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外贸企业订单暖意初现--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-03-11
进入3月份,和气温一起回升的还有外贸企业的订单。
In march,,With the temperature recovery and order of foreign trade enterprises.
记者近日采访多家外贸企业发现,相比去年的“一片惨淡”,出口订单已经开始出现回暖的迹象。不少企业负责人的预期也开始转向乐观,他们均表示,今年整体外贸形势虽然依然严峻,但预计会好于去年。
Reporter recently interviewed found many foreign trade companies,Compared to last year's"A piece of dismal",Export orders have started showing signs of recovery.Many companies head expectations also turned to optimism,They all said,Overall this year although foreign trade situation is still grim,But is expected to be better than last year.
“今年出口开局还算不错”,山东威海山花地毯集团有限公司副总经理郑金涛对记者说,这一方面源于外需的恢复,另一方面则得益于公司开拓新市场的努力。他说,公司高端地毯出口主要面向欧美和中东地区的高端酒店。美国经济危机和中东局势使得公司去年订单减少,出口增速下滑。“不过美国市场现在传回来的消息比较乐观,订单开始有所增加。中东市场也好于去年,不少机场和酒店的项目都已开始启动了。”
"This year exports start is not bad",Shandong weihai Zheng Jintao mountain flower carpet group co., LTD. Deputy general manager, told reporters,This aspect is the result of external demand recovery,On the other hand, thanks to the company's efforts to open up new market.He said,The company high-end carpet exports to Europe and the United States and the Middle East mainly for high-end hotels.The U.S. economic crisis and the Middle East makes company orders last year,Export growth fell."But the us market more optimistic now back to the news,Begin to increase orders.In the Middle East market is better than last year,A lot of the airport and hotel project has been initiated."
他还说,之前培育的家用地毯市场已经成形,开始和沃尔玛、宜家等连锁卖场合作,销售面向家用市场的地毯。此外,智利、巴西、墨西哥、俄罗斯的市场也开始开发,“这些都会带动今年出口的增长,预计会好于去年。”
He also said that,Foster home carpet before markets have been formed,The start and wal-mart/Ikea chain stores, such as cooperation,Carpet sales for domestic market.In addition,Chile/Brazil/Mexico/Began to develop Russian market,"That will drive the growth in exports this year,Is expected to be better than last year."
宁波港位居大陆港口吞吐量第三位,其运行情况可以作为预判外贸走势的依据。宁波港集团总裁李令红对记者介绍说,今年1至2月集装箱吞吐量、货物吞吐量同比涨幅都在10%以上。从数据来看,比去年好,在平稳地回升。预计今年外贸出口会是平稳回暖的趋势。”
The mainland port throughput of ningbo port third,Its operation can be used as the basis for predicting movements of foreign trade.Ningbo port group President lee to red said to reporters,This year 1 to 2 month container throughput/Cargo throughput year-on-year 10% or more.From the data,Better than last year,In the recovered smoothly.Foreign trade this year are expected to is steady warming trend."
浙江省国际贸易集团董事长王挺革说,今年前两个月浙江国贸出口额约31亿元人民币,同比增长约10%。这个势头不错。去年全年同比增幅没有超过10%,今年预计出口形势会比去年好。
Zhejiang international trade group chairman said Wang Ting leather,The first two months of this year, zhejiang international trade exports about 3.1 billion RMB,Year-on-year growth of about 10%.That's a good momentum.The whole of last year rose more than 10%,This year is expected to export situation will be better than last year.
开山集团董事长曹克坚表示,“外贸在我们集团是刚刚起步,去年销售额为1000多万美元,虽不多但势头很好。我们的产品主要出口到以色列、西班牙、德国、美国、澳大利亚等国家和地区。”他认为,外贸企业要注重“走出去”,开拓海外市场。两个月前开山集团刚刚并购了一个澳大利亚的渠道商。“外贸形势好不好,还是看企业自身怎么做,产品有没有竞争力。”他说。
A mountain group chairman Cao Kejian said,"Foreign trade is just beginning in our group,Sales of more than $1000 last year,Although small but momentum is very good.Our products are mainly exported to Israel/Spain/Germany/The United States/Australia and other countries and regions."He thinks that,Foreign trade enterprise should pay attention to"To go out",Develop overseas market.A mountain group two months ago has just bought an Australian distributors."Foreign trade situation is good,Or look at their own how to do,Products have the competitiveness."He said.
外贸企业感受到的“暖意”也呼应了最近几个月的进出口数据。海关数据显示,2012年12月到今年2月,出口增速分别为14 .1%、25%、21.8%,已经连续三个月保持两位数增长的态势。
Foreign trade companies"warm"Also echo the import and export data in recent months.The customs figures show,In December 2012 to February of this year,Export growth of 14 respectively 1%./25%/21.8%,Have double-digit growth for three consecutive months.
一位业内人士指出,事实上单从去年12月和今年1月的数据来看,由于季节因素和其他偶然因素的存在,并不能确立外贸回暖的趋势。但从海关8日发布的数据来看,即便是考虑到季节因素,2月份的出口数据依然大幅好于市场预期。今年2月份有17个工作日,而去年同期有21个工作日。经季节调整法调整后,2月份当月进出口总值同比增长13.5%,其中出口增长20.6%,进口增长6.5%。
One industry source said,In fact sheet from last December and in January of this year's figures,As a result of the existence of seasonal factors and other causal factors,Can not establish trade warming trend.But data released from customs. 8,Even taking into account seasonal factors,Export data in February still greatly better than market expectations.There are 17 working days in February this year,And in the same period last year has 21 working days.Was adjusted by seasonal adjustment method,The month in February rose 13.5% from a total cost of the import and export,Export growth of 20.6%,Imports rose 6.5%.
由于春节所在月份不同,通常把1、2月份的数据合并来看有更大的分析价值。综合1-2月份的外贸数据,总体表现仍然较为正面。1-2月,我国进出口总值、出口、进口分别增长14.2%、23.6%和5%。
Due to the Spring Festival in different month,Usually 1/February data merging of more analysis value.Comprehensive 1-2 months of foreign trade data,Overall performance is still positive.1 to 2 months,The total cost of the import and export in our country/export/Imports rose 14.2%, respectively/23.6% and 5%.
海关的数据还显示,2月份我国出口经理人指数为38.2,较1月回升0 .7,连续第3个月环比提升。其中,新增出口订单指数为40.6、出口信心指数为44.1、出口企业综合成本指数为19.1,分别较1月回升0.1、1.2、1.2。出口经理人指数的连续回升,表明我国外贸出口走势正趋于乐观。与此同时,对未来2-3个月出口持悲观情绪的企业比例首次降至四成以下。
The customs figures show,Our country export managers index was 38.2 in February,From January recovered 0 7.,For a third consecutive month-on-month increase.Among them,New export orders index of 40.6/Export confidence index was 44.1/Export enterprises comprehensive cost index was 19.1,A rebound in January 0.1 respectively/1.2/1.2.Export managers index for pick up,Shows that China's foreign trade export tendency is tend to be more optimistic.At the same time,2-3 months for the future export proportion of businesses pessimistic mood fell below forty percent for the first time.
不过,专家也提示说,初现的暖意并不意味可以对今年外贸形势掉以轻心。在内部压力不减的背景下,外部需求依然存在不确定性。
but,Experts also suggest said,Warmth of the early does not mean that this year the foreign trade situation can be taken lightly.Under the background of the internal pressure does not decrease,External demand remains uncertain.
“今年外贸形势总体来看仍然比较严峻,3月是关键,要看3月份欧洲经济能否迈过坎儿,同时也还要看看春季广交会的情况。”中国国际经济交流中心秘书长、商务部原副部长魏建国表示,总体估计今年外贸会有两位数的增长,但不会像前几年那么高。
"This year the foreign trade situation overall is still serious,March is the key,Depends on the European economy can move beyond snag in March,At the same time also need to have a look at the spring Canton fair."Secretary general of the China international economic and exchange center/Former deputy commerce minister wei jianguo said,The overall estimates that foreign trade will be a double-digit growth this year,But not as high as in previous years.
王挺革同时指出,今年增幅较为乐观,其中有去年基数较低的因素,要有明显好转可能仍然比较难。他坦言,外需不足和中国制造比较竞争优势下降是当前面临的主要困难。“占国贸集团出口份额最大的纺织品,就是典型的劳动密集型产业。浙江一带纺织工月薪大约是600美金,而柬埔寨的工人月薪150美金就够了,传统产业受劳动力成本影响比较明显。”
Wang Ting leather also pointed out,Grew more optimistic this year,The factors which have a low base last year,Have improved markedly may still be difficult.He admits,Foreign demand is insufficient and decline in Chinese manufacturing comparative advantage is currently facing major difficulties."The largest international trade group, the export share of textiles,Is a typical labor-intensive industries.Textile industry in zhejiang area is about 600 dollars a month,And Cambodia workers $150 monthly salary will be enough,The traditional industry affected by Labour costs."
浙江元立金属制品集团主营业务是金属制品,其集团董事长叶新华对今年出口形势依然不乐观。他说,主要原因一是贸易壁垒,例如欧盟对我国紧固件反倾销使得公司紧固件产品出口受阻。二是全球经济复苏缓慢,国际需求量减少了,但国内产能没小。“原来只要价格低都有人要,现在不行了,产能过剩,企业就面临出口出不去”。
Zhejiang yuan metal products group main business is metal products,The group's chairman Ye Xinhua to export situation is still not optimistic this year.He said,Main reason is a trade barrier,Such as the European Union to our country fastener anti-dumping hindered exports fastener products of the company.Secondly, the global economic recovery is slow,The international demand is reduced,But I can't small domestic capacity."The original as long as prices are low people will,Now can't,overcapacity,Enterprises have export couldn't go out".
他还说:“今年前2个月外销相比去年还有小幅增长,但3月份就不行了。原来到3月份工程都要开工,今年受楼市调控政策影响,很多项目都没动。另外,还有些企业招工都招不到。”
He also said that:"The first 2 months of the year export and a slight increase compared with last year,But in March.The original project will starts to march,This year the property market regulation and control policy influence,Many projects untouched.In addition,Also to find some companies hire."
有别于往年,今年的政府工作报告中并未列出全年外贸增长目标。这被业内解读为,对外部不确定性因素预判的拿捏尺寸愈加审慎。
Different from the usual,This year's government work report did not list the year of China's foreign trade growth targets.This was interpreted in the industry,External uncertainties of forecasting take hold size more prudent.
对此,商务部部长陈德铭在今年两会记者会后表示,今年外贸预期增长8%左右。“去年外贸没有达到预期,是因为国际市场的变化。”他表示,对今年外贸的总体形势是审慎乐观。
For this,Minister of commerce Chen deming said in two sessions this year reporters after the meeting,Foreign trade is expected to grow about 8% this year."Foreign trade last year didn't meet expectations,Because of changes in the international market."He said,The general situation of foreign trade this year are cautiously optimistic.
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