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预计明年2月份之前巴西大豆出口将急剧下滑--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-09-26

  据行业分析师称,在明年2月份新豆收获上市之前巴西可能不会出口大量的大豆巴西明年有望取代美国,成为全球最大的大豆出口国和生产国。

According to industry analysts say,In the next two months before the harvest of the new crop listed Brazil may not export a lot of soybean.Brazil is expected to replace the United States next year,As the world's largest soyabean exporters and producers.

  由于巴西雷亚尔汇率利好,大豆价格上涨,促使农户从今年3月份就开始积极向港口装运大豆,因而巴西已经出口了相当一部分的今年产大豆。不过未来几个月大豆出口急剧下滑,可能导致贸易顺差缩小。

The Brazilian real exchange rate bullish,Soybean prices,Prompted farmers from this year march began to actively to the port shipment soybean,So Brazil have exported a quite a part of soybean production this year.But the next few months soybean exports decline sharply,May lead to reduce the trade surplus.

  据巴西贸易部发布的最新数据显示,截止到9月初巴西已经出口了3000万吨大豆。

According to the Brazilian trade department released the latest data display,By early September Brazil has exported 30 million tons of soybeans.

  巴西油籽加工商协会Abiove本周预计本财年巴西大豆出口为3050万吨。

Brazil oilseeds processors association this week Abiove nasscom) Brazilian soybean exports for 30.5 million tons.

  Abiove主席FabioTrigueirinho称,在巴西,谷物出口工作基本上已经临近尾声。在明年新豆上市之前,巴西国内只有少量的大豆可供出口。

Abiove chairman FabioTrigueirinho says,In Brazil,Grain export work basically has near the end.In the next new beans before listing,The Brazilian domestic only a small amount of soybean available for export.

  南美大豆农户通常努力在美国新豆九月份上市之前出口大豆。即使如此,近几年来巴西即使在十月到一月期间还出口了一定数量的大豆。去年大豆丰产使得巴西有足够的大豆供应在2011年十月到2012年一月期间出口了570万吨大豆。

South American soybean farmers usually efforts in the United States in September before new bean listed export soybean.Even so,In recent years the Brazilian even in October to January period also exports a number of soybean.Last year the soybean fertility make Brazil have enough soybean supply in October 2011 to 2012 during the January exported 5.7 million tons of soybeans.

  但是今年年初天气干旱导致大豆产量降至6660万吨,远远低于潜力水平,也比2011年减少了11%。

But earlier this year due to drought weather soybean yield down to 66.6 million tons,Far below the level of potential,Is better than 11% down on 2011.



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