未来5年全球石油贸易的重心将从原油交易转移为成品油贸易，据IEA预报称，全球原油贸易至2018年将缩减32400万桶/天；2012年全球原油交易已经缩减了90万桶/天。但同时，IEA称成品油的贸易需求却在上升。

In the next five years the focus of the global oil trade will transfer from crude oil deal for refined oil products trade,According to the IEA forecast,Global oil trade will shrink to 324 million to 2018 barrels per day;In 2012 global oil trade has shrank by 900000 barrels per day.But at the same time,The IEA says oil products trade demand is growing.

　　从原油到成品油，诸如柴油和汽油，的转变是普氏能源本周峰会的焦点之一。尽管传统上讲原油贸易的收益要远高于成品油。 但已有迹象表明一些独立贸易公司，Vitol,Glencore以及石油巨头壳牌已经开始了这种贸易重心转移。据悉，与会的许多公司的管理人员和政策制定者认为，

From crude oil to the refined products,Such as diesel and gasoline,The shift is one of the focus of platts energy summit this week.Although traditionally refined oil crude oil trade income is much higher. But have been signs that some independent trading company,Vitol,Glencore and oil giant shell has already started the shift of trade.It is understood,Many of the company managers and policy makers,

　　重心从原油贸易转移至成品油的趋势将是持久的。因为中东地区已在建设可从油井口直接输往大型炼油厂的设施。

Center of gravity transferred to the refined oil products from crude oil trade trends will be sustained.Because in the Middle East can be shipped directly from the well in the construction of large oil refinery facilities.

　　Gunvor公司市场主管和首席分析师David Fyfe称，在下个10年，就增长速度而言，全球成品油贸易可能远超过原油贸易。成品油贸易将从传统的短途航运，诸如从Caribbean 炼油厂运往美国东海岸，以及从荷兰的炼油中心运往欧洲，转移为包括从沙特和印度至亚洲和非洲的长距离运输。

Gunvor company marketing director and chief analyst David Fyfe said,In the next ten years,In terms of growth rate,May be far more than global oil trade crude oil trade.Refined oil products trade from the traditional short shipping,Such as from the Caribbean Oil refineries to the east coast of the United States,And the oil refining center to Europe from the Netherlands,Transfer from Saudi Arabia and India to Asia and Africa for inclusion of long distance transportation.

　　BP亚洲综合供应与贸易首席执行官Clive Christison认为，越来越多提供柴油和汽油的机会出现在东南亚地区。因为这里需求不断提高的同时炼油厂建设相对落后。澳洲的成品油出口将持续增长，尤其是汽油和半成品油。

Clive, chief executive of BP integrated supply and trade in Asia Christison think,More and more provide opportunities for diesel and gasoline in southeast Asia.Because of this increased demand and refinery construction is relatively backward.Australia's oil exports will continue to grow,Especially the gasoline and semi refined oil products.

　　总部位于新加坡的Trafigura贸易公司已经在澳洲投资超过8亿美元用于成品油生产。澳洲的成品油生产已经逐渐成为其贸易和投资特色。

Trafigura trading company based in Singapore has invested more than $800 million for production of refined petroleum products in Australia.Australia's oil production has become its trade and investment characteristics.

　　石油贸易重心的转移原因是多方面的。美国页岩油的增产导致非洲原油出口的降低为原因之一。但更重要的是沙特和中国产品油出口能力的增强。

Transfer of oil trade center there are a variety of reasons.The shale oil production, leading to reduced to one of the reasons for Africa's oil exports.But more important is to Saudi Arabia and China's increasing ability of the oil products export.

　　IEA同时认为，沙特国有石油公司Saudi Aramco将在未来发挥巨大的影响力。中国的国有炼油企业可能因为其雄心勃勃的扩张计划而带来成品油生产过剩的问题。IEA预计，中国炼油能力将从去年年底的1340万桶/天提高至2018年的1770万桶/天，远高于国内成品油需求预期。

The IEA thinks at the same time,Saudi Arabia's state-owned oil company Saudi Reserves will play a huge influence in the future.China's state-owned oil refining enterprises may lose its ambitious expansion plans and bring product overcapacity problem.The IEA expects,China's refining capacity will be increased from 13.4 million barrels per day by the end of last year to 17.7 million barrels per day in 2018,Much higher than domestic oil demand forecast.