节后第二个交易日，大连棕榈油期货多空双方再度增仓对垒。棕榈油期货合约总持仓攀升至91.1万手，距1月10日创出的91.6万手的上市最高纪录仅一步之遥。部分市场人士认为，经过四季度的横盘整理之后，随着节后消费旺季的到来，国内外棕榈油价格走势面临变局，近期可能出现方向性选择。

After the second trading day,Dalian palm oil futures many empty bilateral ties ing again.Palm oil futures contract total position of up to 911000 hand,From January 10, 916000 hand makes the public record only one step away.Part of that market participants,After the fourth quarter of horizontal plate after finishing,With the arrival of the peak season after consumption,Palm oil price trend at home and abroad to face change,Recent possible directional selection.

　　“国际方面，由于印尼、马来西亚等国毛棕榈油出口数据强劲，印度进口数量巨大，近期相关国家均上调了棕榈油出口关税。”国内棕榈油贸易商白宁彪对期货日报记者表示。

"international,As Indonesia/Malaysia crude palm oil export data strong,India imports a huge number,The recent relevant countries are raised palm oil export tariffs."Domestic palm oil traders BaiNingBiao the futures daily reporters.

　　船运调查机构ITS的数据显示，由于马来西亚2月份维持零出口关税政策，前半月该国毛棕榈油出口量比上月同期增长一倍，达到了229610吨。“马来西亚维持零出口关税政策刺激了棕榈油出口。”大连某油厂负责人田先生说道。而棕榈油出口另一大国印尼2月份出口关税维持在7.5%的高水平，也使马来西亚棕榈油价格更有竞争优势。

Shipping research institutions of ITS data display,Because Malaysia February maintain zero export tariff policy,First half the country's crude palm oil exports more than doubled over the same period last month,Reached 229610 tons."Malaysia maintain zero export tariff policy to stimulate the palm oil export."Dalian in some oil, Mr Tian said.And palm oil export another country Indonesia February export tariffs to maintain a high level of 7.5%,Also make the Malaysian palm oil price is more competitive advantage.

　　受销售数据良好影响，马盘棕榈油期货价格近两日连续上涨，昨日报收于2587元/吨，上涨1.29%，创出本周高点。在外盘价格企稳上涨的刺激下，大连棕榈油期价昨日也全线上涨，棕榈油期价指数报收于6957元/吨，上涨0.88%。

Sales data by the good influence,MaPan palm oil futures prices rise continuously nearly two days,At yesterday in 2587 yuan/ton,Rose 1.29%,Makes high this week.In the outside dish price stabilises rising stimulation,Dalian palm oil QiJia all yesterday also rise,Palm oil at QiJia index in 6957 yuan/ton,Rose 0.88%.

　　但昨日以中粮期货席位为主的套保盘仍大幅增持空头仓位，节后两个交易日累计增仓1.7万余手。相对应的多头席位增仓较为分散，市场看多资金较为分散。

But yesterday with grain futures seats primarily hedge plate is still greatly increasing short positions,Two trading day after the cumulative increased bin 17000 hand.The corresponding multiple seats ing more dispersed,See more market funds more dispersed.

　　白宁彪认为，国内棕榈油现货市场大部分库存掌握在少数大型贸易企业手中，中小贸易商库存较少。“大型企业掌握着定价权，受进口成本支撑，价格下跌难度较大，部分企业看好后期价格走势”。

BaiNingBiao think,Domestic palm oil spot market most inventory control in a few large trade enterprise hands,Small and medium-sized traders inventory less."Large enterprise holds pricing,Support by the cost of imports,Prices difficult,Part of the enterprise value later price trend".

　　昨日，国内棕榈油现货价格窄幅振荡，主要港口地区24度棕榈油主流报价区间集中在6350—6450元/吨，日均价在6383元/吨，较上日价格上涨7元/吨。“每年3—10月份是棕榈油需求高峰期，加之随着学校等大型需求主体的入市，国内市场需求将极大增加。”田先生表示。

yesterday,Domestic palm oil spot price a narrow range of oscillation,Main port area 24 degrees palm oil mainstream quotation interval concentrated in the 6350-6450 yuan/ton,Average price is in 6383 yuan/ton,The more, the price is up 7 yuan/ton."Every year 3 - October palm oil demand is peak,And with school and other large demand market main body,The domestic market demand will increase greatly."Mr. Tian said.

　　另外值得关注的是，近期印尼和马来西亚均上调了毛棕榈油出口关税。印尼规定，自2月份起，毛棕榈油出口关税从1月份的7.5%上调到9%，24度精炼棕榈油的出口关税从目前的2%上调到3%。马来西亚政府规定，自3月份起，毛棕榈油出口关税定为4.5%，结束1月和2月的零出口关税政策。

In addition there is concern,Recent Indonesia and Malaysia are raised crude palm oil export tariffs.Indonesia provisions,Since February up,Crude palm oil export tariffs from January's 7.5% increase to 9%,24 degrees refined palm oil export tariffs from the current 2% increase to 3%.Malaysia government regulations,Since march,Crude palm oil export tariffs as 4.5%,The end of January and February zero export tariff policy.

　　“关税上调将提高我国棕榈油的进口成本，这或将抬高国内棕榈油的价格底部。”上述市场人士认为，印尼和马来西亚均上调毛棕榈油出口关税，反映了国际市场对棕榈油需求强劲。在我国国内需求恢复之后，预计国内棕榈油市场价格近期或迎来上涨格局。

"Tariffs will be raised to improve our palm oil import costs,This will drive up the price of domestic palm oil at the bottom."People think the market,Indonesia and Malaysia are raised crude palm oil export tariffs,Reflects the strong demand for palm oil in the international market.In China's domestic demand after recovery,Palm oil is expected to domestic market prices in the near future or rising pattern.