化肥出口关税政策明年可能调整。有关部门正征求意见，最终方案尚未定稿，但相关政策在今年基础上适度放松概率较大。

Fertilizer export tariff policy next year may adjust.Relevant departments are now seek advice,Final project has not yet been finalized,But the relevant policies based on this year in moderate relaxation greater probability.

　　分析人士认为，如化肥出口关税政策放松，出口占比较高的相关化肥板块上市公司有望受益。关于最终可能出台的化肥出口关税政策，市场预期有多个版本：一是淡季出口关税税率适度下调；二是淡季窗口期适度延长；三是政策进行较大幅度放松。

Analysts believe that,Such as chemical fertilizer export tariff policy to relax,The export of higher related chemical fertilizer plate listed company is expected to benefit.About could eventually on the introduction of the chemical fertilizer export tariff policy,The market is expected to have more than one version:One is the off-season export tariff rate moderate cut;The second is off-season window period moderate extension;The third is a policy greatly relaxed.

　　今年以来化肥出口形势比较严峻，导致国内市场竞争加剧、企业盈利水平下降，有关部门已注意到化肥行业面临的实际困难。化肥行业需通过出口缓解产能过剩压力。但是，控制种植成本、保障国内化肥供应是行业主管部门重要政策目标，因此，对化肥在旺季出口要征收高额关税。明年化肥出口关税政策应在保障国内价格和供应平衡前提下，尽可能满足企业利益诉求，但总体框架不会有大变动。预计淡季出口关税税率适度降低较为可行，可能会由7%降到2%。

Since this year fertilizer export situation is severe,Lead to the domestic market competition/Corporate profits decline,The relevant departments have noted that the chemical fertilizer industry, faced with the practical difficulties.Fertilizer industry should be through the export relieve excess capacity pressure.but,Control planting cost/Insure domestic chemical fertilizer supply is the competent trade authorities important policy goals,therefore,In the season of fertilizer export to impose high tariffs.Next year fertilizer export tariff policy should be in guarantee domestic price and supply balance premise,As far as possible to meet enterprise interest demand,But overall frame won't have big changes.Off-season export tariff rate is expected to moderate to reduce more feasible,May from 7% to 2%.

　　数据显示，前三季度，我国化肥产量为5732万吨，同比增长13.7%；出口1075万吨，同比下降11.7%。分产品看，尿素出口260万吨，同比上升36.2%；磷酸二铵出口270万吨，同比下降6.3%；磷酸一铵出口38万吨，同比下降51.2%。

Data display,The first three quarters,Our country chemical fertilizer production for 57.32 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 13.7%;Export 10.75 million tons,11.7% year-on-year drop.Points products look,Urea export 2.6 million tons,Up 36.2%;Dap export 2.7 million tons,6.3% year-on-year drop;Monoammonium phosphate export 380000 tons,51.2% year-on-year drop.