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进口矿价陷入尴尬--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2013-01-26

  进口铁矿石价格上涨泡沫已被挤破,目前处于回落状态,但由于春节后钢厂春季有开工需求,矿石价格又难大跌,吨价将维持在145美元~150美元高位。

The iron ore import prices foam has been crowded broken,At present is in the state of back,But because after the Spring Festival in the spring steel demand to start,Ore prices plunged and difficult,Tons of price will remain in the $145 to $150 high.

  日照港品位61.5%的进口澳粉吨价,从2012年9月7日的99美元开涨,到今年1月10日最高点175美元,涨幅达80%。

Rizhao port grade 61.5% of imported Australian powder tons of price,From on September 7, 2012 $99 to open up,This year to January 10, peak of $175,Increased by 80%.

  从今年1月17日开始,进口矿价有所回落,品位61.5%进口澳粉吨价从当日的164美元降到1月18日的162美元。不过,23日又有所回升,至165美元。接受本报记者采访的分析师认为,进口铁矿石价格上涨泡沫已被挤破,目前处于回落状态,但由于春节后钢厂春季有开工需求,矿石价格又难大跌,吨价将维持在145美元~150美元高位。

From January 17, start,Imported ore price to drop back,Grade 61.5% imported from Australia powder tons of price on the day of $164 to January, and $162.but,23 and have rebounded,To $165.Accepting our newspaper reporter to interview the analysts say,The iron ore import prices foam has been crowded broken,At present is in the state of back,But because after the Spring Festival in the spring steel demand to start,Ore prices plunged and difficult,Tons of price will remain in the $145 to $150 high.

  补库差不多了

As for the library

  港口铁矿石的周下降程度,能反映钢企补库存的意愿。

Iron ore port weekly decline degree,Can reflect the steel enterprises to fill inventory.

  截止到1月4日,全国30个主要港口铁矿石库存总量为7474万吨,较前一周增加160万吨,为10周来首次回升。

By the end of January 4,,The national 30 main port iron ore inventories were for 74.74 million tons,A week before a increase of 1.6 million tons,For ten weeks back for the first time.

  这两个月,矿价疯涨时,铁矿石港口库存也锐降,“最多时每周港口库存成三四百万地下降。”兰格钢铁信息研究中心研究员张琳对国际商报记者说,“现在钢厂春节补库有接近尾声之势,高价泡沫已被挤破,但跌也不会大跌。”

The two months,Ore price soaring in,Iron ore port stocks also RuiJiang,"Most time weekly port stock into 34 million falling."Lange steel information research fellow of the center for international business newspaper reporter zhang Lin said,"Now the Spring Festival steel for library has the potential to a close,High foam has been crowded broken,But fall also won't crash."

  上一周(1月15日~21日),据“新华―中国铁矿石价格指数”显示,截至1月21日中国进口品位63.5%的铁矿石价格指数为144,下降10个单位;品位58%的铁矿石价格指数为126,同样下降10个单位。

Last week(On January 15, ~ 21,),According to"Xinhua, China's iron ore price index"display,By January 21, China imported iron ore 63.5% grade price index for 144,Drop 10 units;Grade 58% of the iron ore price index for 126,The same down 10 units.

  上周进口矿市场整体大幅下滑,因钢厂补库已基本完成,多以观望为主,在需求走弱的影响下,价格出现下滑。贸易商因担心价格持续回落,纷纷低价出货,加剧进口矿价下跌幅度。

Last week the whole import ore market fell sharply,Because of the steel mill for library has been completed,To see more than give priority to,In under the influence of demand to weaken,Price dropped.Traders because worry about prices continue to fall,Have low shipment,Aggravate import ore price declines.

  节前还补?

Preganglionic also fill?

  据我的钢铁网铁矿石港口库存统计显示,截止到2013年1月18日,全国30个主要港口铁矿石库存总量为7065万吨,较前一周下降385万吨。与去年同期(2012年1月20日)相比,总库存减少2776万吨,同比降幅再次创下新高。铁矿石港口库存逼近7000万吨,也创下2011年11月底以来的新低。

According to my steel and iron ore port inventory statistics show,By the end of January 2013 and day,The national 30 main port iron ore inventories were for 70.65 million tons,A week before a drop of 3.85 million tons.With the same period last year(In January 2012, twenty days)Compared with,Total inventory to reduce 27.76 million tons,Year-on-year drop again hit a record high.Iron ore port stocks approximation 70 million tons,Also set a 2011 years since the end of November low.

  在1月4日铁矿石港口库存有所攀升之后,到18日,港口库存又骤降,并创下14个月新低。这反映了矿石贸易商揣度钢厂春节前还要补库存的心理。

On January 4, iron ore port stocks to rise after,To eighteen days,Port inventory and dip,And hit a new low 14 months.It reflects the ore traders appraise steel works before the Spring Festival will fill inventory psychological.

  虽然实际采货的钢厂在渐渐减少,但矿石贸易商预计钢厂节前或有囤货意愿,抬高矿价。于是,1月23日,进口矿现货上涨。当日,PB粉主流为1020元~1045元/吨,PB块为1125元~1150元/吨,杨迪粉为940元~970元/吨,品位63%巴粗为1025元~1045元/吨,均上涨5元。商家乐观,买家观望。

Although the actual mining goods in steel reduced gradually,But ore traders expected steel preganglionic or have to stock up,Up ore price.so,On January 23,,Imported ore spot rise.the,PB powder mainstream for 1020 yuan to 1045 yuan/ton,PB block for 1125 yuan to 1150 yuan/ton,YangDi powder for 940 yuan to 970 yuan/ton,Grade of 63% and coarse for 1025 yuan to 1045 yuan/ton,Are rising 5 yuan.Merchants optimistic,Buyers wait-and-see.

  我的钢铁网矿石部分析资料显示,即使钢厂23日每吨矿价还盘10~15元,矿石贸易商也不愿放货。该分析认为,离港口较远的钢厂补库基本结束,而部分港口附近的钢厂有继续采货的需求。

My steel net ore department analysis data shows,Even if the steel mill 23 per ton ore price counter-offer 10 ~ 15 yuan,Ore traders to release cargo.The analysis that,Far away from the port for steel library basic end,And some port nearby steel mills have continued to adopt cargo demand.

  唐山某钢厂表示目前矿价难涨难跌,钢材钢坯价格并不好,要是现在拿矿感觉会亏。而山东某钢厂表示现在还不想拿矿,要等到下周再看看,由于最近成品材出货不好,压力比较大,想采些非主流矿,认为本周价格应该还是以持稳为主。而另一山东本地钢厂1月23日于日照港以910元/吨的价格接了超特粉,是因为库存不够被迫采购,1月23日报价普遍比前一日高。

Tangshan a steel mill said at present ore price rise to fall hard,Steel billet prices is not good,If now with ore the feeling will be deficient.And shandong some steel mills said it didn't want to take mine,Have to wait until next week will see,Because recently finished material delivery is bad,Pressure is bigger,Want to adopt some non-mainstream ore,The price should think this week or the stability is given priority to.And the other a shandong local steel mills in rizhao port on January 23, 910 yuan/ton price received super special powder,Because stock is not forced to purchase,On January 23 daily price the day before is generally high.

  该分析指出,虽然钢厂补库存意愿减弱,但是资源几乎都掌握在大户手中,现在大户不着急出货,对价格有一定支撑,短期不会下调,整体以稳为主。

The analysis shows that the,Although steel fill inventory will weaken,But almost all resources to hand in a large,Now a large in no hurry shipment,Certain to the price support,Won't cut short-term,The overall stability to give priority to.

  张琳认为,由于今年立春早,春节过后天气回暖,3月份下游需求的好转将有望带来钢材补库存行情,届时钢价矿价将有可能再涨。

Zhang Lin think,Because this year spring begins early,The weather warms up after the Spring Festival,In march the downstream demand is expected to bring up steel stock market,The ShiGang price ore price will likely go up again.



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