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中国外贸在转型中蓄势--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-01-01

  爆发于2008年的国际金融危机打破了原有的全球政治经济均衡状态,而新的均衡尚未形成。于中国发展的重要战略机遇期而言,国际环境的内涵和条件发生了很大变化。

Outbreak in 2008 of the international financial crisis broke the original state of equilibrium in the global political economy,Has not been formed the new equilibrium.In the development of the important period of strategic opportunities,Great changes have taken place the connotation of the international environment and conditions.

  经济低迷成为全球经济新常态,复苏动力明显不足。欧美经济体的财政风险不断积累,世界经济复苏进程随时可能被打断。

Economic downturn has become the new norm of the global economy,Recovery power obviously insufficient.Europe and the United States economy the financial risk of the accumulation,The world economic recovery process could be interrupted at any time.

  受需求不振影响,传统产业辉煌不再,新工业革命尚处孕育阶段,关键技术和商业模式创新短期内难以取得突破,实现产业化、市场化仍需时日,新兴产业还难以承担起带动世界经济复苏的重任。

Affected by demand slump,Traditional industry no longer,The new industrial revolution still embryonic stage,Key technology and business model innovation is difficult to breakthrough in the short term,To realize the industrialization/The market still need more time,Emerging industry is difficult to undertake the important task of leading the world economic recovery.

  频繁的贸易摩擦,使得中国船舶(行情 股吧 买卖点)、新能源和通信设备等资本技术密集型产业与发达国家磕碰不断,出口受制;而纺织轻工等劳动密集型产业在部分市场趋于饱和,面临着外需低迷和成本上升的双重挤压,部分产能和订单向周边转移。

The frequent trade friction,China shipping(An option Shares! Buying and selling point)/New energy and communications equipment such as capital and technology intensive industry with the developed countries knock against,Export through;And textile light industry and other labor-intensive industries in the part of the market tends to be saturated,Faced with double extrusion of external demand downturn and rising costs,Part of the production and order to the surrounding.

  仍未结束的发达经济体去杠杆化,制约了居民消费和企业投资能力。新兴经济体普遍受外需不足拖累,扩大内需面临诸多障碍。

Is still not the end of the developed economies to leveraged,Restricted the residents' consumption and investment ability.Emerging economies common by external demand shortage,The expansion of domestic demand faces many obstacles.

  中国消费新生增长动力尚弱,居民能消费、敢消费、愿消费的长效机制尚未建立;汽车、家电等短期刺激消费政策过后,进一步升级潜力有限;而网购等新型消费又面临着诚信、监管等发展瓶颈,新消费增长点尚未完全形成;较低水平的生活型服务业有效供给不足,农产品(行情 股吧 买卖点)供求总体偏紧,生产和流通组织化程度偏低。

Chinese consumer new growth is still weak,Residents to consumption/Dare to consumption/Consumption of long-term mechanism has not yet been established;The car/After the home appliance such as short-term stimulating consumption policy,Further upgrading potential is limited;And e-commerce, a new type of consumption and faced with good faith/Supervision of development bottleneck,New consumption growth has not yet fully formed;Lower level of life services and effective supply,Agricultural products(An option Shares! Buying and selling point)Overall tight supply and demand,Low degree of organization of production and circulation.

  外疲内缓的情势,并不意味着中国商务难以发力。用上海市商务委员会主任张新生的话说,处在培育新产业期的外贸正在转型中蓄势,消费也有新动向。

The tired in the situation,Does not mean that Chinese business is difficult to send.In the words of ZhangXinSheng, director of the Shanghai business committee,In fostering new industries of foreign trade is gaining in transition,Consumption also has new trends.

  单从数据来看中国外贸,进出口增速从百分之二十几降至个位数,略显悲情。如果从产业结构来了解,会发现中国外贸正努力从传统的劳动密集型产品向环保、高附加值产品转型。

From data to see China's foreign trade,Import and export growth from more than 20 per cent to singly,Slightly sentimental.If from the industrial structure to understand,Will find that China's foreign trade is trying to from the traditional labor-intensive products to environmental protection/High value-added products.

  参加今年全国商务工作会议的多位沿海省市商务负责人说,进出口增速双降主要是由于加工贸易转型升级、向中西部转移以及资源和出口产品价格下跌。

Coastal provinces and cities to participate in this year's national work conference on business more than business person in charge said,Import and export growth double drop is mainly due to the transformation and upgrading of processing trade/Shift to the Midwest as well as resources and export products prices.

  沿海省市外贸占中国外贸总值的八成。虽然增速下跌,这些省市商务负责人认为,在严峻的外部形势下,外贸总体能保持平稳发展。“新兴战略和高新技术产业正在培育中,这将成为外贸新优势,在几年之后发力。”张新生介绍说,具有本土企业自主知识产权的发电设备、海洋钻井平台、液化天然气船,每一单金额都将达上亿美元。

Eighty percent of the total cost of the coastal provinces and cities of foreign trade of China's foreign trade.Although growth decline,These provinces and cities business person in charge of that,Outside of the grim situation,Foreign trade general can keep steady development."New strategy and new and high technology industries are developing,This will be a new foreign trade advantage,In a few years later."ZhangXinSheng said,With local enterprises independent intellectual property rights of power generation equipment/Marine drilling platform/Liquefied natural gas (LNG) ship,Every single amount will reach hundreds of millions of dollars.

  此外,货物贸易增速虽然下降,但服务贸易却保持着两位数增长的平稳快速势头。

In addition,Goods trade growth while falling,But service trade has maintained a double-digit growth momentum of steady fast.

  在社会消费品零售总额连续几月企稳回升的态势下,沿海一些省市增速高达30%的服务消费,成为消费领域快速增长的新亮点。服务消费的潜力,也需要相关部委研究支持服务业发展、出台引导服务消费的明细政策。

The total retail sales of social consumer goods continuously under the situation of stabilising picks up a few month,Some coastal provinces and cities service consumption growth rate as high as 30%,Has become a new luminescent spot rapid growth in the field of consumption.The potential of the service consumption,Also need to related ministries and commissions study support service industry development/Guide service consumption of detail policies.

  而在上述商务新优势成规模的几年内,中国外贸低速增长态势在短期难以改变,消费内生增长动力还待挖掘。中国商务将在培育期内蓄势。

In the above business new advantages into the scale of a few years,China foreign trade speed growth in the short term is difficult to change,Consumer still mining of the internal growing force.China business will launch during the cultivation period.



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