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轮胎出口增长难掩隐忧--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-10-26
在国际市场低迷不振的大背景下,山东轮胎出口交出了一份看似不错的成绩单。来自青岛海关的统计数字显示,今年前3季度我省出口轮胎1.2亿条,同比增加16.4%;价值65.3亿美元,同比增长16.6%。但在这背后,更多、更严峻的挑战也接踵而至,轮胎出口形势仍然不容乐观。
In the international market downturn spot background,Shandong tire exports to surrender a seemingly good report.From Qingdao customs statistics show,In the first three quarters of this year in our province article 120 million export tire,Increased by 16.4% year-on-year;Value of $6.53 billion,Year-on-year growth of 16.6%.But in behind this,more/The more severe challenges also follow,Tire export situation is still not optimistic.
据了解,我省轮胎出口增长除有轮胎企业产能大幅增长的原因之外,还与美国轮胎“特保案”到期取消的预期对轮胎行业信心的提振有关。企业对美轮胎出口订单稳步增多,促使山东口岸轮胎出口量增长。
It is understood,Our province tire export growth except the tire enterprise productivity growth beyond reason,Also with the tire"Safeguard case"Cancellation due to tire industry is expected to boost the confidence.The enterprise to beauty tire export orders increased steadily,Shandong port to tire exports growth.
但值得注意的是,今年我省轮胎月度出口增速呈逐步减缓之势。其中,9月出口同比仅增加了9.1%,环比甚至出现2.7%的降幅。反观去年,我省轮胎出口增幅达到54.1%,今年前3季度16.4%的增幅其实已经大大降低。
But it is important to note that,In our province this year tire monthly export growth have been gradually slow down trend.the,September year-on-year exports only increased by 9.1%,Link appear even 2.7% decline.Last year in,Our province tire exports a compound annual growth rate of 54.1%,In the first three quarters of this year's 16.4% growth in fact has been greatly reduced.
尽管当前美轮胎“特保案”已到期,我国轮胎出口有望出现恢复性增长,但今年以来,哥伦比亚、泰国、巴西等多个国家接连提出反倾销调查并抬高进口门槛,对我国轮胎行业的生产和出口带大较大压力。
Although the current American tire"Safeguard case"expired,Our country tire exports is expected to be a restorative growth,But since this year,Columbia/Thailand/Brazil and other countries were on anti-dumping investigation and raise import threshold,To our tire industry production and export with a big high pressure.
雪上加霜的是,今年11月1日,欧盟的轮胎“标签法”也将开始实施,对进口轮胎的各项性能进行更严格的要求。但现实情况是,目前我国轿车胎的滚动阻力多为E、F级(“标签法”分为A-G 七个等级,A 代表性能最好,G代表性能最差),有30%达不到欧盟第一阶段滚动阻力的最低要求,70%达不到其第二阶段的最低要求。随着欧盟“标签法”的实施,我国相当多的轮胎产品恐将被拒在欧盟市场之外。
To add to the misery of,This year on November 1,,The eu's tire"Label method"Will also begin to carry out,To import the tyre performance is more strict requirements.But the reality is that,At present our country car tire rolling resistance for E/F grade("Label method"Divided into A - G Seven level,A Represent the best performance,G on behalf of the worst performance),Have 30% to less than the first stage of the minimum requirements of the rolling resistance,Less than 70% of the second phase of the minimum requirements.As the European Union"Label method"implementation,Our country quite a number of tyre products fear will be rejected in the eu markets.
不仅如此,目前国际市场天然橡胶价格已涨至2.4万元/吨的阶段高点,较8月份增幅达16%以上,炭黑价格近期亦大幅上涨,而同期轮胎价格却有所下降,导致我国轮胎企业的生产成本和经营压力骤然加大。
Not only that,The international market natural rubber price already rose to 24000 yuan/tons of stage high,A 16% increase in August,Black carbon price also rose sharply in the near future,Over the same period, the tire price has declined,To China's tire enterprise production cost and operating pressure ramping up.
值得一提的是,前3季度我省对拉丁美洲、非洲轮胎出口增速分别达到30%和32.1%,大大高于平均增速,显示出新兴市场的巨大潜力。鉴于此,我省轮胎企业在不断加大科技投入、提高出口产品附加值和竞争力的同时,还应进一步加大拓展新兴市场力度,增强抵御市场风险的能力。
Be worth what carry is,In the first 3 quarter in Latin America/African tire export growth was 30% and 32.1% respectively,Greatly prep above is average growth,Show the great potential of emerging markets.In view of this,Our province tire enterprises in the continuous increase investment in science and technology/Improve the extra value of the export products and competitive at the same time,Still should further intensify efforts to expand in emerging markets,Enhance the ability to resist market risk.
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