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9月出口改善或昙花一现--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-10-15

  虽然出口数据在9月份出现好转,但前三季度大幅弱于预期的状况似乎已经“无力回天”,全年“保十”几乎成为不可能完成的任务。

Although the export data in September appear better,But the third quarter significantly weaker than expected situation seems to have"No turning back",Throughout the year"The ten"Almost become a mission impossible.

  海关总署13日公布的数据显示,今年前三季度,我国进出口总值28424.7亿美元,比去年同期增长6.2%。其中,出口14953.9亿美元,增长7.4%;进口13470.8亿美元,增长4.8%。

The general administration of customs 13 figures showed,The first three quarters of this year,China import and export (GDP) of us $2.84247 trillion,Than last year the corresponding period grows 6.2%.the,Export $1.49539 trillion,Growth of 7.4%;Imported 1.34708 trillion us dollars,Growth of 4.8%.

  商务部人士对记者说,从目前的情况看,如果说今年四季度的外贸增速能够和去年维持一致,则全年外贸实现7%-7.5%的增长速度应该没有问题,“但实现10%比较困难,这意味着四季度要达到17%的增速,这个难度比较大。”

The ministry of commerce personage says to the reporter,From the present situation to see,If the fourth quarter of this year foreign trade growth last year and to maintain consistent,The foreign trade throughout the year to 7% - 7.5% of the growth rate should be no problem,"But realize 10% more difficult,This means that the fourth quarter to achieve 17% growth,The difficulty is big."

  在这样的判断下,一段时间来,商务部副部长高虎城、商务部新闻发言人沈丹阳、商务部副部长王超对全年目标是否能实现仅用了“争取实现”、“实现目标压力加大”,“尽最大的努力实现”等表述,一改上半年“有信心”的表述。而市场对“保十”的判断则是基本不可能实现。

In such a judgment,A period of time to,Vice-minister of commerce gao hucheng/Commerce ministry spokesman said ShenDanYang/Vice minister of commerce, wang chao for the target can be realized only if used"To actualize"/"Achieve the goal pressure increasing","Try our best to realize"Expression such as,A change in the first half of"Have the confidence"statement.And market to"The ten"Judgment is basic impossible.

  在拉动经济的“三驾马车”中,今年的投资和消费基本保持了平稳增长,据社科院课题组的预测,今年两者的名义增速虽然均有小幅下降,但实际增速可能较去年同期略有增加。相形之下,今年只有外贸会出现较为明显的下降,成为最明显的短板。

In the economy"troika"in,This year's investment and consumption basic maintained a steady growth,According to research academy of prediction,This year the nominal growth although all have fell slightly,But the actual growth may slightly increase compared to the same period last year.In contrast,This year only foreign trade will appear obvious decline,Become the most obvious short plate.

  据社科院报告预计,今年全年我国进口和出口增长率分别为6.0%和7.9%,增速比上年分别回落18.9和12.4个百分点。

According to the academy is expected to report,The year China import and export growth rate were 6.0% and 7.9% respectively,More than the previous year growth dropped 18.9 and 12.4% respectively.



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