多数业内人士与商家将进口棉的积压归咎于配额太少。也有外商希望能够放宽进口配额的尺度。 

Most of the personage inside course of study and merchants will be the JinKouMian backlog blamed on quota too little。Also have foreign hope to be able to relax the scale of import quotas。 

　　第一纺织网总编汪前进认为，发放配额的可能性并不大，他认为：“国家发改委在近期已下发额外40万吨进口棉花配额，因此，应该再发放配额的可能性较小。”据了解，这40万吨进口棉花配额是专门为加工贸易发放的配额，需要有国外订单才能申购配额。

The first textile network managing editor wang forward think，The possibility of grant quotas is not big，He thinks：“The national development and reform commission recently has issued an additional 400000 tons cotton import quota，therefore，Grant quotas should be less likely。”It is understood，The 400000 tons of cotton import quotas are designed for processing trade issue quota，Need to have foreign order to purchase quota。

　　扩大配额可能性小

Expand the quota small possibility

　　据了解，国家每年发放配额不少于89.4万吨，这是关税内配额，只需交纳1%关税，每年1月1日按时发放。同时，国家根据进口棉需求程度不同，还会不定期追发滑准税的配额，业内称为5%关税配额。滑准税是在5%-40%范围内滑动，按照进口棉花价格而定滑动比例。追发的数量不确定，也不公开，一般在100万-200万吨之间。今年迄今为止，国家已经发放了总计250万吨棉花配额，这些配额已经用完了。而这意味着，积压的进口棉花因为没有配额而无法通关。

It is understood，Countries each year grant quotas will be no less 894000 tons，This is within the tariff quotas，Need to pay 1% tariff，January 1, issue on time。At the same time，State, according to the different levels JinKouMian demand，Will not regularly after hair slide quasi tax quota，The industry known as 5% tariff quota。Slide quasi tax is in 5% - 40% range sliding，According to the imported cotton prices and decide sliding scale。After the number of hair uncertainty，Also don't open，General in the 1 million - 2 million tons between。So far this year，Countries have issued a total of 2.5 million tons of cotton quota，These quotas have been finished。And this means that，The backlog of imported cotton because there is no quota to customs clearance。

　　有棉纺织上市公司相关负责人向记者透露，进口棉的配额一般是按照公司的规模来分配的，也有的会出价购买配额，也比国内棉价便宜。

Have cotton manufacturing listed companies the relevant person in charge said to reporters，JinKouMian quota general is according to the size of the company to the distribution，Also some will offer to buy quota，Than domestic MianJia cheap。

　　现今，保税区内有100多家棉花经销商，多数处于观望阶段，期待发改委增发配额，或者等到9月份东南亚国家缺棉花的时候再出售。

now，Bonded area has more than 100 home cotton dealers，Most in the wait-and-see stage，Looking forward to development and reform commission issued shares of quota，Or wait until September southeast Asian countries lack of cotton to sell。

　　对此，汪前进认为放宽配额的可能性并不大，他认为：“国家发改委在近期已下发额外40万吨进口棉花配额，因此，应该再发放配额的可能性较小。”

this，Wang forward think relaxing quota of the possibility is not big，He thinks：“The national development and reform commission recently has issued an additional 400000 tons cotton import quota，therefore，Grant quotas should be less likely。”

　　据了解，这40万吨进口棉花配额是专门为加工贸易发放的配额。“这种配额需要有加工贸易订单，棉花购进后，生产的成品要出口国外，这样一来，购进的棉花不会流入国内市场，对国内的棉价不会有影响。”汪前进向记者说道。

It is understood，The 400000 tons of cotton import quotas are designed for processing trade issue quota。“The quota need a processing trade order，Cotton after purchase，The production of finished products to export abroad，so，Purchase cotton not into the domestic market，For domestic MianJia has no influence。”Wang forward told reporters。

　　也有市场人士担心，现在国家不追发配额，进口的棉花只能堆积在仓库里，要么以高价收购别人的配额，要么只能等到9月份，东南亚、印度都很缺棉花的时候再卖给他们，他们的棉花现在都卖到中国了，到时候就缺棉花了。

Also some market experts worry，Now countries don't chase, hair quota，Imported cotton can only accumulation in the warehouse，Either to high prices for other people's quota，Or can only wait until September，Southeast Asia、India is lack of cotton to sell them，Their cotton are now sold to China，Then the lack of cotton。

　　对此，汪前进表示，一旦9月份缺棉花的话，国家将有可能会抛储。“8、9月是青黄不接的阶段，国家有两种解决办法，一是发配额；二是抛储。” 

this，Wong forward said，Once September lack of cotton words，Countries will likely cast store。“8、September is temporary shortage stage，Countries have two kinds of solution，One is the hair quota；The second is cast store。” 

　　近期，业内有消息称，发改委9月或将投放100万吨国家棉花储备。相关管理部门最近就有关抛储细节曾有密集讨论，具体抛储方式是定向抛储还是搭送进口棉配额方案都有探讨，而抛储价格相关部门也分歧较大，主要在16000元/吨还是18500元/吨存在争议。

recent，Industry sources said，Development and reform commission on September or will put 1 million tons of national cotton reserves。Related management department has recently on reservoir into details had intensive discussion，Concrete cast store way is directional cast store or take to send JinKouMian quota scheme are discussed，And cast store price related departments also large differences，Mainly in 16000 yuan/ton or 18500 yuan/ton controversial。

　　外商仍有其他选择

Foreign still have other choices

　　在错估市场需求的前提下，进口棉商运进国内港口的大量进口棉只能堆积在仓库之中无法消化。

In the wrong estimation under the premise of the market demand，JinKouMian business into a large number of domestic ports JinKouMian can only piling up in warehouses in can't digest。

　　据外商反馈，由于临近9月份新棉上市，再加自身资金流严重紧缺，有的进口企业连按合同后续到港的外棉都无法开出信用证、信用证承兑也无法支付，因此不得不设法自救。甚至有商家亏损的消息传出来。

According to foreign feedback，Due to the near September showed listed，Add their own capital serious shortage，Some even import enterprise according to the contract subsequent arrival outside cotton are unable to open the l/c、The l/c acceptance also is unable to pay，So have to try to save his life。Companies have even loss of the news out。

　　对此，汪前进向记者分析，进口棉商多为外国商家，亏损的可能性并不大。如果在中国卖不出去，还可以选择卖到东南亚地区。

this，Wang forward analysis to the reporter，More than JinKouMian business for foreign businessmen，The possibility of loss is not big。If don't sell in China，Still can choose sold to southeast Asia。

　　据悉，目前大部分外商和棉花进口贸易商的成交量都很少，等待和观望情绪非常浓厚。

It is reported，At present most of the foreign and cotton import trade business volume are few，Wait and see mood is very strong。

　　据几家大型外商估算，扣除国家储备棉因“产地可选择”或其它原因解除了近9万吨合同外，2012年外棉进入国储库的总量约91万吨，主要是从青岛、上海和阿拉山口等地进入。

According to several large foreign estimation，Deduction for national ChuBeiMian“Origin can choose”Or other reason remove nearly 90000 tons of the contract，The 2012 outer cotton into kingdom bank the amount of about 910000 tons，Mainly from Qingdao、Shanghai and ala shan kou, etc into。