海关总署统计数据显示，2012年1-11月份，中国粮食包括小麦、玉米、大米三大作物的品种进口数量合计是1077.5万吨，同比增长了294.5%。有人因此质疑中国粮食自给率能否守住95%的政策“红线”，甚至引发一股中国粮食进口“威胁论”。专家表示，这类传言缺乏事实依据，进口增长并未动摇中国的粮食安全。粮食进口的增长属于开放市场环境下的正常现象，结构性因素是进口谷物增加的主要因素。今后要坚持粮食安全的结构性保障战略，在保障主粮基本自给的同时适度进口国外粮食产品，统筹利用国内外市场资源。

The general administration of customs statistics,1-2012 in November,China's grain including wheat/corn/Three rice crop varieties of import quantity total is 10.775 million tons,Growth of 294.5% year-on-year.Someone so question its self-sufficiency rate of grain in China can keep 95% of the policy"Red line",Even trigger a stream of Chinese food imports"threat".Experts say,This kind of rumors unsubstantiated,Import growth has not shaken China's food security.Imports of grain growth belongs to the open market environment is normal phenomenon,Structural factors are the main factors of imported grain increased.We will adhere to the food safety structural security strategy,In the protection of staple food self-sufficiency and moderate import foreign food products,Overall use of market resources at home and abroad.

　　去年进口激增3倍

Imports surged last year 3 times

　　去年粮食进口的激增使得中国成为世界第二大大米和大麦进口国，玉米和小麦进口也分别进入全球前10名和前20名。人们开始忧虑中国的粮食自给率受到威胁，国外更是担心中国的粮食需求将导致全球粮食供应短缺。

Last year a surge of imported food China has become the world's second largest importer of rice and barley,Corn and wheat imports also separately into the world's top ten and twenty name before.People began to worry about China's its self-sufficiency rate of grain under threat,Foreign is especially worried about China's demand for food will lead to the global food supply shortages.

　　商务部发言人沈丹阳介绍，根据加入世贸组织的承诺，我国现在对小麦、玉米和大米采取关税配额管理，关税配额量根据安全性和国际市场影响的因素来确定。去年1-11月份，在进口增长非常快的情况下，小麦、玉米和大米的总体进口关税配额完成了不到50%，整体进口规模尚在合理范围内。

Commerce ministry spokesman ShenDanYang is introduced,According to the commitment of the accession to the world trade organization,Our country is now on wheat/Corn and rice take tariff quota management,Tariff quota amount according to the safety and international market factors to determine.Last year in November 1 -,Import growth very fast in the case,wheat/Corn and rice import tariff quotas of overall completed less than 50%,The overall scale of import is in the reasonable scope.

　　国务院发展研究中心研究员程国强在接受本报采访时表示，在中国粮食供需比较紧张的上世纪80年代中期到90年代中期，仅小麦一个品种，中国每年进口就达1000万至1300万吨。去年前11个月进口1340万吨谷物还远不足以被称为“狂热”，它相当于全球2.8亿吨谷物贸易量的4.7%，与韩国每年谷物进口量相当，还相当于日本谷物进口量的60%。若与中国每年5.2亿吨谷物消费量相比较，它只相当于2.6%。过于关注同比数据的统计学意义并不大。

The state council development research center ChengGuoJiang researcher in accepting our newspaper interview said,In China's grain supply and demand of the more intense the mid 1980 s to 90 s,Only a wheat varieties,Every year China imports reached 10 million to 13 million tons.The first 11 months of last year imported 13.4 million tonnes of grain is far from enough to be called"fever",It is equivalent to the global 280 million tons of grain trade volume of 4.7%,And South Korea every year is grain imports,Japan is equivalent to 60% of the grain imports.If every year in China with 520 million tons of grain consumption compared,It is only equivalent to 2.6%.Too much attention to the year-on-year data statistical significance is not big.

　　结构性因素是主因

Structural factor is the main reason

　　沈丹阳表示，去年中国粮食进口情况是企业经营和市场需求的正常反映。他认为，去年粮食进口较快的原因首先来自国内外市场价差增大，企业有意愿进口；其次，企业增长饲料用粮的库存，特别是供求偏紧的玉米；第三，2011年同期的进口基数非常低，进一步推高了粮食进口的增幅。

ShenDanYang said,Last year, Chinese imports of grain situation is enterprise management and market demand of normal reflect.He thinks,Last year the grain import faster reason first from domestic and international market price increase,Enterprises intend to import;secondly,Enterprise growth feed USES inventory,Especially the supply and demand partial tight corn;The third,The same period in 2011 import base is very low,Further pushing up the growth of imported food.

　　市场分析认为，国外产品的价格优势造就了去年谷物进口的激增。中国社科院农村发展研究所研究员李国祥认为，稳定物价是中国今年谷物进口增加的最重要原因。进出口的调控为稳定物价总水平、实现宏观调控目标发挥了重要的积极作用。这不意味着中国的谷物对国际市场高度依赖。

Market analysis think,Foreign product price advantage made last year grain imports surge.By the Chinese academy of social sciences researcher at the institute of rural development LiGuoXiang think,Price stability is the grain imports this year the most important reason.Import and export control to stabilize the general level of commodity prices/To realize the macroeconomic regulation and control goal play an important positive role.This does not mean that China's grain to the international market is highly dependent on the.

　　程国强指出，谷物进口的增加是通过国际市场进行品种调剂的体现，是一种结构性的调整。我们的市场是有管理的开放的市场，进口具有竞争优势的产品是品种结构性调剂的需要，与往年相比，其规模也比较正常。

ChengGuoJiang pointed out that,The increase of grain imports is through the international market the embodiment of a species,Is a kind of structural adjustment.Our market is a management of the open market,Import competitive advantage of the products is the need of structural adjustment varieties,Compared with previous years,Its size is normal.

　　农业部总经济师毕美家也认为，进口增长主要是为了满足国内多样化的消费需求。饲料用粮、工业用粮的比例在不断提升，特别是一些高端优质的大米、优质强筋弱筋的小麦需要适量进口作为调剂。

The ministry of agriculture total economist finish the MHF also think,Import growth was mainly in order to meet the diversified consumer demand.Feed USES/The proportion of the industrial use of grain is rising,Especially some high quality rice/The high quality of strong gluten weak gluten wheat need to import as a moderate.

　　坚持科学的安全保障战略

Adhere to the scientific security strategy

　　专家们一致认为，进口激增并未动摇我国的粮食安全。然而，保障粮食安全始终是人口大国中国长期的艰巨的政策目标，需要高度重视。

Experts agree that,Imports surged did not shake our food security.however,To ensure food safety is always most populous country in the world China's long-term arduous policy goals,Need to attach great importance to.

　　程国强分析，人多地少、农业资源紧张是中国的基本国情。立足基本国情，应当坚持结构性的粮食安全保障战略。一方面，首先确保主粮自给的底线始终不能动摇，要重点保障稻谷和小麦两个主粮产品的基本自给，将温饱的饭碗牢牢抓在自己手中，这也是95%政策“红线”的意义所在。另一方面，统筹利用国内国际资源，适度而稳定地从世界市场进口如玉米、大豆等粮食产品及资源型产品，以调剂粮食品种余缺、缓解国内农业资源紧缺压力。建立持续、稳定、安全的全球农产品供应链，需及早进行规划布局。

ChengGuoJiang analysis,Many people and little land/Agricultural resources nervous is China's basic national conditions.Based on the basic conditions,Should adhere to structural food security strategy.On the one hand,To ensure the staple food self bottom line still can not shake,Will focus on security rice and wheat two staple food product self-sufficiency,Food and clothing will be the rice bowl firmly grasp in their own hands,This is also 95% policy"Red line"The meaning of.On the other hand,Using the domestic and international resources as a whole,Moderate and steadily from the world market import like corn/Soy and other food products and resources products,To regulate food varieties surplus and deficiency/Ease domestic agricultural resources in short supply pressure.Setting up a sustainable/stable/Safety of the global agricultural products supply chain,As to layout.

　　程国强强调，国内粮食基本自给不意味着不需要进口，过分强调过高的粮食总量自给率既不现实，也会使中国付出极大的资源、环境和经济代价。国务院发展研究中心农村经济研究部部长徐小青介绍，目前中国的耕地达到18.3亿亩，但高标准旱涝保收的农田仅有8亿多亩，印证了适度进口的必要性。

ChengGuoJiang emphasize,Domestic food self-sufficiency doesn't mean don't need to import,Too much emphasis on high food of the total amount is not reality,Also can make China pay great resources/Environmental and economic cost.The state council development research center, the rural economy research department minister XuXiaoQing is introduced,At present China's cultivated land 1.83 billion mu,But drought or waterlogging high standard farmland only 800 million mu,Proves the necessity of appropriate import.