8月我国进出口总值同比增长0.2%。其中，出口增长2.7%，进口下降2.6%。出口一改往年此时的高峰状态，连续两月出现个位数增长，表明稳出口政策亟需加码。分析人士认为，诸如稳定人民币汇率、提高出口信用保险承保规模、加大出口退税力度等政策将成为稳出口的重要举措。

August China import and export value year-on-year growth of 0.2%.the,Export growth of 2.7%,Imports fell by 2.6%.Export change in previous years the peak state,Continuous two months appear single-digit growth,Show that stable export policy lotto urgently needed.Analysts believe that,Such as stable RMB exchange rate/Improve the export credit insurance underwriting scale/Increase the export tax rebate policy dynamics will become stable export important action.

　　首先，近12个月来，人民币实际有效汇率升值幅度达8%，对出口带来一定影响。目前来看，我国要实现外贸全年增长10%的目标，需要9月至12月出口月度增速达10%以上。考虑到全球经济复苏前景不容乐观，国内劳动力成本仍趋上行等因素，未来几个月出口增速可能仍处低位，今年出口状况不容乐观。在稳出口目标下，需要人民币出现阶段性小幅贬值，从而保持有效汇率基本稳定或小幅升值，以缓解出口压力。

First of all,Nearly 12 months to,RMB real effective exchange rate appreciation 8%,Bring certain influence on exports.So far,Our country should realize the foreign trade throughout the year's target of 10% growth,Need to September to December monthly export growth of 10%.Considering the global economic recovery prospect is not optimistic,Domestic labor cost is still to ascending factors,The next few month export growth may still at low,This year, the export situation is not optimistic.In the steady export goals,Need to RMB appear periodic small devaluation,To maintain effective exchange rate basically stable or modest rise,To ease export pressure.

　　其次，提高出口信用保险承保规模有望成为当前形势下稳出口政策重要着力点。根据国内外经验，在出口增速下降情况下，提高出口信用保险承保规模对稳出口具有一定效果。有关部门曾在2009年提出，进一步完善出口信用保险政策，将短期出口信用保险承保规模提高到840亿美元，出口信用保险覆盖率提高到15%左右。在这一政策刺激下，当时我国出口增速呈平稳增长直至大幅反弹。

secondly,Improve the export credit insurance underwriting scale is expected to become the current situation stable export policy important point of strength.According to the domestic and foreign experience,Drop in export growth situation,Improve the export credit insurance covers to export scale stability has certain effect.The relevant departments have put forward in 2009,To further improve export credit insurance policy,Cut short-term export credit insurance underwriting scale increased to 84 billion us dollars,Export credit insurance coverage rate increased to 15%.In the policy stimulation,At the time of our country export growth is steady growth until rebound sharply.

　　从全球出口信用保险承保规模水平看，目前我国出口信用保险承保规模存在较大提高空间。统计显示，全球贸易额的12%至15%是在出口信用保险支持下实现的。而按发展中国家平均水平计算，我国出口信用保险承保规模应达4700亿美元，但我国出口信用保险规模与此水平相差甚远。有关部门应该加大对以大型成套设备为代表的产品出口信用保险支持力度，有针对性地解决重点行业和中小企业实际困难。

From the global export credit insurance underwriting scale level to see,At present our country export credit insurance covers there is a big space to improve the scale.Statistics show that,Global trade is 12% to 15% in the export credit insurance support implementation.And according to the developing countries average calculation,Our export credit insurance underwriting scale should be $470 billion,But our export credit insurance scale and level of this far.The relevant departments should strengthen the to large complete sets of equipment as a representative of products export credit insurance support,Targeted to solve key industry and small and medium-sized enterprise practical difficulties.

　　再次，保持出口退税连续性和稳定性，加大出口退税力度、提高出口退税率应成为稳出口重要手段。稳定出口退税率将对提振企业信心和稳定出口发挥重要作用。目前传统劳动密集型行业出口面临下降趋势，企业担心随着产业结构调整加快，传统的低附加值行业产品出口退税率会下调，这将使很多企业面临生存考验。稳定这些行业的出口退税率可以给企业提供利润空间，缓解企业资金紧张。

again,Keep the export tax rebate continuity and stability,Increase the export tax rebate strength/To improve the export tax rebate rate should be stable export important means.Stable export rebate rate will be to boost confidence and stable export enterprises play an important role.At present traditional labor-intensive industry facing the export decline,Enterprise worry as to speed up the adjustment of industrial structure,The traditional low value-added products export tax rebate rate will be cut,This will make many enterprises face survival test.Stable these industry the export tax rebate rate can provide to the enterprise profit space,Ease enterprise financial strain.

　　稳定出口与稳定出口政策紧密相关。随着出口行业的调整，出口退税政策应进行适当调整。从出口占比较大的行业看，纺织业部分产品出口退税率在2009年上调后又出现下调，目前出口退税率在11%至16%，上调空间已不大。部分机电产品出口退税率在2009年上调后，目前在14%至17%。考虑到机电产品在我国出口总值中占近60%的比重，预计仍有部分机电产品出口退税率上调。但对容易引起贸易摩擦的产品，如光伏产业类产品等应不在此列。

Stable export and stability is closely related to the export policy.With the adjustment of the export industry,The tax reimbursement for export policy should be adjusted.Exports from bigger industry to see,Part of the textile industry products export rebate rate in 2009 after raised there cut,At present the export tax rebate rate at 11% to 16%,Space has not raised.Part of the mechanical and electrical products export tax rebate rate in 2009 after the rise,At present in 14% to 17%.Considering the mechanical and electrical products in our country exports accounted for nearly 60% of the proportion,There are still part of the mechanical and electrical products is expected to raise the export tax rebate rate.But easy to cause trade friction products,As photovoltaic industry products should be would not be included.

　　此外，为鼓励企业加快产品创新，缓解企业研发资金紧张状况，可将部分高科技产品出口退税率上调到17%的高位。

In addition,In order to encourage enterprises to speed up product innovation,Ease enterprise r&d financial strain condition,Will be part of the high-tech product export rebate rate rise to 17% of high.