全球货币普遍宽松，但并没有推升国际铁矿石价格。昨日，天津航运指数办公室有关负责人表示，钢铁行业形势依旧严峻，钢厂对铁矿石等原材料的采购依旧较为谨慎，近期铁矿石价格不断下滑，对海岬型船市场构成利好，市场运价小幅回升。

全球货币普遍宽松,But there is no push up international iron ore prices.yesterday,Tianjin shipping index office officials said,Iron and steel industry situation is still grim,Steel mills for iron ore and other raw materials procurement is still cautious,A recent decline in iron ore prices are,Good news for capesize ship market,Market rate edged off.

　　与此同时，在近日举行的2013中国铁矿石国际市场研讨会上，中国钢铁工业协会副会长王晓齐表示，今年下半年铁矿石市场将出现明显供大于求的情况，进口铁矿石价格将进一步下探，全年铁矿石下降幅度预计为10美元-15美元/吨。

与此At the same time,In the recently held a seminar of 2013 China international iron ore market,China steel industry association, vice President of Wang Xiaoji said,In the second half of this year iron ore market will appear obvious oversupply situation,Imported iron ore prices will dip further,Annual iron ore reduction is expected to be $10 - $15 / tons.

　　最新一期“新华中国铁矿石价格指数”显示，截至最新报告期(4月23日5月7日)，中国港口铁矿石库存(沿海25港)为7053万吨，较上期减少29万吨，环比下降0.4%。中国进口品位63.5%的铁矿石价格指数为129，下降9个单位;58%品位的铁矿石价格指数为113，下降8个单位。

最新一期"Xinhua, China's iron ore price index"According to,As of the latest during the reporting period(On April 23, May 7),China port iron ore inventories(Coastal port 25)70.53 million tons of,Compared with the previous reduction of 290000 tons,Dropped 0.4%.China import grade of 63.5% iron ore price index for 129,Down 9 units;Grade of 58% iron ore price index for 113,Decline in eight units.

　　统计显示，上述报告期初，进口矿市场需求低迷，成交情况较为惨淡，国外期货市场部分品种下滑2-3美元，现货市场下滑10-20美元。“五一”之后，进口矿市场需求低迷，在国内外经济环境不佳的情况下，市场价格呈现弱势。但进口矿贸易商挺价力度较大，低价出货意愿不强，这使得进口矿下跌幅度较小，目前供需双方仍处于观望僵持状态。

统计According to,The report at the beginning,Imported ore market demand downturn,Clinch a deal the situation is relatively poor,Foreign futures market varieties in 2 to 3 dollars,Spot market fell $10 - $20."The May Day"after,Imported ore market demand downturn,Under the condition of the poor economic environment at home and abroad,The market price weakness.But imports ore traders price larger efforts,Low price shipment will is not strong,This makes imports fell by less,At present both sides of supply and demand is still in wait-and-see stalemate.

　　业内人士指出，由于矿选厂商低价出货意愿较低，对铁矿石价格形成一定支撑，但钢材市场需求持续低迷，部分地区和矿种仍将可能小幅下探，短期内整体进口矿市场难以摆脱弱势调整的状态。

业内人士指出,Due to the low ore selected manufacturers cheap shipment will,For iron ore prices must support,But the steel market demand remains weak,Parts and minerals will probably dip slightly,Overall imports ore in the short term the market is difficult to get rid of the weak state of adjustment.

　　据悉，今年一季度钢铁产量同比增加超过9%，但是消费量只增加了3.1%，产量1.92亿吨和消费量1.49亿吨之间有巨大缺口，都变成库存有待消化。在巨量库存压力下，钢厂肯定会减少产能，并进而减少铁矿石需求量。王晓齐推算，中国对铁矿石需求将整体放缓。

据悉,Steel production rose more than 9% in the first quarter this year,But consumption increased by only 3.1%,Output was 192 million tons, has a huge gap between 149 million tons and consumption,All inventory needs to be digested.Under the huge inventory pressure,Steel mills will reduce capacity,And, in turn, reduce the demand for iron ore.Wang Xiaoji calculated,Chinese demand for iron ore will slow down overall.

　　与此同时，近期，多家国际大型矿企和投行纷纷唱空铁矿石。高盛集团预测：2013年铁矿石价格预期下调至139美元/吨，2014年、2015年矿价预期分别下调至115美元/吨、80美元/吨;巴西淡水河谷、FMG矿山预测：2013年铁矿石价格将在120美元/吨一线波动;力拓集团预测：未来18个月矿石价格将会下跌50%。

与此At the same time,The recent,Several large international mining companies and investment Banks have sing empty iron ore.Goldman sachs predicted:In 2013 iron ore price forecast to $139 / ton,In 2014,/2015 ore price forecast to $115 / ton, respectively/$80 / ton;Vale of Brazil/Fortescue mine forecast:In 2013 iron ore price will be $120 / ton a line fluctuations;Rio tinto group:The next 18 months ore prices will fall 50%.

　　另据荷兰银行(ABNAmro)预测称，到今年年底，铁矿石价格将约在140美元左右，略高于当前水准。但到2015年底，价格将下滑至每吨115美元。目前，铁矿石价格在每吨130.20美元，年初迄今下跌10%。

另据荷兰银行(ABNAmro)predicted,By the end of this year,Iron ore price will be about $140,Slightly higher than current levels.But by the end of 2015,Prices will fall to $115 a tonne.At present,Iron ore prices at $130.20 a tonne,Is down 10% so far this year.

　　全球铁矿石供应量将快速上升。FMG全球销售总监刘晓东表示，去年12月份铁矿石产量达到850万吨，比2012年5月提高23%，伴随着国王矿山今年9-10月达产，预计今年产能将达到1.55亿吨。三大铁矿石生产商淡水河谷今年一季度铁矿石产量为6753万吨，同比下降3.5%，环比降21%，但今年铁矿石产量目标依然是3.06亿吨。

全球铁矿石供应量将快速上升.Fortescue LiuXiaoDong said global sales director,In December last year iron ore output reached 8.5 million tons,In may increased 23% than in 2012,With the king of mine reaches producing September - October,This year production capacity will reach 155 million tons.The three big iron ore producers vale in the first quarter this year iron ore output of 67.53 million tons,Fell 3.5% year on year,Month-on-month drop of 21%,But this year is 306 million tons of iron ore production target.

　　里昂证券高级商品分析师LanRoper5月9日在“2013新加坡铁矿石论坛”上表示，“从长期来看，铁矿石价格必将呈下行趋势，预计将低至75美元。”这意味在未来十年内有很多矿山将面临关闭，成本曲线靠下者竞争优势较为明显。

里昂证券高级商品分析师LanRoper5月9日在"Iron ore 2013 Singapore BBS"In the said,"In the long run,Iron ore prices will be a downward trend,Is expected to be as low as $75."This means that there were lots of mine will face over the next decade to shut down,Cost curve by nobody more obvious competitive advantage.

　　LanRoper认为中国钢铁需求仍将有所增长，顶峰预计在8亿吨，不会达到10亿吨，因为中国经济已经放缓。同时随着科技进步和发展，未来用钢单耗将下降，如建桥不再像以前那样需要很多钢材，美国是最好的例子。在钢铁需求减弱的同时，中国国内矿石虽然品质一般，但产量仍然在增加，成品矿年产量约2亿吨，废钢产出也将加速，将直接冲击铁矿石需求。另外，与日本相比，中国不太可能大量出口汽车，新兴国家虽在发展，但对铁矿石需求绝对量有限，无法真正填补中国需求疲软。

LanRoper认为中国钢铁需求仍将有所增长,Peak is expected to 800 million tons,Not reached 1 billion tons,Because the Chinese economy has slowed.At the same time随着科技进步和发展,Steel consumption will decline in the future,As the bridge is no longer as before need a lot of steel,America is the best example.在钢铁需求减弱的At the same time,Although China's domestic ore quality,But production is still on the increase,Finished mine, annual output of about 200 million tons,Scrap steel output will also be accelerated,Will directly impact the demand for iron ore.In addition,Compared with Japan,China is unlikely to export a lot of cars,Emerging countries are in development,But absolute demand for iron ore co., LTD,Can't really fill the weak demand in China.

　　国际钢协也预计，2013年全球铁矿石市场基本会保持供需平衡，但会在2014年-2017年期间逐步出现供应过剩问题。国际钢协总干事EdwinBasson日前在伦敦称，这是国际钢协原材料委员会对新增铁矿石项目可行性进行仔细研究后得出的结论。

国际钢协也预计,In 2013 the global iron ore market will keep the balance between supply and demand,But during the period of 2014-2017 oversupply problems step by step.Director-general of the international steel EdwinBasson recently said in London,This is the international steel association committee of raw materials for new iron ore project feasibility conclusion after careful research.