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人民币汇率再度涨停 出口行业最“难受”--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-11-07

  又是涨停!昨日,人民币兑美元汇率再度涨停,报得6.2447,这已是近九个交易日以来,人民币兑美元第八次盘中触及涨停价。在人民币不断涨停的情形下,出口行业或成为最“难受”行业之一。

Is harden!yesterday,The dollar harden again,Reported in 6.2447,This is nearly nine since trading day,The us dollar eighth plate touch harden price.In RMB continuously harden cases,Export industry or become the most"uncomfortable"One of the industry.

  “现在商场里很多衣服都已经不再是Made in China了,中国的出口行业已经显示出被挤压。”兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委表示,中国由于人工成本的不断攀升,已经使以制造业为主的出口商喘不过气来,而不断的人民币汇率升值,则让这一行业面临挑战。

"Now a lot of clothes stores are no longer is Made in China the,China's export industry has shown by extrusion."Industrial bank chief economist commissar lu said,China due to the artificial cost increasing,Has made the exporter specializing in manufacture of breath,And the continuous appreciation of the RMB exchange rate,Is making the industry faces a challenge.

  目前,中国的出口商仍多以劳动集约型的制造业为主,纺织品等行业在出口产品中名列前茅。有数据统计,人民币每升值1%,纺织外贸企业利润或下滑1%至4%。如果成本无法降低的话,企业的利润会迅速受到压制。而今年上半年,在41家纺织服装上市公司中,25家的汇兑收入出现负数,有些企业报亏超百万元。

At present,China's exporters are still in the labor intensive industries,Textile industries in the export products of the top.Data statistics,RMB appreciation of 1% each,Textile foreign trade enterprise profit or fell 1% to 4%.If you cannot reduce the cost of words,Enterprise's profits will be quickly suppressed.And in the first half of this year,In 41 home textile and clothing in the listed companies,25 home exchange income appear negative,Some enterprise report loss exceeds one million yuan.

  鲁政委表示,不仅中国自身的加工贸易行业出现下滑,就连国外直接投资(FDI)都有所减少,国际高新的技术外溢减少,中国恐将出现“收入陷阱”。因此中国必须实现经济发展方式的转型,改变低端加工行业不再具有优势、而高新技术又做不了的状态。

Lu zhengwei said,Not only China's processing trade industry declined,Even foreign direct investment(FDI)Have reduce,The international high new technology spillovers decrease,China fears will appear"Income trap".So China must realize the transformation of the mode of economic development,Change the low processing industry is no longer has the advantage/And high and new technology and the state of can't do.

  鲁政委认为,拯救中国经济的途径,只有加强人民币汇率的弹性,也就是继续逐步扩大汇率浮动区间,人民币才能应对未来再度出现的汇率变化。

Lu zhengwei think,Save China's economic way,Only strengthen the flexibility of the RMB exchange rate,Is also continue to gradually expand the range of floating exchange rate,RMB to cope with future reemergence exchange rate changes.

  不过,不少专家也认为,人民币汇率升值是短期的。渣打银行经济学家李炜表示,人民币在经济基本面上并没有支撑持续升值的动力。美国推出QE3之后,美元贬值、人民币出现升值预期,不少此前持有美元的个人和企业会对其手中的外汇比例进行调整,这就放大了人民币升值的空间,这种调整结束后,人民币可能将回归正常。

but,Many experts also believe that,The exchange rate for the renminbi appreciation is short.Standard chartered bank economists LiHui said,RMB in basic economic face did not support the continued appreciation in power.The United States launched after QE3,dollar/RMB appreciation is expected to appear,Many previous $hold individuals and enterprises will be the hands of foreign exchange rate adjustment,This amplification the appreciation of the RMB space,This adjustment after the end,RMB may will return to normal.



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