成功连任2012年大选的美国总统奥巴马将于当地时间1月21日参加就职典礼，奥巴马的再度当选引发了一系列对华政策的猜想。专家分析，奥巴马连任总体利好中国经济。

Re-elected in 2012 election of President of the United States, Obama will be on January 21, local time in inauguration ceremony,Obama was elected again triggered a series of policy toward China conjecture.Expert analysis,Obama re-election overall benefit China's economy.

　　中国国际问题研究所、美国研究部副主任刘飞涛表示，中美现在高度相互依存，在国际大环境下谁都离不开谁，中美关系发展的大方向不可能改变。他认为，奥巴马连任将深化美联储量化宽松的货币政策，在政策保持连续的情况下，投资者将看到一个经济复苏的美国，外资资本会继续买入中国资产。社科院世政经研究所研究员宋泓也认为，“奥巴马连任对华经济政策的稳定性会得到延续”。

China institute of international issues/The deputy director of the LiuFei out said,China and the United States is now highly interdependence,In the international environment who cannot leave the who,The development of relations between China and the United States way can't change.He thinks,Obama re-election will deepen the quantitative easing monetary policy,In the policy to keep continuous cases,Investors will see an economic recovery in the United States,Foreign capital will continue to buy Chinese assets.The academy of political and economic research institute researcher SongHong also think,"Obama to China after the stability of the economic policy will be continued".

　　奥巴马如果继续推行QE3，一定程度上会导致全球流动性增加。东方证券首席财务分析师胡晓宁认为，美国政府将会不惜一切代价激活经济，对投资者可能是一件好事。热钱直接或间接地进入中国股市，买入中国资产。随着中国经济从走出谷底，股市也将企稳回升。

Obama if continue to implement QE3,A certain degree will lead to global liquidity increases.Oriental securities chief financial analysts HuXiaoNing think,The United States government will activate economy at all costs,Investors may be a good thing.Hot money directly or indirectly to enter the Chinese market,Buying Chinese assets.As China's economy from out of the valley floor,The stock market will also stabilises picks up.

　　奥巴马当选当日，纽约股市创出24年来美国大选日最大涨幅，三大指数涨幅全部超过3%，道琼斯指数上涨超过300点。追随美股涨势，亚太股市次日早盘走高。日本股市日经股指早盘上涨2.82%，收盘报9371.67点;韩国首尔综合指数大涨4.97%;中国沪深股市早盘涨幅接近3%，香港恒生指数上涨4.84%，台湾加权指数涨1.1%;澳大利亚普通股指数涨1.8%。

Obama was elected on that day,The New York stock market makes the biggest gain in 24 years election,All three index increased more than 3%,The dow Jones index rose more than 300 points.Follow us stocks rise,The asia-pacific market earlier go high.Japan's nikkei index rose 2.82% in early trading,Closing quote 9371.67 points;Seoul composite index rose 4.97%;China's Shanghai and shenzhen stock markets rose nearly 3% in early trading,Hong Kong's hang seng index rose 4.84%,Taiwan weighted index rose 1.1%;Australia's common stock index rose 1.8%.

　　另一方面，QE3带动大宗商品价格上涨，中国作为大宗商品主要进口国，将带动中国物价和房价新一轮上涨，中国输入性通货膨胀加剧。同时，美元弱势将是奥巴马未来四年"再工业化"战略、出口倍增计划的必然趋势，人民币贬值压力和对华起诉贸易壁垒可能性将较大。

On the other hand,QE3 drive commodity prices,China, as commodity main importer,China will drive prices and house prices rise a new round,Chinese input property inflation.At the same time,The weak dollar will be Obama the next four years"To industrialization"strategy/The inevitable trend of export multiplication plan,The devaluation of RMB pressure and prosecution in China trade barriers possibility will be larger.

　　数据显示，奥巴马任内，美国对中国提出的贸易诉讼案增加了一倍，其中包括对中国轮胎征税、光伏产业制裁、中兴华为在美遭调查、三一集团子公司风电项目被否决等。可以预期，中国企业无论是想投资美国本土还是将自己的产品卖到美国，都将遭到更多的阻力。

Data display,Under the Obama,The United States put forward to China trade lawsuit doubled,Including the Chinese tire tax/Photovoltaic industry sanctions/Zte huawei was in the survey/Trinity group subsidiary wind power project was rejected, etc.Can expect,China enterprise whether want to invest in the United States or their products sold to the United States,Will was more resistance.