中日关系问题在波及日本整车企业在华的生产和销售之后，负面影响还在进一步深化和扩散。

Sino-japanese relations problem in affected Japan vehicle enterprises in China after the production and sales,Negative influence is still in further deepening and diffusion.

　　“目前，我们公司的业务已经受到了影响，接到的订单数量同比下滑20%左右，这主要是因为在华的日系车企业业务下滑所致。”一位不愿具名的日本在华合资零部件生产企业销售人员在表示时表示。

"At present,Our company's business has been affected,Received the order quantity 20% year-on-year decline,This is mainly because of the cars in China, business caused by decline."An anonymous Japanese joint venture in China spare parts manufacturing enterprise sales staff said in said.

　　“如果矛盾一直无法化解，未来不仅日本本土的汽车工业将受到巨大的打击，很可能中国的汽车产业链也将受挫。”中国社科院工业经济研究所工业发展室主任赵英预测。

"If conflict has been unable to resolve,The future is not only Japan's automobile industry will be huge blow,Probably China's auto industry chain will also be thwarted."By the Chinese academy of social sciences institute of industrial economy industrial development ZhaoYing leadership of the forecast.

　　长城汽车销售公司副总经理商玉贵表示：“目前中日矛盾对于汽车产业的影响还没有波及长城等自主品牌，但是不得不承认，目前长城诸多车型在动力系统上使用的部分零部件来自日本。”

The Great Wall automobile sales company deputy general manager ShangYuGui said:"At present the contradiction for the car industry has not spread to the influence of the independent brand Great Wall, etc,But had to admit,At present the Great Wall many models in power system using part of the parts from Japan."

　　如此看来，如果中日矛盾进一步恶化，中日汽车零部件贸易受到的影响将进一步升级，自主品牌也或将受到波及。不仅如此，由于日本汽车产业在华高度的本土化，“未来，这些企业上游的零部件企业和下游的服务性行业都将受到牵连。”有专家预测。

So it seems,If the contradiction further deterioration,Sino-japanese auto parts trade the impact will further upgrade,The independent brand is or will be affected.Not only that,Because the Japanese auto industry in China, the localization of height,"The future,These enterprises in the upper reaches of the parts enterprises and downstream of the service industry will be affected."Some experts predict.

　　日系零部件企业受损

Day system parts enterprise damaged

　　首先受到打击的是日本在华的整车制造企业。来自中国汽车工业协会的统计，9月日系车销量同比下降40.8%，日产、丰田和本田销量下滑最为明显。其中，丰田9月销量为44100辆，同比减少48.9%；日产为76100辆，同比减少35.3%；本田为33931辆，同比下降40.5%。

First hit is Japan vehicle manufacturing enterprises in China.From the China association of automobile manufacturers statistics,September day system car sales fell 40.8% year-on-year,nissan/Toyota and Honda sales most obvious decline.the,Toyota sales in the September 44100 vehicles,Reduced by 48.9% year-on-year;Nissan for 76100 cars,Reduced by 35.3% year-on-year;Honda car for 33931,40.5% year-on-year drop.

　　受到影响的不仅包括日本在华合资车企，日本本土汽车制造企业也受到不小的冲击。《日本经济新闻》了解称，根据日本8家主要汽车生产企业最新公布数据，9月日本汽车国内生产734341辆，同比减少12.2%。除富士重工外，日本其他车企产量均低于去年，其中丰田、日产、马自达产量分别同比减少12.2%、13.9%、20.9%。

Affected not only includes Japanese joint venture in China car enterprises,Japan automobile manufacture enterprise also is not a small impact.[The Japanese economic news]Understand says,According to Japanese 8 major automobile production enterprises newly released data,September Japanese auto domestic production of 734341 cars,Reduced by 12.2% year-on-year.In addition to the Fuji heavy industries,Japan's other car production enterprises are lower than last year,The Toyota/nissan/Mazda yield were reduced by 12.2% year-on-year/13.9%/20.9%.

　　进入10月，这种影响并没有减弱的势头，而是在进一步蔓延，甚至已经波及日系在华的零部件企业。

Into October,This kind of influence and no sign of momentum,But in the further spread,Has even affected day system in China parts enterprise.

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　　一位不愿具名的日本在华合资零部件生产企业销售人员在表示时表示，“我们公司主要是为丰田、本田等日系车企业提供一些内饰配件。目前我们公司的业务已经受到了影响，接到的订单数量同比下滑20%左右，从目前来看，这种情况似乎没有改善的迹象，到年底业务量很可能将继续下滑。”

An anonymous Japanese joint venture in China spare parts manufacturing enterprise sales staff said in said,"Our company is mainly for Toyota/Plot of Honda cars enterprise provide some interior accessories.At present our company's business has been affected,Received the order quantity 20% year-on-year decline,It seems,This kind of situation seems to have no signs of improvement,By the end of the year volume are likely to continue to fall."

　　其他不少日系在华的零部件生产商业务均受到不小的打击，小丝制作所是另一个代表。据了解，小丝制作所是日本大型车灯生产企业，很大一部分订单来自于丰田、本田等日系车企业。由于这些车企销量下滑，该公司广州工厂的产能已经减半，原定于2013年开工的新工厂增资增产计划也因此搁浅。

A lot of other day system in China business are component manufacturers by the blow,Small silk production is another representative.It is understood,Small silk production was Japanese large lamp production enterprise,A large part of the order from Toyota/Honda cars plot of enterprise.Because these car enterprise sales decline,The company guangzhou factory capacity has halved,In 2013, for the start of the new factory capital increase with our plans to increase production and therefore run aground.

　　自主品牌或受影响

The independent brand or affected

　　在日本汽车工业受到巨大打击的同时，和其有着较高依存度的中国自主品牌或许也很难独善其身。

At a time when Japanese auto industry are tremendous blow at the same time,And it has high dependence of Chinese independent brands may also difficult to possess.

　　“目前来看，中日矛盾对我们基本没有什么影响，我们和日本本土供应商，包括在华的日本供应商合作还非常顺畅。”商玉贵表示。

"So far,Sino-japanese contradiction to our basic does not have what effect,Us and Japan local suppliers,In China, including the Japanese suppliers also very smoothly."ShangYuGui said.

　　业内人士认为：“由于中日关系问题的影响具有一定的滞后性，目前还很难定论，毕竟中国对日本的零部件产业的依存度太高了。”

The personage inside course of study thinks:"Due to the problem of the relationship between the influence of certain hysteresis,There is difficult to discern,After all, China to Japanese parts industry dependence is too high."

　　“对于这一点我们必须承认”，商玉贵坦言，“虽然长城汽车多年来一直立志于自主研发，但是目前不少车型的动力系统依然来自于日本企业，甚至一些自主研发的设备的组件也是从日本进口的。”

"For this we must admit that",ShangYuGui said,"Although the Great Wall automobile over the years has been committed to independent research and development,But at present many models of power system still comes from Japan enterprise,Even some independent research and development equipment components is also import from Japan."

　　不仅长城，奇瑞、吉利、江淮甚至我国大型汽车集团的一些自主品牌在零配件方面均和“日本制造”有着千丝万缕的联系，这也就注定了多年来日本对华较高的汽车零部件出口数量。

Not only the Great Wall,chery/Giovanni cobolli gigli/In the large automobile group jianghuai even some of the independent brand in spare parts are and"Made in Japan"With the connection of countless ties,It also was doomed to China for many years Japan high auto parts export quantity.

　　根据2010年中国海关的统计数据显示，当年中国汽车零部件从日本进口额达到109亿美元，总进口额为273亿美元，占汽车零部件进口总额39.9%。从零部件分类来看，传动系统、制动系统、发动机零部件、转向系统零部件进口占中国2010年对应类别零部件进口金额比重的53.6%、45.9%、43.4%、40.6%、34.7%。广州2010年进口汽车零部件6.8亿美元，几乎都是来自日本。

According to the 2010 China's customs statistics show,The same year China auto parts imports from Japan to $10.9 billion,The total amount of imports for 27.3 billion dollars,Accounted for 39.9% of the total value of imported auto parts.From parts classification to see,Drive system/Braking system/Engine parts/Steering system components of China's imported 2010 corresponding category parts imports account for 53.6% of the proportion/45.9%/43.4%/40.6%/34.7%.Guangzhou 2010 imported auto parts 680 million dollars,Almost all came from Japan.

　　虽然随着日本零部件企业不断进入中国市场开展本地化生产，很多零部件已经不再需要进口，但是这些零部件企业的上游供应商依然有不少来自日本本土。

Although with Japanese parts enterprises will continue to enter the Chinese market localization in production,A lot of parts is no longer need to import,But these parts enterprise suppliers still have many from Japan.

　　以目前国内自主品牌使用较多的三菱发动机为例，“三菱在华已经有两个发动机生产基地，本土化率也已经达到90%以上，但是一些机型的部分零部件依然需要从日本进口。”三菱商事一位负责人称。

In the present domestic independent brands use more mitsubishi engine as an example,"Mitsubishi in China already has two engine production base,Localization rate has reached more than 90%,But some type of part components still need to import from Japan."Mitsubishi commercial a responsible person.

　　因此，如果中日矛盾一直无法化解，进一步影响到中日贸易，“不仅日本的汽车工业将受到巨大的打击，未来很可能中国的自主品牌也将受到牵连。”赵英预测。

therefore,If the conflict has been unable to resolve,Further affect the sino-japanese trade,"Not only Japan's automobile industry will be huge blow,The future is likely to China's independent brand will also be affected."ZhaoYing prediction.

　　有数据显示，9月日本出口中国的汽车零部件贸易已经开始下滑，其中日本对华出口零部件数量同比下滑19.8%，金额同比下滑17.5%。

Data show,September Japan exports to China auto parts trade has begun to decline,The Japan exports fell 19.8% compared to the number of component parts,Year-on-year decline amount 17.5%.

　　相关产业受牵连

Related industry influenced

　　这种影响，是否会逐步扩大至中国汽车业产业链？一位日系合资车企工作人员表示：“目前来看受到影响的还是日本的一些汽车企业和零部件供应商，可以预见，未来和这些企业相关的一些上游国内供应商，和下游销售和服务公司很可能受到牵连。”

This kind of influence,Whether it will gradually expand to the China automobile industry chain?A day is a joint venture car enterprise staff said:"So far affected or a Japanese some automobile enterprise and parts suppliers,Can foresee,The future and the related enterprise some upstream domestic suppliers,And downstream sales and service company is likely affected."

　　这位日系车企工作人员的预测并非没有道理。由于目前我国多数日系在华整车生产企业的国产化率已经达到了90%以上，国产化的零部件一部分来自于日系在华的零部件生产企业，还有相当一部分还是来自于国内本土的零部件供应商。在日系在华车企减产的同时，这部分本土的零部件供应商减产已经迫在眉睫。

The Japanese enterprises staff prediction is not without reason.Because most of our country at present, in China is the vehicle production enterprises of the localization rate has reached 90%,The parts of the localization of part from day system in China parts production enterprises,There are quite a few or from domestic local parts suppliers.In the day system in China production car enterprises at the same time,This part of the local parts production supplier is imminent.

　　一家为日系企业提供紧固件的国内供应商表示：“日本企业是我们最大的客户，由于它们减产，目前我们一方面被迫做出了相应的减产计划，另一方面也开始寻找自主品牌及德系和美系车企作为新的业务伙伴，以保证业务量。”

A were Japanese enterprises to provide fasteners of domestic suppliers said:"Japan enterprise is our biggest client,Because they cut,At present on one hand we are forced to make a corresponding reduction plan,On the other hand also began looking for the independent brand and DE system and system as a new car enterprises business partners,To ensure the traffic."

　　在上游零部件供应商受到影响的同时，下游的企业也感受到了寒意。汽车销售商庞大集团董事会秘书车少华表示：“由于我集团代理了斯巴鲁在华的批发、零配件供应等业务，虽然目前斯巴鲁品牌的维修和保养并没有因为零配件进口问题而拖延，目前的进口周期依然是45——60天左右，但是未来是否有影响还很难说。”

In the upstream parts suppliers affected at the same time,The downstream enterprise also feel the chill.Automobile dealer huge group CheShaoHua said the secretary of the board of directors:"Because of my group agent the subaru in China wholesale/Spare parts supply business,Although at present the subaru brand of repair and maintenance and no spare parts for imported problem and delay,Current import cycle is still 45, 60 days or so,But the future have influence is hard to say."

　　一家落户广州、主要为日系车企业服务的公关策划公司也因为日系车在华暂停了一切推广策划，业务受到不小的影响。该公司的一位工作人员表示：“我们公司最大的客户就是这家日本企业，在它暂停相关业务之后，我们的工作也处于闲置状态。在公司业务量减少的情况下，个人的年终奖金或许也会受到影响。”

A settled in guangzhou/Mainly for the Japanese enterprise service public relations planning company also because Japanese in China all suspended the promotion planning,Business is a lot of influence.The company's a staff said:"Our company's largest customer is the Japanese enterprise,In its suspended after related business,Our work is in the idle state.In the company's turnover reduced circumstances,Personal year-end bonus may also be affected."

　　不过，业内资深分析师贾新光表示：“业内人士也不必过于悲观，这种形势很快会有所好转，目前已经看到了这一迹象。”

but,The senior analysts JiaXinGuang said:"The personage inside course of study also need not too pessimistic,This situation will soon improve,Has been to see the signs."