联合国估测数据显示，国际粮食进口成本已经达到1.24万亿美元，逼近历史最高点。业界分析，粮食进口成本攀升主要原因是炒作，中国自身粮食生产安全系数较高，因此，对中国通货膨胀影响有限。

The United Nations estimates data shows，The international food imports cost is already up to us $1.24 trillion，Approaching record。Industry analysis，Food import costs rise the main reason is the hype，China's grain production safety coefficient is higher，so，For China's inflation limited impact。

　　受干旱影响，美国农业部预测，在明年收割季节到来以前，国际玉米、小麦、大豆和大米的总库存将会下降1.8%，创四年以来最低水平。其中，在美国这个全球最大的粮食出口国中，农作物正面临着自1988年以来最恶劣的状况。不过，北京东方艾格农业咨询公司农业分析师马文峰表示，从目前统计来看，各国农作物受损情况不足以带来粮食供求短缺，进口成本上涨主要来自部分地区的炒作：

Affected by drought，The United States department of agriculture forecasts，In the harvest season next year before arrival，International maize、wheat、Soy and rice's total inventory will be reduced by 1.8%，And the lowest level since four years。Among them，In the United States the world's largest food exporter，The crops are facing since 1988 the most of the bad situation。but，Beijing Orient Edgar agricultural consulting company MaWenFeng agricultural analysts said，From the current statistics to see，Crop damage of all countries to bring food shortage of supply and demand，Import costs from the main part of the hype：

　　马文峰：全球经济不是很景气，矿产资源的消费是疲软的，而粮食的需求是刚性需求，欧美各个国家央行也在不停的发钞票，全球的货币非常多，那调整价格就要通过炒作粮食，把通货膨胀的压力在这里释放出来，他们能够赚很多的钱，应该说国际金融机构是粮价上涨的最大推手。

MaWenFeng：The global economy is not very healthy，Mineral resources consumption is weak，And the demand for grain is a basic need，All countries in Europe and central bank also continuously hair money，Global monetary very much，The price adjustment will be through the hype food，The inflation pressure released here，They can make a lot of money，Should say international financial institutions is the biggest rising food prices is possible。

　　国际进口成本的攀升，传导至大宗商品价格会出现波动，这对国内通胀形势会有一定压力，但交通银行首席经济学家连平分析，从中国来说，夏粮已经获得丰收，粮食生产安全系数较高，因此，未来通胀压力高企的可能性较小：

International import costs to climb，Transmission to commodity price volatility，The domestic inflation the situation will have certain pressure，But the traffic bank chief economist even flat analysis，From China, for，The summer crops has already got a bumper harvest，Food production safety coefficient is higher，so，Future inflation high pressure less likely：

　　连平：因为中国的CPI的主要的影响因素还是国内的食品价格，食品价格中间最主要的还是猪肉和蔬菜，所以如果说猪肉、蔬菜相对平稳的话，那么应该说CPI不会大幅度的上涨。

Even flat：Because China's CPI's main influence factors or domestic food prices，Among the main food prices or pork and vegetables，So if the pork、Vegetables relatively quiet words，So should say CPI won't substantial increase。