世界经济低速增长的态势贯穿2012年并可能持续至今年，世界各国纷纷出台刺激本国经济增长的措施，国际贸易竞争日趋激烈，贸易摩擦日益增多。“在大环境不好的情况下，贸易摩擦肯定会多一些。”中国石油和化学工业联合会信息与市场部副主任王子敏表示。总体上2013年的外贸形势依然严峻，在政治经济大环境的影响下，贸易摩擦或将加剧。

Throughout 2012 and the trend of the world economic slow growth may continue until this year,Countries around the world have introduced measures to stimulate its economy growth,Increasingly fierce competition in international trade,Trade friction is increasing."Under the condition of the general atmosphere is bad,Trade friction would be more."China petroleum and chemical industry association, deputy director of the information and market Wang Zimin said.Overall in 2013 foreign trade situation is still grim,Under the influence of political and economic environment,Trade friction or will intensify.

　　中国石油和化学工业联合会的统计数据显示，2012年国外对我行业贸易救济新立案件共13起，比2011年的9起明显增加。

China petroleum and chemical industry association statistics show,In 2012 foreign trade relief to me, a total of 13 new case,Nine significantly increased than in 2011.

　　“中国是国际贸易保护主义最大的受害者，而化工是重灾区。”中国五矿商会法律部有关负责人表示，“随着我国经济实力的增强，国际环境的变化，以及越来越多的发展中国家融入经济全球化、参与国际分工， 国际贸易竞争日趋激烈，摩擦自然会增多。这是贸易增长的必然结果，是中国贸易发展过程中难以避免的现象，甚至从中长期看，会成为伴随我们贸易发展的常态。”

"China is the biggest victims of the international trade protectionism,The chemical industry is the worst-hit areas."China minmetals chamber of commerce legal department officials said,"Along with our country economic potentiality enhancement,Changes in the international environment,And more and more integrated into the economic globalization in developing countries/Participate in the international division of labor, Increasingly fierce competition in international trade,Friction will naturally increase.This is the result of trade growth,Is hard to avoid in the process of China's trade development phenomenon,Even from the long run,Will become the norm in us trade development."

　　2011年下半年以来，新兴经济体宏观经济运行波动剧烈，经济增长急剧失速，资本大规模外逃，货币对美元汇率大幅度贬值。2013年如果新兴经济体经济再度大幅下滑，可能导致社会矛盾集中暴发，或将对中国外贸造成巨大影响。

Since the second half of 2011,Emerging economies run macroeconomic volatility,Sharp stall economic growth,Massive capital flight,Currency against the us dollar depreciate significantly.If emerging economies fell sharply again in 2013,May lead to social contradictions concentrated outbreak,Or will cause huge impact to China's foreign trade.

　　“外贸形势不确定因素的增多直接导致今年贸易保护主义可能比去年更为严重，不仅是美国、欧盟，我国和新兴经济体国家之间的贸易摩擦可能也会加剧。”中国五矿商会法律部有关负责人分析。

"Uncertain factors of foreign trade increased as a direct result of trade protectionism may this year is more serious than last year,Not only is the United States/The European Union,Trade friction between China and emerging economies are likely to intensify."China minmetals chamber of commerce official in charge of legal analysis.

　　对于2013年的贸易形势，中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院研究员杨晓光指出：“受全球经济有利因素反弹和中国经济回暖预期的影响，2013年我国的进出口贸易会出现温和回升。从主要贸易伙伴来看，对美国的出口还会保持增长的态势，预计全年对美的出口增速为8.5%；对欧盟出口增速有望转正，预计为2.3%；对东盟及新兴市场国家的出口在总出口当中的占比会进一步加大。”

For the trade situation in 2013,Academy of mathematics and systems science, Chinese academy of sciences researcher Yang Xiaoguang pointed out:"Hit by the global economic rebound favorable factors and the impact of China's economic rebound is expected,In 2013 a modest uptick between import and export trade in our country.Judging from its main trading partners,Exports to the United States will keep growth momentum,Expected annual export growth of 8.5% of beauty;For the eu export growth is expected to become a full member,Is expected to be 2.3%;Exports to asean and emerging market countries will increase in proportion of the total exports."

　　在这种大的贸易环境下，预计2013年中国外贸方面可能会遇到更多的贸易摩擦，范围会扩大，频率有可能提高，摩擦从传统的制造业向高端制造业和新能源扩展，从发达国家向发展中国家特别是新兴经济体国家扩展，从产品层面向产业、政策层面扩展。新兴市场国家对我国的贸易保护有可能加剧，欧美跟中国的贸易摩擦会进一步加剧。

In such a big trade environment,Is expected in 2013 China's foreign trade may encounter more trade friction,Scope will expand,Frequency is likely to increase,Friction from traditional manufacturing to high-end manufacturing and new energy,From developed to developing countries, especially in emerging economies expand,From the aspect of products to the industry/The policy level extension.Emerging market countries to protect trade in China is likely to intensify,Europe and the United States and China's trade friction will be intensified.

　　总体上看，2013年我国外贸进出口的走势还有许多不确定的因素，外贸形势依然严峻。在这样的大背景下，2013年石化行业有可能是贸易摩擦加剧的一年，但这不足以成为全行业对外出口的主要障碍。加强对贸易摩擦的预警监控，尽快建立和完善贸易摩擦预警机制和快速反应机制，将成为全行业积极应对贸易摩擦的有效措施。（孙琳）

On the whole,In 2013 China's foreign trade import and export situation there are many uncertain factors,The foreign trade situation is still grim.In this context,Petrochemical industry in 2013 is likely to be trade friction is growing for a year,But it is not enough to become the industry a major obstacle to export.To strengthen the early warning and monitoring of trade friction,As soon as possible, set up and improve the trade friction early warning mechanism and quick response mechanism,Will become the industry a positive effective measures to cope with trade frictions.(have)