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贸易摩擦挑战中印关系--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-12-28

  每当谈及中印关系,边界争端自然会成为热议焦点。过去,这或许是绕不开的话题,但如今两国贸易、商业和经济关系中迅速涌现的难题,也已像边界问题那样亟须引起人们的重视。

Every time when it comes to relationship between India and China,Border dispute will naturally become the focus of hot debate.In the past,This is probably won't open,But now the two countries trade/Commercial and economic relations in the rapidly emerging problems,Has also like boundary problem it aroused people's attention.

  目前,中国印度最大的贸易伙伴,印度也跻身中国十大贸易伙伴行列。过去,贸易及相关事务是一种稳定因素,两国领导人都将贸易发展视作双边关系改善的重要成果。然而,最近几年,有关贸易摩擦的报道日益增多。主要问题是有利于中国的贸易失衡。

At present,,China is India's largest trading partner,India and China's top ten trading partners.In the past,Trade is a kind of unstable factors and related affairs,The two leaders will trade development as an important achievement of improving bilateral relations.However,,In recent years,Reports of trade frictions are increasing.The main problem is conducive to China's trade imbalance.

  此外,贸易组成也不合理。印度主要从中国进口机械和制成品,但出口的却是棉花、铁矿石等原材料。在印度看来,这种贸易现状难以为继并有可能引发贸易保护主义的冲动。在没有签署自贸协定的情况下,印度经常迫于国内压力对中国进口商品提高关税。另一方面,中资企业时常抱怨印度不但歧视中国投资,还通过苛刻的安全条款或签证制度限制中国公司。

In addition,Trade composition is not reasonable.India's main imports from China machinery and manufactured goods,But the export is cotton/Iron ore and other raw materials.It seems to India,The trade situation worse and may cause the impulse of trade protectionism.In have not signed the trade under the condition of the agreement,India is often forced to domestic pressure on Chinese imports to raise tariffs.On the other hand,Chinese enterprises often complain about not only discrimination against Chinese investment in India,Through the harsh security terms or visa system limited company in China.

  因此,未来几年,不利于印度的贸易逆差必将随双边贸易额上升而扩大,两国领导层将面临更严峻挑战。印度领导层无疑将痛苦不堪,因为印度现有经济不具备改变当前贸易失衡状况的能力。而通过实现人民币国际化以及在亚洲创建各种金融机构,中国将进一步强化在本地区的关键资本来源国地位。    

so,In the coming years,Against India's trade deficit will expand with bilateral trade volume increasing,The leadership of the two countries will face more severe challenges.India's leadership will undoubtedly have a miserable,For India's economy does not have the ability to change the current trade imbalances.And through the realization of RMB internationalization and create all kinds of financial institutions in Asia,China will further strengthen capital source for the key in the region.    

  另一方面,无论是在应对全球气候变化,还是在国际能源价格制定等方面,印中两国都存在着互惠互利的合作空间。印度应该仔细评估两国合作发展的含义:是否开始考虑在印度设立人民币市场?由于中国在电力、通信等领域极具竞争力,是否尝试与中国形成相关战略商业伙伴关系?中国坐拥巨额盈余资金,是否该考虑引入来自中国的外国直接投资?我们不应误以为外国直接投资只能来自西方。

On the other hand,In response to global climate change,Or in the international energy price formulation, etc,Printed in both exist mutual reciprocity and mutual benefit cooperation space.India should carefully evaluate the meaning of cooperation between the two countries:Whether began to consider opening the market in India?On the electricity/Extremely competitive communications and other fields,Whether to form relevant strategic business partner relationship with China?China's sitting on a huge surplus funds,Whether to consider introducing foreign direct investment from China?We should not mistake that foreign direct investment can only come from the west.

  中国领导人正计划在2015年允许人民币完全自由兑换,即便中国以更加审慎的渐进方式实施这一进程,其方向和最终结果都已确定无疑。当这一切变为现实,全球总体实力格局甚至将更急剧地向中国倾斜。印度政界应该摒弃徒劳无益的意识形态争论,认真考虑是否默许中国在亚洲主导的商业和经济版图。

China's leaders are planning in 2015 allowed the yuan fully convertible,Even if China with a more prudent way of gradual implementation of the process,The direction and the final results are sure.When it all into reality,Global pattern of overall strength will be even more sharply to China.Indian political ideology should discard the useless arguments,Seriously considering whether to connive at China's leading business and economic landscape in Asia.



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