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全球棉花贸易量因我国需求下滑或下跌21%中国需--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-11-08

  国际棉花咨询委员会(ICAC)表示,由于中国对于棉花的需求量有所下滑,当前季节全球棉花贸易量预计下跌21%,降至770万吨。但是ICAC又声称,除中国之外的其他国家对于棉花的进口量可能回弹18%。

International cotton advisory committee(ICAC)said,Because of China's demand for cotton slipped,The current season global cotton trade is expected to fall 21%,Down to 7.7 million tons.But the ICAC and claims,But China other countries for cotton imports may rebound 18%.

  据报道,国际棉花咨询委员会表示,整体而言,2012至2013财年全球棉花的市场供应量和使用量前景都比较惨淡。2012至2013财年全球棉花产量和纺织厂的使用量预计分别为2590万吨和2340万吨,这可能导致该财年全球的棉花供应量超过需求量,超出值将达240万吨。

According to the report,International cotton advisory committee said,overall,In fiscal year 2012 to 2013 global cotton market supply and use prospect are gloomy.In fiscal year 2012 to 2013 global cotton yield and the usage of the textile mill, respectively is expected to 25.9 million tons and 23.4 million tons,This can lead to this fiscal year global cotton supply over demand,Beyond value will reach 2.4 million tons.

  尽管2011至2012财年棉花的市场价格有显著下跌,但是当前季节全球棉花产量预计仅下跌5%。由于在棉花作物种植期间,棉花市场价格超过其平均价格,而且棉花主要生产国的一些政府对于棉花种植采取宽松的政策,加上良好的气候条件,全球棉花种植面积并没有大幅度减少。

Although 2011 to 2012 fiscal year of the cotton market prices fell significantly,But the current season global cotton output is expected to drop 5% only.Because the cotton crop growing period,The cotton market price more than the average price,The main producers and cotton some of the government for cotton planting take loose policy,With good weather conditions,Global cotton planting area and no are greatly reduced.

  受较低的棉花价格推动,2012至2013财年期间全球纺织厂的棉花使用量可能增加3%。然而,预计仍保持缓慢发展步伐的全球经济在一定程度上影响着纺织产品的零售采购价格。与此同时,中国国内发展疲软的纺纱行业也在一定范围内影响着全球纺织厂厂对于棉花的使用量。相对于中国除外的全球其他国家而言,当地较高的棉花价格打击着中国纺织厂的盈利能力。

By lower cotton prices push,In fiscal year 2012-2013 during the global textile mill cotton usage may be increased by 3%.however,Is expected to remain slow the pace of global economic development to a certain extent affect the textile products retail purchase price.meanwhile,China's domestic development weak spinning industry also within the scope of certain and affect the global textile ChangChang for cotton use.In China the relative except for other countries around the world,Local higher cotton prices hit China textile mill's profitability.

  据了解,2012至2013财年全球棉花库存量预计将创下新高,达1640万吨,相比上个季节,增长17%。而与上个季节相反,当前季节全球棉花大部分库存量的上涨是在不包括中国的情况下发生。当前纺织厂对于棉花的使用在地理位置层面正在从中国向其他亚洲国家转移,但是据预测,其实际的转移范围,由于相关数据支撑的棉花消费量数据有所滞后以及一些国家在获得这些数据方面可能遭遇困难等因素,将花费一些时间。

It is understood,In fiscal year 2012 to 2013 global cotton stocks are expected to hit a record high,Up to 16.4 million tons,Compared with last season,Growth of 17%.And last season instead,The current global cotton season most inventory costs are in not including China's circumstances occur.The current textile mill for cotton in the use of the geographical position level are from China to other Asian countries transfer,But it is predicted,The actual transfer range,Due to the related data support cotton consumption data has lag and some countries in get these data may encounter difficulties or other factors,It will take some time.

  中国棉纱线的进口量自2012年伊始就有显著增长。国际棉花咨询委员会主要负责人当前预测,印度、巴基斯坦、孟加拉国、乌兹别克斯坦、印度尼西亚、越南、泰国等国家,2012至2013财年纺织厂棉花的使用量将有所增长。

China's cotton yarn of imports from 2012 at the beginning there is significant growth.International cotton advisory committee main person in charge of the current prediction,India/Pakistan/Bangladesh/uzbekistan/Indonesia/Vietnam/Thailand and other countries,2012 to fiscal year 2013 textile mill cotton usage will be increased.



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