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纺织服装出口疲弱有待国家“出招”--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-09-14

  中国商务部近期可能宣布上调部分商品出口退税率。包括家具、鞋类、玩具在内的出口商品退税率从13%-15%提高到17%。新退税政策最快可能在本月执行,大陆媒体报导具体的时间取决于贸易资料是否继续疲软。

China's ministry of commerce recently announced a portion of the goods may be raised the export tax rebate rate.Include furniture/footwear/Toys, the export rebate rate from 13% - 15% increased from 17% to.The new tax refund policy may be the fastest in this month execution,Mainland media report the specific time depends on trade information whether to continue the weak.

  中国轻工工艺品进出口商会高层9月6日表示,几家商会近期确实已经向大陆中央提请上调部分商品的出口退税率,“主要是出口下滑明显的商品,家具、鞋类和玩具都在其列,期望退税上调至17%”,但至今还未闻批复。如果顺利,政策确有可能在10月前出台。

China arts and crafts import and export chamber of commerce on September 6, senior said,Several chamber of commerce recently had to mainland China to raise the export tax rebate rate of a portion of the goods,"Is mainly export downturn obvious goods,furniture/Shoes and toys are among them,Expect drawback rise to 17%",But not yet written reply to a subordinate body smell.If all goes well,Policy may have in 10 months ago issued.

  另有消息人士透露,根据海关月度快报资料,8月的进出口仍然未见改观,出口仍然是微增长。他未透露具体数值。

Another source said,According to customs monthly bulletin material,August import and export still did not see change,Export is still micro growth.He did not give specific value.

  有分析人士称,传言所提退税调整范畴主要在劳动密集型产业,政策调整若兑现,意味着决策层此举不仅仅是要稳定外贸增长,更是为稳定就业。

Analytic personage says,Rumours that the proposed tax rebate adjustment category mainly in labor-intensive industries,Policy adjustment if cash,Means that the decision-making is not only stable to foreign trade growth,But also for stable employment.

  7月份糟糕的贸易资料公布之际,就已经引发了稳增长政策会否加码的猜想。中国大陆7月的出口额比去年同期仅仅增长了1%,进口增长4.7%,经季节调整后分别为1.6%和1.2%。

In July the bad trade information published,It has sparked steady growth policy will not guess pyramid.Mainland China on July exports than the same period last year increased by only 1%,Imports rose 4.7%,After adjusting the season were 1.6% and 1.2% respectively.

  这一出口的大幅减速发生在感恩节、圣诞节前夕的传统出口旺季,第三季的出口对中国大陆全年贸易额增速能否“保十”至关重要。

The export of greatly reduction happened in Thanksgiving/Christmas Eve traditional export season,The third season of exports to China trade growth throughout the year can"The ten"vital.

  根据大陆海关公布的资料,1-7月中国大陆鞋类出口总额达256.9亿美元,同比增长9.4%;玩具出口金额为56.04亿美元,同比增长6.82%;家具出口金额为271.77亿美元,同比增长28.1%;服装及衣着附件出口总额829.3亿美元,同比下降0.2%。

According to the mainland the data released by the customs,1 - July mainland China footwear exports totaled $25.69 billion,Year-on-year growth of 9.4%;Toy export amount of $5.604 billion,Year-on-year growth of 6.82%;Furniture export amount of $27.177 billion,Year-on-year growth of 28.1%;Garment and clothing accessories total export value of 82.93 billion dollars,0.2% year-on-year drop.

  前述商会人士说,虽然很多类别的商品出口额仍然维持个位数增长,但出口数量已经出现下降,近两三个月形势恶化更为明显。

The chamber of commerce activists say,Although many categories of merchandise exports still maintain single-digit growth,But the export quantity has been falling,Nearly two or three months situation is more obvious deterioration.

  纺织服装、制鞋、玩具、箱包以及家具是中国大陆劳动密集型产业的典型代表,以纺织服装为例,从上游棉花种植到下游加工制造整个产业链条上吸纳的就业就达到1亿人。

Textile clothing/shoemaking/toys/Bags and furniture is the Chinese mainland representative of labor-intensive industries,In textile and garment as an example,From upstream to downstream processing and manufacturing cotton planting the whole industry chain in the employment will reach 100 million.

  大陆上一次大幅调整出口退税率是在2008年金融危机全面爆发后,决策层大范围且大幅度上调了包括机电、纺织服装在内的多项商品的出口退税率。

The last time the mainland dramatic changes to the export tax rebate rate in 2008 after the outbreak of the financial crisis overall,A wide range of decision-making and greatly raised including mechanical and electrical/Textile and apparel, among many commodity export rebate rate.

  此次出口退税率上调的建议能否被决策层采纳,变量之一在于当前的财政状况。制造业以及房地产市场的整体低迷,使得各地财政普遍减收,财税系统称,当前的增值税税率为17%,但实际征收下来仅有12%-13%,而当前的出口退税率平均水平也就如此,退税再上调存在难度。

The export tax rebate rate raise Suggestions can be adopted decision-making,One of the variables in the current financial condition.Manufacturing and real estate market in the overall downturn,Make the financial common reduce,Finance and tax system says,The current value added tax rate is 17%,But the actual collection down only 12% - 13%,And the current export tax rebate rate average level is also so,Tax rebates to increase the difficulty of the existence.

  第一纺织网分析师汪前进说,初估纺织服装行业的退税率如果从16%上调至全额退税的17%,将增加行业利润100多亿元人民币,对缓解行业低迷的处境有一定帮助,但实际意义仍然有限。

The first textile network analyst wong forward said,Initial estimate of the textile and apparel industry if rebate rate from 16% to 17% of the increase in full tax refund,The industry's profits will increase more than 100 yuan RMB,To ease the industry downturn situation have certain help,But the actual meaning is still limited.

  商务部研究院院长霍建国说,出口退税的调整能够略微缓解出口企业当前压力,但是难以解决实际问题。他说,当前中国出口企业负担重,包括原材料成本、税负以及投资信贷环境糟糕等多重因素,“政府应该考虑有针对性地,从更大视野来考虑缓解企业压力,不仅仅只是在枝节上做修补。”

The ministry of commerce research institute President HuoJianGuo said,The adjustment of export tax rebate to alleviate the current pressure slightly export enterprises,But difficult to solve practical problems.He said,The current China's export enterprise a heavy burden,Including raw material cost/Tax and investment credit environment such as bad multiple factors,"The government should consider pertinently,In a large field of view to consider ease enterprise pressure,Not only in the side to repair."

  他提醒,要警惕中国大陆制造业因为成本压力竞争力逐渐削弱的现状,他说,今年上半年的数据已经显示,中国大陆商品在国际市场份额有缩减的迹象。

He reminded,Be alert for mainland China manufacturing cost pressure gradually weaken the present situation of the competitiveness,He said,In the first half of this year's data have shown,Mainland China commodity in the international market share has reduced signs.

  近期,体育用品巨头阿迪达斯也宣布将在今年10月关闭其在大陆的唯一直属工厂,这一位于苏州的工厂拥有160名工人。阿迪达斯在华的主要供货商表示,阿迪达斯在全球的订单整体都在缩减,其中大陆削减尤为明显。

recent,Sports goods giant adidas also announced in October in mainland China shut down its the only the affiliated factory,This is located in suzhou factory has 160 workers.Adidas in China says the main suppliers,Adidas in the global order integral shrinks,The mainland is particularly clear cut.



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