“种种迹象表明，中国出口形势的严峻程度大于预期，温总理此次调研，也表明领导层对于出口跌势得不到有效遏制的担忧。”接受中新社记者采访时，中国国际贸易学会中美欧战略与经济研究中心主任何伟文如是说。

“All the signs are that，China's export situation serious to a greater extent than expected，Premier wen jiabao this research，Also shows that the leadership for export fall not effectively concerns。”Accept China news agency reporter to interview，The China association of international trade among sino-us-eu on strategic and economic research center director HeWeiWen said。

　　8月24日至25日，国务院总理温家宝赶赴广东广州、佛山、东莞等地，就当前经济走势特别是稳定外需、加快外贸转型升级进行调研。温家宝指出，当前，要有针对性地采取措施推动出口稳定增长。

August 24 to 25，The state council premier wen jiabao to guangdong guangzhou、foshan、Dongguan and other places，The current economic situation especially now stable、To speed up the transformation and upgrading of foreign trade carries on the investigation and study。Wen jiabao pointed out that，The current，Want to have pointed to take measures to promote stable export growth。

　　作为温家宝此行一个不容忽略的背景，中国的外贸出口增速在5月份奇迹般出现反弹后，近期再陷颓势。7月份当月，中国出口同比仅增长1%，环比跌幅10.3%之大亦超出此前多数专家学者的预期。

As wen jiabao visit a not ignore background，China's foreign trade export growth in May miraculously after a rebound，In the near future to trap flagging。In July the，China's export growth of 1% year-on-year only，Link or 10.3% big also beyond most experts and scholars had expected。

　　“造成外贸出口形势严峻的主要原因，是由于全球经济处于下行通道导致的外部市场疲弱。”中国商务部研究院研究员李健就此对中新社记者分析，“其中最为关键的是欧债危机的蔓延”。

“Tough export situation caused the main reason，Is due to the global economy is in descending channel in external market weakness。”China's ministry of commerce research institute researcher lee kin-wo China news agency reporters this analysis，“One of the most key is the debt crisis spread”。

　　根据欧盟统计局中旬发布的数据，今年二季度欧元区经济与一季度环比萎缩了0.2%，同比则萎缩0.4%。海关数据显示，1-7月，中国对欧盟出口同比下降3.6%。商务部新闻发言人沈丹阳分析，这意味着，同期，中国对欧盟的出口增速比总体出口增速低11.4%，仅这一个缺口就影响中国近1300亿美元的出口额。

According to the bureau of statistics data released in the middle，In the second quarter of this year the economy of the euro area and 0.2% in the first quarter link atrophy，The 0.4% year-on-year atrophy。Customs data display，1 - July，China's exports to Europe 3.6% year-on-year drop。Commerce ministry spokesman said ShenDanYang analysis，This means that，Over the same period，China's export growth to the European Union than the overall 11.4% lower export growth，Only this one gap will affect China nearly $130 billion in exports。

　　“与此同时，美日等主要经济体的复苏进程缓慢，也构成了中国外贸严峻的重要背景。”李健补充说。

“meanwhile，America and Japan and other major economies slow recovery，Is a part of China's foreign trade severe important background。”Lee kin-wo added。

　　温家宝在日前结束的调研中重申，要积极扩大进口，妥善应对贸易摩擦，积极改善投资环境。他还呼吁加快转变外贸发展方式，鼓励外贸企业培育更多自主知识产权产品和自主品牌。

Wen jiabao said at the end of the investigation by the reiterated，To actively expand imports，Properly deal with trade friction，Actively improve the investment environment。He also called on to speed up the transformation of foreign trade development mode，Encourages foreign trade enterprises to cultivate more autonomous products of intellectual property right and the independent brand。

　　对此，何伟文认为，最为紧要的是加快出口退税进度，他建言，应实行全部退税的政策，实现零税率出口，方能最大效力地保证出口增长。

this，HeWeiWen think，The most urgent is to speed up the progress of the export tax rebate，"He，Should implement all tax refund policy，Realize investigation export，Can maximum effective guarantee export growth。

　　但在李健看来，鉴于中国外贸出口不彰的最根本症结在于外部需求不旺，全面出口退税的实施只能起到部分弥补成本上涨的作用，总体来看，促进出口的作用有限。

But in lee kin-wo looks，In view of China's foreign trade export does not commend the most basic crux lies in external demand，The implementation of the comprehensive export tax rebate can only play a part for the role of rising costs，overall，Export promotion limited role。

　　鉴于欧债危机的继续蔓延，李健认为，尽管中国官方采取了一系列促进出口的政策措施已经或正在发挥作用，但未来几个月内，期待出口增速实现较大幅度的反弹，“不大可能”。

In view of the debt crisis continues to spread，Lee kin-wo think，Although China's official adopted a series of policies and measures to promote exports have been or are play a role，But the next few months，Looking forward to export growth to realize a substantial rebound，“Is unlikely”。

　　何伟文则更直言，如果欧洲继续坚持紧缩的应对政策，其逃出生天的时间还有可能延后，“个人认为，中国全年对欧盟出口增长无望，这一形势将延续到明年，进而拖累中国总体出口增长。”他说。

HeWeiWen is more the truth，If Europe continue to adhere to the answer of the tightening policy，The flight was born days of time and may delay，“Personally think，China's annual export growth to the European Union hopeless，This situation will continue until next year，And then drag China's overall export growth。”He said。

　　与此相佐证的是，温家宝日前在广东也坦言，从新出口订单指数等先行指标看，下一阶段出口仍将面临较多困难和不确定性。

In conjunction with this evidence is，Wen jiabao has also said frankly that in guangdong，New export orders index, forward-looking indicators to see，The next stage export will face more difficulties and uncertainty。

　　果如此言，鉴于中国1-7月进出口总值仅同比增长7.1%，实现今年进出口总值10%左右的增长目标无疑困难重重。

Fruit so words，In view of China's 1 - July only import and export value year-on-year increase of 7.1%，To realize this year about 10% of the total import and export growth targets is difficult。

　　而何伟文提醒，不要总把视线盯在全年目标是否完成上，要更加实事求是地研判形势，在千方百计促进出口的同时做好各种预案，最大化减小外贸不彰对于宏观经济形势的震荡。

And HeWeiWen remind，Don't always so fixated on annual goals to be achieved on，Be more practical and judge the situation，In leave no stone unturned to promote export and do all sorts of plan，Maximize reduce foreign trade does not commend for macro economic situation of the concussion。