因出口下降，墨西哥1月份贸易赤字创自2008年11月来新高，这意味着墨西哥可能会在今年开始四年来的首次降息。

Because of falling exports,Mexico's trade deficit in January of record since November 2008,This means that Mexico may in this year began the first cut in four years.

　　墨西哥国家统计局在其网站上表示，1月份贸易赤字从12月的2.735亿美元扩大至29亿美元。彭博社调查的11位经济学家的预期为盈余2.16亿美元。墨西哥1月出口同比下降了0.2%，为自去年6月份以来首次下降。

Mexico's national bureau of statistics said on its website,The trade deficit in January from December's $273.5 million to $2.9 billion.In a bloomberg survey of 11 economists' expectations for earnings of $216 million.Mexico's exports fell 0.2% year-on-year in January,For the first decline since last June.

　　墨西哥是拉美第二大经济体，近期的数据大多不及预期。12月零售额下降了1.8%，上月工业产出三年来首次出现下降，1月失业率增幅也高于彭博社调查的16位分析师的预期。摩根大通墨西哥首席经济学家Gabriel Lozano表示，今天的贸易数据进一步支持了经济学家认为央行将降息的预期。

Mexico is Latin America's second largest economy,Recent data are mostly less than expected.Retail sales fell 1.8% in December,Last month, industrial production dropped for the first time in three years,1 month increase the unemployment rate is higher than 16 analysts' estimates in a bloomberg survey.Chief economist at jpmorgan chase Mexico Gabriel Lozano said,Today's trade data further support the economists think the central bank will cut interest rates expected.

　　Lozano于墨西哥接受电话采访时表示，12月的数据一点也不好，今天公布的贸易数据更让人们增添了对其经济复苏速度的担忧。未来几个月墨西哥降息的可能性增强。

Lozano said in a telephone interview from Mexico,12 month of data is for the birds,Trade data to be released today, more people add to the worries about the pace of economic recovery.In the next few months Mexico enhanced the likelihood of lower rates.

　　彭博社调查的经济学家预计墨西哥在去年增长3.9%，今年经济将增长3.5%。

In a bloomberg survey of economists expect Mexico increased by 3.9% over the past year,The economy will grow by 3.5% this year.