在美国总统大选白热化之际，美国国会众院出炉报告称，中国大陆电信业巨头华为技术有限公司和中兴通讯严重威胁美国国家安全，因此，这两家公司不得成为美国政府任何相关项目的承包商，也不得在美国参与公司的并购。如果美国众院的指控被西方国家普遍接受，那么，这两家公司在欧洲、加拿大的扩张业务，也将遭到限制，影响可谓巨大。昨日，导报记者就此电话采访了中国国际问题研究所世界经济与发展研究部主任、研究员姜跃春。

In the United States presidential election the white-hot,The United States congress a house report says,Mainland China telecoms giant huawei technologies co., LTD. And zte serious threat to U.S. national security,therefore,The two companies may not be the United States government any related project contractor,In the United States will not participate in the company's merger and acquisition.If the United States house charges by western countries generally accepted,so,The two companies in Europe/Canada's business expansion,Will also was limited,Influence is huge.yesterday,Offer the reporter telephone interview the Chinese institute of international problems the world economy and the development of the director of research/The researchers JiangYueChun.

　　封杀中国企业有冷战思维

Chinese enterprises have blocked the cold war thinking

　　姜跃春表示，美国以“威胁国家安全”为由封杀华为、中兴是美国将冷战思维植入贸易保护主义的体现。在目前世界各国的经济关系当中，以“威胁国家安全”这种原因拒绝中国企业的状况并不太多，这里面显然还是有冷战思维的痕迹，有以意识形态划线的色彩。

JiangYueChun said,The United States to"Threaten national security"For force-out huawei/Zte is the cold war thinking will be implanted into the embodiment of the trade protectionism.In the present world of economic relations,to"Threaten national security"This kind of reasons to reject to Chinese enterprise's condition is not too much,It obviously there are still traces of cold war thinking,The ideological line colour.

　　姜跃春分析，由于中美两国政治制度、意识形态、具体国情都存在巨大差异，美国一直在提防中国。随着中国国力逐渐上升，经济实力不断增强，特别是中国GDP总量超过日本成为世界第二经济大国之后，美国对中国的“担忧”情绪，更是迅速增加。近些年来，中国对美国存在巨大的贸易逆差，这让经济出现衰退、失业率居高不下的美国心里很不舒服。尽管美国口头上一直倡导贸易自由化，但它是让其他国家贸易自由化，而自己却经常搞贸易保护主义。美国频频找中国企业的茬儿，针对中国企业设置的反倾销、反补贴、特保等贸易壁垒越来越多。

JiangYueChun analysis,Because the two countries political system/ideology/Specific national conditions have great differences,The United States has been on guard against China.With China's national strength gradually rise,Economy has been strengthened,Especially China GDP over Japan to become the world's second after economic powers,The United States to China's"concerns"emotional,Is increasing rapidly.In recent years,China to the United States there is a huge trade deficit,It makes economy into recession/High unemployment rate in the United States in the heart is very uncomfortable.Although the United States has been advocated in word trade liberalization,But it is let other countries trade liberalization,And the other is often for trade protectionism.The United States frequently find Chinese enterprise a quarrel,For Chinese enterprise set up anti-dumping/countervailing/Safeguard etc barriers to trade more and more.

　　为大选拉选票是一大因素

For the general election ballot is a big factor

　　“美国现在大选如火如荼也是一大因素。”姜跃春说，现在距离美国2012大选投票日只有不到一个月的时间，而奥巴马和罗姆尼的竞争已陷入白热化，双方选情呈现胶着状态，在这个时候，“中国威胁”往往会被放在舆论的焦点上，民主党和共和党都会大肆攻击中国，就是出于拉选票的考虑。在美国大选中，就业与经济无疑是最热的话题，也是奥巴马和罗姆尼相互攻防的“主战场”。共和党候选人罗姆尼指责奥巴马对华软弱，导致美国工人的工作被中国挤占。针对这一指责，奥巴马政府对华政策趋于强硬并不出人意料。

"The United States is now the general election like a raging fire one of the main factors."JiangYueChun said,Now the United States distance 2012 election polling day only less than a month time,And Mr Obama and Mr Romney's competition has intensified into,Both sides rather present conglutination state,At this time,"China threat"Often is placed on the central issue of public opinion on,Democrats and republicans will be a savage attack on China,Is out of ballot consideration.In the United States in the general election,Employment and the economy is the hottest topic,Is barack Obama and Mr Romney each other of the offensive and defensive"Main battlefield".Republican candidate Mr Romney accused Obama of weak in China,Led to the American workers work by China occupy.The accused,Obama government policy toward China tend to be strong is not surprising.

　　“此外，美国一直有打压"老二"的传统。”姜跃春说，当年在日本经济如日中天的时候，美国都下力封杀日本企业的扩张，尽管美日双方还都是一个体制。现在中国超过日本，美国采取各种手段对中国企业进行打压就不足为奇了。

"In addition,The United States has been a press"second"traditional."JiangYueChun said,During the Japanese economy when revelation,The United States dint force-out Japanese enterprise's expansion,Although the both sides also is a system.China is now more than Japan,The United States adopted various means to Chinese enterprises is not surprising that pressure.

　　两国若打贸易战 谁也受不了

If the two countries play a trade war Who can't stand

　　针对一些国外媒体担忧美国屡屡打压中国企业可能会导致中美之间爆发贸易战，姜跃春分析，美国政府打压中国企业的确会对中国“走出去”产生一定的负面影响，但尚不至于导致两国大打贸易战的地步。中美两国贸易额巨大，经贸合作非常密切，一个是世界老大，一个是世界老二，如果开打贸易战，不但中美两国受不了，世界经济也会受不了。但是随着中国的崛起，两国的经贸摩擦将会逐步增多是不争的事实。

In view of some foreign media repeatedly fears that the us that Chinese enterprises could lead to a trade war between China and the United States broke out,JiangYueChun analysis,The United States government crack down on Chinese enterprises indeed for China"Go out"Produce a certain negative impact,But it was not caused two nus play the point of a trade war.The huge trade volume between the two countries,Economic and trade cooperation is very close,A is the boss,A second is the world,If open trade war,Not only the two countries can't stand,The world economy will also can't stand it.But with the rise of China,The economic and trade frictions between the two countries will gradually increase is an indisputable fact.

　　此外，姜跃春对中国企业“走出去”的未来发展表示了乐观：“类似华为、中兴这种具有技术含量的企业"走出去"是一个大趋势，未来有相当大的空间。我们不必因为这样一件事情产生悲观情绪，中国企业有未来，中国未来在世界上的发展空间增大，是任何人、任何国家都阻挡不了的。”

In addition,JiangYueChun for Chinese enterprises"Go out"The future development of expressed optimism:"Similar huawei/Zte has the technical content of the enterprise"Go out"Is a big trend,The future has quite a large space.We don't have to because such a thing produce pessimism,Chinese enterprises have a future,China's future development in the world space increases,Is anyone/No country can stop the."

　　姜跃春说，对于中国企业来说，面对走向国际市场中遇到的种种障碍，一定要做好相关调研工作，将各种可能出现的障碍估计充分，提早做好相关预案，以尽可能减少损失。而中国政府也应该加大对中国企业“走出去”的支持力度，在政策上、在国际贸易争端上提供更多的帮助。

JiangYueChun said,For Chinese enterprise is,Face towards the international market encounter all kinds of difficulties,Must work well related research work,Will all kinds of possible obstacles estimate fully,Early good correlation plan,As far as possible to reduce the loss.The Chinese government should also strengthen the Chinese enterprise"Go out"support,In the policy/In the international trade disputes to provide more help.

　　导报记者 李效伟 

Reporter gaining LiXiaoWei