根据海关统计，2012年前11个月我国进出口总值35002.8亿美元，比去年同期增长5.8%。不难看出，除非最后一个月出现井喷式增长，否则年初制定的外贸增长10%的目标很可能会泡汤。

According to customs statistics,2012 years ago in 11 months of import and export (GDP) of us $3.50028 trillion,Than last year the corresponding period grows 5.8%.It is easy to see,Unless the last month appear blowout type growth,Otherwise formulated at the beginning of foreign trade growth target of 10% are likely to be killed.

　　为了稳外贸，不仅企业在想办法，国家也在想办法。如9月12日，国务院常务会议通过《关于促进外贸稳定增长的若干意见》；9月27日，海关总署亦出台16项措施促进外贸稳定增长。不过，现阶段出于稳外贸动机的“想方设法”并不等于以往刺激外贸增长的“千方百计”，不仅要讲求实效，而且也更体现出火候的适度。

In order to stable foreign trade,Not only enterprise in trying to,Countries are trying to.On September 12, such as,By the state council executive meeting[On promoting the steady growth of foreign trade some opinions];On September 27,,The general administration of customs also issued and measures to promote the steady growth of foreign trade.but,At the present stage of stable foreign trade motivation"Trying to"In the past is not equal to stimulate the growth of foreign trade"By hook or by crook",Not only wants be particular about actual effect,But also more embodies the moderate temperature.

　　由于欧债危机、贸易摩擦加剧、人民币升值、各种要素成本上升等因素的叠加作用，2012年的对外贸易步履蹒跚，个别月份甚至险些出现滑坡。在这种情况下，我国外贸增长想要快起来也不容易。况且，即使没有上述因素的存在，我国参与国际分工所倚仗的人口红利与加入世贸组织后带来的市场红利都在某种程度上略显透支。既然不具备适宜的客观条件，我国外贸发展也不必像前些年那样一定要千方百计扩大出口。再说，我们手上有3.2万亿美元的外汇储备，相对于进口需求等用汇开销而言，可以说是相对宽裕，外汇储备再进一步增加不仅加大了人民币升值压力，而且也通过外汇占款方式增加货币流通量，不利于化解通胀压力。

Due to the debt crisis/Trade friction has intensified/Appreciation of the RMB/The rise in the cost of various elements of the factors such as superimposition,In 2012, foreign trade teeter,In individual even nearly appear landslide.In this case,Our country foreign trade growth want to hurry up and get also not easy.besides,Even without the presence of the above factors,Our country participate in the international division of labor which depend on the demographic bonus and join the wto bring market dividends in some degree on slightly overdraft.Now that do not have appropriate objective conditions,Our country foreign trade development also don't like before some year that must leave no stone unturned to expand exports.besides,We have had a 3.2 trillion dollar reserves,Relative to foreign import demand, etc in spending,Can be said to be relatively ample,Foreign currency reserves to further increase not only increase the appreciation of the RMB pressure,But also through the funding of foreign exchange way to increase the amount of money in circulation,To resolve the inflation pressure.

　　作为拉动经济的三驾马车之一，在强化稳外贸力度的同时，我国外贸增长面临挤干水分的问题。

As the economy of one of the three carriages,In strengthen the stability of the foreign trade strength at the same time,Our country foreign trade growth face squeeze dry water problem.

　　我国外贸发展要挤掉的第一碗水是相关政策中的水分。在外部环境不给力的情况下，国家出台一些鼓励稳外贸的政策无可厚非，但决不能因此而给外贸发展“注水”。相比之下，现阶段的出口压力虽然也不少，但国家尚未像以往那样提高部分出口商品的退税率，只是在现有出口退税率基础上加快出口退税进度，属于提高效率的范畴。现在看来，即使国家出于稳外贸的需要而提高某些产品的出口退税率，涉及范围与程度也相对有限。

Our country foreign trade development to edge out the first bowl of water is the water related policy.In the external environment not to force of circumstances,The country has issued some encouragement stable foreign trade policy understandable,But never so to foreign trade development"injection".Compared with,The current stage of the outlet pressure although also many,But the country has not been as usual to improve some of the export commodity rebate rate,Just in the existing export rebate rate basis to speed up the progress of the export tax rebate,Belong to the category of efficiency.Now it seems,Even if the state of stability of foreign trade to improve certain products export rebate rate,Range and degree is relatively limited.

　　我国外贸发展要挤掉的第二碗水是经营过程中的水分。的确，面对着国际市场的不景气，国内一些企业往往是以价换量，依靠价格竞争来保住国际市场的占有率。与主动性的薄利多销不同，这种过度倚仗价格竞争的办法往往是被动的，最终发展到亏损经营的地步。事实上，如果靠牺牲利润或者干脆靠亏损取得的出口增长并不满足“有效益、有质量、可持续的增长”的要求，也属于带有水分的增长，必须要彻底扭转。

Our country foreign trade development to edge out second bowl of water management is the process of moisture.indeed,Facing the international market downturn,Some domestic enterprise are usually based on price in quantity,Rely on price competition to keep the international market share.And initiative of different small profits and quick turnover,This kind of excessive relying on price competition method is always the passive,Finally developed to the point of business losses.In fact,If, by sacrifice profits or simply by loss of export growth has not satisfied"A benefit/quality/Sustainable growth"requirements,With the growth of water also belong to,Must complete turn.

　　我国外贸发展要挤掉的第三碗水是对生态环境的破坏。不能够仅仅为了保住对外贸易增长目标的实现，而对高耗能、高污染睁一只眼闭一只眼，前些年过度出口稀土而对国内生态环境造成的破坏就应引以为鉴。相反，越是在外贸形势不好的时刻，就越要注重转变对外贸易增长的方式，积极推进“三自三高”产品出口，在追求自主营销、自主知识产权、自主品牌与高技术、高附加值、高效益上多下功夫。

Our country foreign trade development to edge out the third bowl of water is the destruction of the ecological environment.Can't just in order to keep the foreign trade growth target realization,For high/High pollution sees with one eye closed and with one eye,Too many rare earth export to the domestic ecological environmental damage should take warning.instead,The more we are in foreign trade situation bad moments,The more you should pay attention to change the way of foreign trade growth,Actively promote"Three-self three tenors"The products are exported to,In the pursuit of independent marketing/Independent intellectual property rights/The independent brand and high technology/High added value/High efficiency can spend more time.

　　（白明）

(Bai Ming)