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外媒称中美贸易摩擦或激化--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2013-01-23
进入第二任期,奥巴马总统推行的以军事“再平衡”为核心的重视亚洲战略将格外引人注目。除了要应对中国的崛起和朝鲜的核问题之外,美中之间的贸易摩擦也日益激化,亟待解决。
Into the second term,President Obama by the military"To balance"As the core strategy will attach greater importance to Asia particularly noticeable.In addition to cope with the rise of China and north Korea's nuclear issue outside,The us-china trade friction between the growing discontent also,Urgently to be solved.
作为竞选的一项战略,奥巴马总统提出了到2014年将出口翻一番的目标。
As a campaign strategy,President barack Obama put forward to 2014 will export double goal.
其关键在于亚洲,增加向中国和东南亚的出口已经成为重振美国经济的一项支柱。
The key lies in Asia,To increase the export of China and southeast Asia has become revitalize the economy of a pillar.
然而,中国在尖阁诸岛(即我钓鱼岛及其附属岛屿——本网注)和南海主权问题上一贯采取强硬态度,奥巴马政府担心中国与其邻国之间的摩擦会导致国际经济减速。
however,China in the peak pavilion islands(That is my diaoyu island and its affiliated islands - this note)And south China sea sovereignty always play hardball,Obama government worry about China and its neighbors will cause friction between international economic slowdown.
美国积极支持中国与相关国家构建解决争端的机制,希望发展和深化“以协调和竞争为主”的美中关系。
The United States actively support China and relevant countries to build dispute mechanism,Hope to develop and deepen"To coordinate and competition is given priority to"U.s.-china relations of.
另一方面,为了对抗中国在军事上推行的针对美军的“拒止”战略,奥巴马政府在同意削减国防开支的同时,将会扩充实施“空海一体战”构想。
On the other hand,In order to fight against China in the implementation of the military for us"Refused to stop"strategy,Obama government agreed to cut defence spending at the same time,Will expand implementation"Likely one war"idea.
在贸易政策方面,奥巴马政府对中国的态度趋于强硬。去年美国政府以中国对汽车产业实施补贴和限制稀土出口为由,多次将中国告到世贸组织。奥巴马政府还以国家安全为由,否决了中资企业在俄勒冈州的风力发电计划。这是过去22年来美国政府首次对中国企业做出这样的决定。美国政府还新成立旨在打击非公平贸易的组织,矛头直指中国。
In the trade policy,Obama government to the attitude of China tend to be tough.Last year the United States government to China's automobile industry implementation subsidies and restrictions on rare earth export,Many will tell China to the world trade organization (wto).Obama government has to national security grounds,Rejected chinese-invested enterprises in Oregon wind power plan.This is the past 22 years for the first time the United States government to Chinese enterprises to make such a decision.The United States government has also established new to target the fair trade organization,Spearhead directed at China.
奥巴马政府希望在外交和经济上进一步加强对亚洲战略,以平抑国内的不满、增强凝聚力。
Obama government hopes in the diplomatic and economic further strengthen the Asia strategy,In order to curb domestic dissatisfaction/Strengthen cohesion.
【德国之声电台网站1月21日报道】 贝拉克·奥巴马正式宣誓连任美国总统,在其第二个任期内,中美关系将有怎样的变化。德国之声专访美国哥伦比亚大学政治学教授、中国问题专家黎安友(安德鲁·内森)。
[Deutsche welle station website reported on January 21] Barack Obama who formally take an oath to re-election of the President of the United States,In the second term,Relations between China and the United States will have what kind of change.Deutsche welle interview Columbia University professor of political science/China experts LiAnYou(Andrew Nathan).
问:从第一个任期来看,奥巴马似乎并没有让中国政府有太多高兴的理由。
ask:From the first term to see,Obama did not seem to make the Chinese government have too many happy reason.
在第二个任期中,中关经贸冲突是否会更加严重?
In a second term in,Economic and trade conflict conveyed whether will be more serious?
答:我认为不会更加严重。是否会更加严重取决于客观的经济因素。比如中国的出口要是下降,或者货币汇率上升,那么这会让美国的政策变得不那么强硬。但是如果中国让美国的贸易逆差变得更大,那么美国政府就会更加强硬。这不是总统自己能决定的,要看客观情况。
a:I don't think it will be more serious.Whether will be more serious depends on the objective economic factors.Such as China's export if drop,Or currency exchange rates to rise,So it will make the policy of the United States become not so tough.But if China let America's trade deficit become bigger,So the U.S. government will be more tough.This is not the President himself to decide,To see the objective condition.
问:在外交政策领域,奥巴马在第一任期的后半程推出了“重返亚洲”战略,在亚太事务中表现积极。有分析认为,这一政策的目的显然指向中国,意在遏制中国。在奥巴马的第二个任期中,这一政策会有怎样的发展?
ask:In foreign policy areas,Obama in the first term launched a second"Return to Asia"strategy,In the asia-pacific affairs positive performance.Have analyzed that,The purpose of this policy clearly point to China,Intended to contain China.In Obama's second presidency,This policy will have what kind of development?
答:奥巴马在其第一任期推出“重返亚洲”的战略,在第二任期,他大概会继续实施这项战略。但是白宫并不认为这是“遏制中国崛起”的战略,而是把它视为平衡美国与中国在亚洲的实力。因为’
a:Obama is in its first term launch"Return to Asia"strategy,In the second term,He probably will continue to implement the strategy.But the White House does not think it is"Curb China's rise"strategy,But take it as a balance the United States and China in Asia's strength.because’
中国的崛起使两国实力失去平衡,两国需要找到一个新的平衡点。比如在南海,中国应该扮演怎样的角色,美国又是什么角色?这些问题需要一种新的处理方式。美国不会看到中国的崛起而完全后退,中国也不会(继续)容忍过去的局面。
The rise of China the two countries strength out of balance,The two countries need to find a new balance.For instance in the south China sea,China should play what role,The United States is what role?These questions require a new approach.The United States will not see the rise of China and fully back up,China is also not(Continue to)Tolerate the past situation.
所以两国需要一定的摩擦才能找到新的平衡。
So the two countries need to certain friction to find a new balance.
问:您曾经表示,展望中美关系的发展,您是一个乐观派。现在依然保持乐观吗?
ask:You once said,Prospects the development of relations between China and the United States,You are an optimist.Now is still optimistic?
答:我是长远的乐观派,因为我认为中国和美国长远的战略利益并没有根本的冲突。从长远来看,它们有共同的国际利益,但是从短期和中期看,要成功地管理两国关系,需要双方的智慧。
a:I am long-term optimist,Because I think that China and the United States long term strategic interests and no fundamental conflict.In the long run,They have a common international interests,But in the short and medium term,To successfully manage relations between the two countries,Need to both sides of the wisdom.
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