政治阻力,仍是奥巴马急需解决的问题。

Obama President of the United States earlier this year in the first state of the union message out"Ambitious ambition":The next five years to double the export,The move will be the United States to create 2 million jobs.Although the U.S. government has taken as the United States export growth and employment of the core driving force,But as soon as possible eliminate restrictions beauty China high-tech exports various untimely control,To overcome the domestic political resistance,Is still the problem to be solved badly for barack Obama.

  “美国必须像我们的竞争者一样,积极寻找新市场。”奥巴马口中的“美国竞争者”,很多人认为指向中国。在金融危机最为严重时,美国的贸易保护主义条款公然地出现在其经济刺激计划当中,金融危机两年间,美国针对中国贸易保护主义案件明显增加。

"The United States must like as our competitors,Actively looking for new markets."Obama mouth"American competitors",Many people think that point to China.In the financial crisis is most serious,America's trade protectionism clause openly in its economic stimulus program,Financial crisis two years,The United States to China's trade protectionism case increased significantly.

  “金融危机后,美国政府迫于国内各种就业压力、选民压力等更加大了保护本国产品的力度以让老百姓满意,所以必然要找各种理由阻拦国外产品进入本国。”对外经贸大学姚新超教授表示。

"After the financial crisis,The United States government under all sorts of domestic employment pressure/Voters pressure more big protect domestic product strength to let people satisfaction,So must find all sorts of reason to stop foreign product enters the country."Foreign economic and trade university yao new super professor said.

  在经济复苏阶段,美国开始重新审视其贸易政策,意识到单纯的贸易保护主义只是临时措施,要让美国加快实现美国经济结构的转型,美国政府已经将出口视为美国增长和就业的核心驱动力。

In the economic recovery stage,The United States is beginning to reconsider its trade policy,Realize simple trade protectionism is just a temporary measures,To make the U.S. accelerate the realization of the transformation of the economic structure,The U.S. government has taken as the United States export growth and employment of the core driving force.

  有分析人士认为,美国出口多以高新科技和高技术产品为主。奥巴马将清洁能源技术定位为高新技术,认为这是拉动美国经济复苏的力量之一。

Have analysts believe,The United States and export more to high and new science and technology and high technology product mainly.Obama will clean energy technology positioning for the high technology and new technology,Think that this is the power of the us economic recovery pull one.

  因此,美国清洁能源技术瞄准了中国这个庞大的市场,美国商务部部长骆家辉曾多次来到中国重点推介其清洁能源技术。

therefore,American clean energy technology aimed at the China's huge market,The us department of commerce minister LuoGuHui has repeatedly come to China highlights the clean energy technology.

  然而,美国对中国技术的出口并非想象中那么简单,中国商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院国际市场研究部副主任白明研究员表示,中美双方的分歧很大,中国希望美国出口给中国先进技术,而恰恰美国对于高新技术出口管制非常严格。这几乎让美国企业失去了巨大的中国市场。

however,The United States on China's exports of technology is not imagination in so simple,Grey self sticky web paper tape ernational trade and economic cooperation research institute international market research, deputy director of the bai Ming researcher said,Both sides differences,China hopes that the United States export to China's advanced technology,And on the United States for high and new technology export control is very strict.It was almost let American enterprise lost huge market in China.

  美国商务部部长骆家辉就用“已经失灵”来形容这一“损人不利己”的政策。骆家辉指出,美国需要改革高科技产品出口的限制体系,不应控制那些已经可以从其他国家购买的高新技术产品的出口。

The us department of commerce minister LuoGuHui use"Has failure"To describe the"Benefit dog in the manger"policy.LuoGuHui pointed out that,The United States needs to reform high-tech product export restriction system,Should not control those who have can from other countries to buy high-tech product export.

  相关统计数据显示,2001年,美国产品还占中国高科技产品进口总额的18.3%,但到2008年已降至7%。对此,中国商务部发言人姚坚曾表示:“这说明美国出口管制政策大大制约了美国对中国的贸易。”

Related statistical data display,In 2001,,American products of China's high-tech products is 18.3% of total imports,But has already dropped to 7% by 2008.this,Chinese commerce ministry spokesman YaoJianCeng said:"This shows that the United States export control policy which restricted the United States to China's trade."

  专家估计,未来15年内中国高科技市场的年增长率将达到20%—40%。但由于美国采取的管制措施,这一巨大的市场显然让美国企业可望而不可及。所以,中南财经政法大学国际问题研究所刘建华教授认为,美国如要走技术出口的路线以创造就业并拉动经济增长,就必须从自己做起,先解决“政策”的问题。

Experts estimate that,The next 15 years China high-tech market annual growth rate will reach 20% - 40%.But because the United States take control measures,This huge market obviously make the enterprise unattainable.so,Central south finance and economics politics and law university international problem research institute professor liu think,The United States like to go the technology export route to create employment and stimulate economic growth,We must start from ourselves,To solve"policy"problems.

  诸多专家认为,中国作为美国的第二大贸易伙伴,在此次美国出口计划中扮演着十分重要的角色。据其他媒体援引的美国经济分析局的统计数据显示,从2001年到2009年底,美国对华货物出口总额从9年前的162亿美元上升到去年的近700亿美元,9年内增加了3.3倍,比增幅第二的对巴西货物出口高出近260%。同期美国对世界其他市场的出口只增加了29%。美国传统的主要出口市场如加拿大、墨西哥则分别只增加了14%和16%。中国成为增幅最快的出口市场。

Many experts think,China, as America's second largest trade partner,In the United States export plans play a very important role in.According to other media quoted American economic analysis of the bureau of statistics,From 2001 to the end of 2009,The United States exports to China from nine years ago total $16.2 billion up to nearly $70 billion last year,9 years increased 3.3 times,The second growth than to Brazil exports nearly 260% higher.The rest of the world the United States market export increased by only 29%.The traditional American main export markets such as Canada/Mexico respectively increased by only 14% and 16%.China has become the fastest increase export market.

  另外,市场的稳定性也让美国对华刮目相看。美国对华出口2009年基本同危机前的2008年持平,而2009年美国对其他10个主要出口市场的跌幅达到19%,加拿大、日本、德国等市场的跌幅都在21%以上。

In addition,The stability of the market also let the United States to sit up and take notice.Us exports to China in 2009 before the crisis with basic about the same as in 2008,In 2009 the United States and to other 10 main export market decline reached 19%,Canada/Japan/Germany market decline in more than 21%.

  上海国际问题研究院副院长陈东晓认为,就美国出口而言,中国市场前景广阔且后劲十足。对奥巴马政府而言,如何抵制美国国内尤其是国会中涌动着的各种不利于对华贸易的保护主义逆流,尽快消除限制美对华高科技出口的种种不合时宜的管制,克服国内政治阻力,推动多哈回合谈判的早日完成,将深刻地影响美今后对华出口的前景。(钟慧文)

Shanghai international problem, vice President of the institute ChenDongXiao think,The United States for exports,The Chinese market prospect and immense.For Obama in the government,How to resist the United States congress especially in the various surge against China trade protectionism countercurrent,Eliminate as soon as possible limit beauty China high-tech exports various untimely control,To overcome the domestic political resistance,We will promote the doha round of talks to an early fruition,Will a profound influence on beauty in the future prospect of exports.(ZhongHuiWen)



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