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出口连续3个月回升复苏势头进一步确认--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-11-12
海关总署10日发布的数据显示,10月份,我国外贸出口增长11.6%,增速比9月份回升1.7个百分点。这是8月份以来,我国外贸出口连续第3个月出现增速回升。对此,分析师指出,出口增速重返两位数说明,随着欧美经济的企稳,中国外贸出口的外部环境正向好的方向发展。
Promulgated by the general administration of customs and the data display,In October,Our country foreign trade export growth of 11.6%,Growth than September picks up 1.7%.This is since August,Our country foreign trade export for the third consecutive month appear growth picks up.this,Analysts pointed out that,Export growth to return to the two digits description,With Europe and the United States economy stabilises,China's foreign trade export of external environment forward good direction.
数据显示,10月份,我国进出口总值为3191.5亿美元,增长7.3%。其中,出口1755.7亿美元,增长11.6%;进口1435.8亿美元,增长2.4%。10月份我国外贸进出口总值同比增速比9月份回升1个百分点,其中出口回升1.7个百分点,进口增速与9月份持平。当月贸易顺差319.9亿美元。
Data display,In October,China import and export value is 319.15 billion dollars,Growth of 7.3%.the,Export $175.57 billion,Growth of 11.6%;Imported 143.58 billion us dollars,Growth of 2.4%.In October, China's foreign trade import and export value year-on-year growth than the 1% rally in September,The export picks up 1.7%,Import growth and flat in September.The trade surplus of $31.99 billion.
海关统计,1至10月份,我国进出口总值31615.7亿美元,比去年同期增长6.3%。其中,出口16709亿美元,增长7.8%;进口14906.7亿美元,增长4.6%;贸易顺差1802.3亿美元。
Customs statistics,1 to October,China import and export (GDP) of us $3.16157 trillion,Than last year the corresponding period grows 6.3%.the,Export $1.6709 trillion,Growth of 7.8%;Imported 1.49067 trillion us dollars,Growth of 4.6%;The trade surplus of $180.23 billion.
对于出口数据的回暖,西南证券(600369)首席经济学家王剑辉表示,10月份外贸出口能回升到10%以上,显示出前期国内的适度宽松政策和促进出口的一些政策已经发挥作用,尽管广交会显示出的外贸数据并不是很乐观,但今年四季度和明年一季度出口复苏的势头还是得到进一步确认。
For export data milder,Southwest securities(600369)Chief economist WangJianHui said,In October, foreign trade export can back up to more than 10%,Show the domestic moderately loose policy and the promotion of exports of some policies have play a role,Although the China export commodities fair shows that foreign trade data and not very optimistic,But this year the fourth quarter and first quarter of next year the export recovery momentum or further confirmation.
日信证券宏观经济分析师陈乐天则认为,10月份出口增速大幅回升,好于市场预期,既有西方国家圣诞礼单的季节驱动,也有去年的基数效应。而后者对增速回升贡献较大,随着11、12月份基数效应大幅下降,出口增速将回落。
Day letter securities macroeconomic analysts argue that ChenLeTian,In October, export growth rebounded sharply,Better than market expectations,Both western countries perhaps Christmas season drive,Also last year's base effect.While the latter to growth picks up a significant contribution,With 11/December base effect to drop considerably,Export growth will fall.
尽管近两个月出口增速有所回升,但进口增速依然处于低速增长态势。对此,分析师认为,这是国内需求不振所致。华创证券研究所副所长华中炜指出,10月份进口数据不是太理想,印证了中国内需启动还处在底部阶段,经济回稳的态势仍然较弱。他认为,由于进口与经济发展的上游领域关系密切,从而对经济增速形成负面影响。
Although nearly two months export growth have rebounded,But imports are still in low speed growth situation.this,Analysts believe,This is caused by the domestic demand spot.China securities and deputy director of the institute Hui pointed out that central China,October import data is not too ideal,Confirm the Chinese domestic demand is still at the starting stage at the bottom,Economic bounce back situation is still weak.He thinks,As the imported and economic development of the relationship between the upstream areas closely,And the economic growth form negative effects.
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