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进口矿价1个月反弹33%--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-10-12

  “矿价出现大涨是节后正常情况,你信不信明天就有可能往下跌?”昨日(10月11日),提及近来迅猛上扬的进口矿价格,有贸易商不以为然地向记者表示。

"Ore price rose is in after the normal situation,You believe tomorrow is likely to fall?"yesterday(On October 11,),The recent rapid rise to import ore price,Have traders disapprovingly told reporters.

  记者采访了解到,“双节”(中秋和国庆节)前后,铁矿石价格拉涨情绪高涨,已连续多日上涨。“我的钢铁”网数据显示,截至10月10日,61.5%澳洲PB粉价格报于117美元/吨,较9月29日上涨11美元/吨,比9月6日低点88美元/吨上涨33%。

Reporters learned,"Double festival"(Mid-Autumn festival and National Day)Before and after,Iron ore prices pull up in high spirits,Continuous days has been rising."My iron and steel"Network data display,As of October 10,,61.5% Australian PB powder price quote in us $117 / ton,On September 29, a rose $11 / tons,On September 6, low than $88 / ton rose 33%.

  尽管目前矿价涨势正酣,但实际成交和需求依然疲软。此外,对铁矿石价格有莫大(博客,微博)刺激作用的钢材市场已出现异动在连续两日的涨势后,钢价上涨的步伐出现迟疑。

Despite the current ore price rise well represented,But the actual transaction and demand is still weak.In addition,For iron ore price is great(blog,Micro bo)Stimulation of steel market has appeared different moving in two consecutive day after rise,Steel prices in the pace of hesitation.

  中钢协昨也在网站上发文称,进口铁矿石价格仍有较大下降空间,预计后期价格将波动下行。

Steel association yesterday also on the website outgoing mail said,The iron ore import prices still have greater room for reduction,Is expected late prices will wave descending.

  进口铁矿石价格反弹33%

The iron ore import prices rebound 33%

  世界矿商们的日子似乎正在好转。

The world ore traders day seems to be better.

  10月9日,普氏能源资讯(Platts)62%澳洲铁矿石价格指数大幅上涨,重新站上了120美元/吨。

On October 9,,Proctor energy information(Platts)62% Australia iron ore price index rose sharply,To stood at $120 / ton.

  就在此前的7、8月份,铁矿石市场还是一幅惨象:受国内钢材市场低迷拖累,铁矿石价格一路下跌,据“我的钢铁”网铁矿石价格指数,9月6日,61.5%澳洲PB粉价格指数创下了今年年内最低点88美元/吨。但仅过了1个月时间,截至10月10日,该指数反弹33%,达到117美元/吨。

In the previous seven/In August,Iron ore market or a picture of sight:By domestic steel market downturn drag,Iron ore prices all the way down,According to"My iron and steel"Net iron ore price index,On September 6,,61.5% Australian PB powder price index this year set a low of $88 / ton.But after only one month,As of October 10,,The index bounce 33%,Us $117 / ton.

  对此,行业人士分析,当前铁矿石价格上行较快,主要得益于下游钢材价格的强势反弹、发改委审批大量项目,以及国外经济体相继推行量化宽松政策等利好消息的刺激。

this,Industry analysts,The current iron ore prices rising fast,The main benefit from the downstream steel price bounce back/Development and reform commission (NDRC) a large number of project examination and approval,And foreign economies after implementation of the quantitative easing policy stimulation of the good news.

  与此同时,钢材价格也出现上涨。数据显示,9月初以来,钢材市场迎来了本年度最大的一波涨势,截至10月10日,各钢材品种普遍上涨了300元~500元/吨不等。10月11日,国内最大民营钢企沙钢出台10月中旬价格,上调了螺纹钢、高线、盘螺的出厂价格100元~150元/吨,沙钢就此已连续三旬全面上调建材价格,其中螺纹钢价格累计涨幅高达300元/吨。

meanwhile,Steel price also rose.Data display,Since early September,The steel market ushered in this year's biggest a wave of rise,As of October 10,,The common steel varieties up 300 yuan to 500 yuan/tons of inequality.On October 11,,The largest private steel enterprises on whom the middle of October price,Raised deformed steel bar/contour/Disc screw factory price 100 yuan to 150 yuan/ton,In whom has three consecutive ten-day comprehensive building materials prices rise,The rebar price accumulated rise as high as 300 yuan/ton.

  涨势难以为继?

Unsustainable rise?

  铁矿石行情一路向好,中钢协昨日却发布报告,泼来一盆冷水。

Iron ore market is going well all the way,But steel association yesterday released the report,Over to a pot of cold water.

  中钢协称,9月末,中国铁矿石价格指数(CIOPI)为364.56点,环比下降25.01点,降幅为6.42%,其中进口铁矿石价格指数环比下降7.42%。

Steel association says,At the end of September,China's iron ore price index(CIOPI)For 364.56 points,Link down 25.01 points,Decreased by 6.42%,The import iron ore price index link fell by 7.42%.

  对于后期铁矿石走势,中钢协认为,由于铁矿石供大于求局面没有根本改变,后期铁矿石价格将呈现波动下行走势。针对进口铁矿石,中钢协表示,前8月进口铁矿石同比多进口了3872万吨,同比增长8.7%,使国内铁矿石市场供大于求的态势更加明显。

Late for iron ore trend,Steel association think,Because there is no fundamental change iron ore supply exceeds demand situation,Late iron ore prices will present fluctuation descending trend.For imported iron ore,Steel association said,Before August import iron ore up many imported 38.72 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 8.7%,Make the domestic iron ore market supply exceeds demand trend is more obvious.

  百川资讯分析师闫萍也称,“节后钢市的强劲反弹带动铁矿石价格上涨,但当前的市场实际成交和需求有限。”

The travelling expenses relating to 闫萍 analysts also said,"Hong tian peng lujiazui after the strong rebound drive iron ore prices,But the current market actual transaction and limited demand."

  实际上,铁矿石下游的钢材价格已经出现异动:在连续两日的涨势之后,钢价上涨的步伐已经出现迟疑。

In fact,Iron ore downstream steel prices have appeared different dynamic:In the continuous two days after the rise,Steel price movement has appeared backwardness.

  据兰格钢铁信息研究中心监测数据显示,钢市的节后开门红现象仅仅维持了两天,在假期结束后的第三天钢价涨势就被迫终止。从10月10日起,各品种钢价多以稳为主,部分品种甚至出现了小幅的下跌,其中北京地区建筑钢材一日内连跌两次,跌幅在20元~70元/吨,截至11日,再次两连跌,跌幅在10元~40元/吨。

According to Lange steel information research center monitoring data shows,The phenomenon of a hong tian peng lujiazui festival only for two days,In the holiday after the end of the third day steel price rise is forced to terminate.From October 10 day,Each variety steel price in stability is given priority to,Partial variety appear even a modest fall,The Beijing area construction steel a days even fell twice,Fall in the 20 yuan to 70 yuan/ton,By 11,Two even fall again,Fall in 10 yuan ~ 40 yuan/ton.

  来自钢贸商方面的反馈是,钢材市场当前的基本面并没有太大的改变。

From steel trade business aspects of the feedback is,The current steel market fundamentals have not changed very much.

  中钢协数据显示,9月末中国钢材价格指数为102.45点,已经低于2009年的平均值103.19点,而进口铁矿石到岸价格仍高于2009年平均到岸价格。中钢协由此认为,进口铁矿石到岸价格仍有较大下降空间。

Steel association data display,Late September China steel price index for 102.45 points,Has less than 2009 years of average 103.19 points,And the iron ore import cif price is still higher than that of 2009 average cif price.Such as steel association,The iron ore import price C.I.F. still has large drop space.

  “钢价的下跌是节日期间、节后价格大幅上涨后的正常回落,不是所有的价格走势都需要有因素支撑的。”兰格钢铁网资讯总监马力分析称。

"Steel price decline is the holiday period/After the price rises considerably after the normal back,Not all the price trend all need to have factors of support."Lange steel net information director horsepower analysis says.



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