张燕

Zhang yan

　　2013年新年前夕，中缅边境地区的居民在炮声中度过。

New Year's eve in 2013,Myanmar border residents spent in guns.

　　2012年12月30日晚，缅甸政府军和克钦独立军发生武装冲突，3发炮弹落入云南省德宏州盈江县境内，幸未造成人员伤亡。

Evening of December 30, 2012,Myanmar's government troops and gram qin independent army armed conflict,3 rounds into the dehong prefecture of yunnan province ying jiang county territory,Luckily caused no casualties.

　　缅北冲突升级，有分析担心可能会导致新一波难民潮的出现，令本已严峻的局面进一步恶化，并使得中缅边境贸易严重受挫。

Simeon north conflict upgrade,Have analysis that could lead to the emergence of a new wave of refugees,To the already serious situation worse,And make serious setback in myanmar border trade.

　　外交部发言人华春莹4日就近日发生在缅甸北部的战事答问时表示：“中方已就此向缅方提出交涉，要求缅方立即采取有效措施，避免类似事件再次发生。”

Foreign ministry spokesman HuaChunYing 4 th recently happened in northern myanmar war when answering questions:"China has already offer MianFang negotiations are put forward,Requirements MianFang immediately take effective measures,To avoid similar events happen again."

　　云南省东南亚南亚研究所研究员朱振明曾对《第一财经日报》表示，与缅甸境内的其他少数民族不同，克钦独立军是一支力量比较强大的少数民族武装，因此拥有更多与缅甸政府抗衡的砝码，也更难妥协。

Yunnan province southeast Asia researcher at the institute of south Asian ZhuZhenMing had told[First financial daily]said,Within the territory of other minorities with myanmar,Gram qin independent army is a minority of the more powerful forces,So have more weight in the fight against the Burmese government,Also more difficult to compromise.

　　上亿边境贸易受影响

Millions of border trade

　　近日来，中缅边境一度红火的口岸贸易也在炮火声中沉寂。盈江县县委宣传部副部长龚建蓉在接受媒体采访时表示表示，盈江县的经济因为缅甸境内的战事受了很大的影响，那邦镇原本是中缅边境上的重要口岸，也即将成为国家级口岸，但由于与克钦接壤，缅甸政府便把所有通道堵住，致使往来边境的上亿贸易几近停滞。

In recent days,Myanmar border was once prosperous port trade also quiet at the sound of a fire.Ying jiang county, county party committee propaganda department deputy minister GongJianRong said in an interview with the media said,Ying jiang county economy for war inside Burma is affected by a lot of,That nation in the town, which was originally on the border of simeon important port,Will become national port,But with gram qin border,The Burmese government gave all channels blocked,The border of the hundreds of millions of the stagnation of trade nearly.

　　而缅北冲突升级，也令对新一波难民潮出现的担忧升级。去年2月，缅甸政府军与克钦独立军冲突升级，就曾导致近4万名缅甸难民越过中缅边境，逃至中国境内寻求避难，当时仅盈江县就接纳了2万余名难民。

And simeon north conflict upgrade,Also makes concerns about a new wave of refugees appear to upgrade.Last February,Myanmar's government troops and gram qin independent military conflict,Has led to Burma in nearly 40000 Burmese refugees across the border,Fled to the territory of China to seek asylum,At that time only ying jiang county is accepted more than 20000 refugees.

　　对此，龚建蓉在上述采访中表示，目前还没有大批难民涌入中国境内，只有少数来投靠亲友的缅甸百姓，不过如果有难民过来，盈江方面也已经做好了充分的准备。他说，盈江县那邦镇已经有一个可以容纳上万人的场地，包括帐篷、物资、大米、棉被，难民的衣食住行都能确保，包括通水通电都已经做好准备。

this,GongJianRong said in the interview,There is no influx of refugees within the territory of China,Only a few to take refuge in the Burmese people of relatives and friends,But if there is a refugee,Ying jiang also has been prepared well.He said,Ying jiang county town of that nation has a can accommodate tens of thousands of people in the field,Including the tent/materials/rice/A quilt,Refugees and lines can ensure,Including water electricity has been ready.

　　积怨难除

Bitterness is in addition to the

　　在这场冲突中，缅甸政府军和克钦独立军都互相指责对方是冲突的挑起者。

In this conflict,Myanmar's government troops and gram qin independent army have accused each other is the start of the conflict.

　　据缅甸当地媒体报道，缅甸政府希望向靠近独立军总部拉杂的政府基地运输补给，要求独立军于去年圣诞节前让出一条通道，但是克钦独立军方面声称，政府所运输的补给品，除了大米之外“还有弹药”，因此拒绝让路，双方随后爆发冲突。

Burma's local media reported,The Burmese government wanted to close to the independent army headquarters rambling government transport supply base,For independent army made a passage before Christmas last year,But gram qin independent army in said,Transportation of the supplies by the government,Besides rice"And ammunition",Refused to give way,Both sides then a conflict.

　　克钦独立军2012年12月31日称，他们遭到政府军武装直升机和战机的攻击。

Gram qin independent army on December 31, 2012,They was attacked by armed forces helicopters and fighter jets.

　　对此，缅甸政府军1月3日发表声明，指责克钦独立军炸毁铁轨、道路和桥梁，伏击政府军队，威胁当地民众。“基于这些情况，军方必须采取军事行动进行自卫，并保护民众的人身及财产安全，维护交通通畅及地区和平稳定”，同时政府军表示在武力使用上保持了“最大程度的克制”。

this,On January 3, Burma's military issued a statement,Accused gram qin independent army to blow up the tracks/Roads and Bridges,Ambush government forces,Threat to the local people."Based on these situations,The military military action must be taken to defend themselves,And protect people's personal and property safety,Maintaining peace and stability in traffic flow and",At the same time forces that remain in force"The greatest degree of restraint".

　　事实上，缅甸政府军和克钦独立军的积怨由来已久，克钦独立军也是迄今尚未与缅甸政府达成停火协议的几支少数民族武装之一，这支独立武装被视作缅甸政府在实现民族和解进程中最难啃的一块“骨头”。

As a matter of fact,Myanmar's government troops and gram qin independent army of bitterness has a long history,Gram qin independent army also has not yet been agreed to a ceasefire with the Burmese government of one of the few minority armed,This independent armed is regarded as the Burmese government in realizing the hardest to chew a piece of the national reconciliation process"bones".

　　朱振明分析，缅甸新政府成立以后，在实现民族和解和全国统一的过程中出现了一些被克钦族认为触碰其利益的政策，比如，政府想要统一军队，克钦独立军却希望保持其部队完整性以扩大民族利益，因此对政府的部队整编方案产生抵触，同时政府与克钦独立军对一些资源的占有和使用问题也存在矛盾。“这导致双方积怨难以解除。”他说，对是否允许单独与境外订立采矿合同的分歧就是其中之一。

ZhuZhenMing analysis,After Burma's government was established,In the process of national reconciliation and national reunification appeared some gram qin family that touched the interests of the policy,Such as,The government want to unified army,Gram qin independent army but wish to keep their troops integrity in order to expand the national interests,Therefore to reorganize the government's forces generate conflict,At the same time, the government and the gram qin independent army on the possession and use of resources problems also exist."This leads to the bitterness is difficult to remove."He said,On whether to allow alone with overseas mining contracts concluded differences is one of them.