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出口增速继续反弹 专家认为外贸形势依然严峻--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-11-12
海关总署10日发布的数据显示,今年前10月,我国进出口总值31615.7亿美元,同比增长6.3%。其中,出口16709亿美元,增长7.8%;进口14906.7亿美元,增长4.6%;贸易顺差1802.3亿美元。
Promulgated by the general administration of customs and the data display,In the first 10 months of this year,China import and export (GDP) of us $3.16157 trillion,Year-on-year growth of 6.3%.the,Export $1.6709 trillion,Growth of 7.8%;Imported 1.49067 trillion us dollars,Growth of 4.6%;The trade surplus of $180.23 billion.
10月当月,我国进出口总值为3191.5亿美元,同比增长7.3%。其中,出口1755.7亿美元,增长11.6%;进口1435.8亿美元,增长2.4%。10月我国外贸进出口总值同比增速比9月回升1个百分点,其中出口回升1.7个百分点,进口增速与9月份持平。当月贸易顺差319.9亿美元。
The October,China import and export value is 319.15 billion dollars,Year-on-year growth of 7.3%.the,Export $175.57 billion,Growth of 11.6%;Imported 143.58 billion us dollars,Growth of 2.4%.October our country foreign trade import and export value year-on-year growth than September picks up 1%,The export picks up 1.7%,Import growth and flat in September.The trade surplus of $31.99 billion.
分析人士表示,尽管出口连续多月反弹,但综合国内外多种因素来看,外贸形势依然严峻,未来几个月外贸不确定性因素仍然较大,明年外贸困难仍较多。在这一背景下,加快转变经济发展方式显得尤为紧迫,应采取多项措施扩大国内消费,加强消费对经济的拉动作用。
Analysts said,Although exports rebound continuous more than a month,But the comprehensive factors at home and abroad come to see,Foreign trade situation is still severe,The next few month foreign trade is still greater uncertainty,Foreign trade is still more difficult next year.In this context,To speed up the transformation of the mode of economic development is particularly urgent,A number of measures should be taken to expand domestic consumption,Strengthen consumption to economic role in boosting.
外贸不确定性仍存
Foreign trade are still uncertainties
分析人士表示,出口反弹难以持续,未来几个月乃至明年外贸的不确定性仍然较大,外贸困难依旧存在。兴业银行首席经济学家鲁政委表示,10月出口增速重回双位数,除西方圣诞节因素外,还具有偶然性,未来无法持续,因为人民币有效汇率仍然高估,主要进口来源地出口低迷,外商投资企业利润状况恶化。
Analysts said,Export rebound unsustainable,The next few months and even next year the uncertainty of foreign trade is still greater,Foreign trade difficulties still exist.Industrial bank chief economist commissar lu said,October export growth back to double digits,In addition to the western Christmas outside factors,Also has contingency,The future can't continue,Because RMB effective exchange rate is still overvalued,The main source of imports export downturn,Enterprises with foreign investment profit situation worse.
汇丰银行大中华区首席经济学家屈宏斌表示,受季节性因素拉动,10月劳动密集型产品出口有所反弹,家具和鞋类出口增长明显,拉动了出口增长。美国临近“财政悬崖”,未来消费及投资品进口可能走弱,同时欧洲实体经济仍在萎缩,我国出口反弹可能难以持续,但内需回暖可能拉动未来进口回升。
HSBC bank chief economist in the greater China region QuHongBin said,Pulled by seasonal factors,October labor-intensive products export rebounded,Furniture and footwear export growth significantly,Pull the export growth.The United States is near"Financial cliff",The future consumption and investment imports may go weak,At the same time the European entity economy is still in the atrophy,Our export rebound may be unsustainable,But domestic demand milder may pull future import picks up.
需要指出的是,虽然统计数据显示出口连续回升,但刚结束的广交会成交额和客商数双双下降,未来外贸形势备受关注。
It should be pointed out that,Although the statistical data shows that export continuous picks up,But just at the end of the Canton fair turnover and merchants both number down,The future foreign trade situation of concern.
商务部部长陈德铭日前表示,今后几个月的外贸形势仍比较严峻,完成全年的外贸目标任务非常艰巨。展望明年,外贸困难也是比较多的。
The ministry of commerce minister Chen deming said on Monday,The next few month of foreign trade situation is still grim,Finish the task very difficult goal of foreign trade.Outlook next year,Foreign trade is also more difficult.
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