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8月外贸继续疲软--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-09-10
海关总署10日公布我国8月份外贸情况。数据显示,8月份,我国进出口总值增长0.2%,其中出口增长2.7%,进口下降2.6%。
Promulgated by the general administration of customs 10 in our country foreign trade situation in August.Data display,In August,China import and export gross domestic product growth of 0.2%,Export growth of 2.7%,Imports fell by 2.6%.
专家表示,8月份外贸数据是重要的观察节点,从目前情况来看,在全年“保十”压力增大的同时,政策效应需要进一步释放。
Experts say,In August the foreign trade data is an important observation node,From the current situation,Throughout the year"The ten"Pressure increasing at the same time,Policy effect need to be further release.
进口再现负增长出口继续谷底徘徊
Import reappearance negative growth exports continue to wander the bottom
数据显示,8月份我国进口1513.13亿美元,同比下降2.6%,环比下降0.3%。进口继今年1月之后再度出现负增长,且远逊于市场预期。
Data display,Our country is imported $151.313 billion in August,2.6% year-on-year drop,Link fell by 0.3%.Import after January this year after reemergence negative growth,And far inferior to market expectations.
巴克莱资本中国首席经济学家黄益平认为,进口急转直下主要受到三个因素的影响:疲弱的外需对加工贸易进口的抑制,机械及原材料行业持续去库存,以及部分大宗商品价格下跌。
Barclays capital China chief economist HuangYiPing think,Imports plunged are mainly affected by the influence of the three factors:Weak overseas market demand for processing trade import of inhibition,Machinery and raw material industry continue to go to inventory,And some commodity prices.
从大宗商品进口总值来看,当月铁矿石和原油进口分别同比下降20.9%和20.5%。数据显示,我国实体经济仍在低位运行。8月份工业增加值再度创下自2009年以来的低点,钢铁、水泥等重工业仍表现低迷,后市整个钢铁行业将面临较大的低需求和高库存压力。
From commodity import value to see,The iron ore and crude oil import year-on-year decline 20.9% and 20.5% respectively.Data display,Our country the real economy is still in the low operation.August industrial added value set again since 2009 low,Iron and steel/Cement, and other heavy industry downturn still performance,Indication of the iron and steel industry will be confronted with low demand and high inventory pressure.
此外,基于进出口的关联性,进口负增长意味着外贸企业没有原材料和设备的采购需求,预示出口前景亦不乐观。“由于成本上涨,迫使加工贸易从国内转向国外、从外贸转做内销,由此削减了进口需求。带来的后果则是未来的出口值也会进一步放缓。”上海出口商品企业协会会长冯郑州在接受记者采访时表示。
In addition,Based on the import and export of relevance,Import negative growth means that the foreign trade enterprise no raw materials and the purchase of equipment and demand,Indicate export prospects, it is not optimistic."Due to rising costs,Forced the processing trade from domestic to overseas/Turn from foreign trade to sale in domestic market,This cut import demand.The consequences of is the future of exports will slow further."Shanghai export commodities enterprise association von zhengzhou when accepting a reporter to interview said.
出口数据则显示,8月份我国出口同比上升2.7%,好于上月但弱于市场预期,并未扭转下滑态势。
Export data is display,In August of our country export up 2.7%,Good last month but weak in market expectations,Did not turn down trend.
从分类数据看,中国对欧盟和日本的出口分别负增长12.7%和6.7%。
From classification data to see,China exports to the European Union and Japan respectively 12.7% and 6.7% negative growth.
值得注意的是,“圣诞季”好景不再成为外需转冷的写照。对于国内最大的圣诞用品生产基地义乌来说,7至9月应该是商家手握大把圣诞订单的时期,但今年“义乌指数”已经跌破了1000点。
It is important to note that,"The Christmas season"Prosperity is no longer a mirror to turn cold now.For the country's largest production base for Christmas products yiwu,From July to September is a businessman should hand big Christmas orders period,But this year"Yiwu index"Have below 1000 points.
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