1、临近欧美国家传统节日，劳动密集型产品出口形势改善带动我国出口增速进一步回升。今年以来的情况显示，我国出口商品中，机电和高新技术产品出口相对稳定，除极个别月份，这两类商品出口增速基本能维持正增长。而劳动密集型产品增速高低与当月出口增速波动更为紧密。换言之，若当月出口增速较高，则劳动密集型产品在该月的出口形势也不错。从 10月数据看，玩具增速 13.5%，鞋类增速 21.2%，服装增速 20.5%，而箱包出口也摆脱了此前两个月的负增长局面。另外，人民币汇率升值速度从 10 月起显著提速，出口企业为了避免利润空间因汇兑损益而缩小，可能会加快生产和报关进度，从而推高 10 月出口增速。总之，受西方国家节日需要的影响，我国出口形势持续改善。

1/Near the European and American countries traditional festivals,Labor-intensive products export situation improve drive our export growth further back.Since this year's show,In our country export commodities,Mechanical and electrical and new high-tech product export relative stability,Except in rare,These two types of merchandise export growth basic can maintain positive growth.While labor-intensive growth height and the export growth fluctuation more closely.In other words,If the higher export growth,In the month is labor-intensive products export situation is good.from October data to see,Toy growth 13.5%,Footwear growth 21.2%,Clothing growth 20.5%,And bags exports also get rid of the previous two months of negative growth situation.In addition,The exchange rate for the renminbi revaluation speed from 10 Month speed significantly,Export enterprise in order to avoid profit space for exchange gains and losses and narrow,May speed up the production schedule and customs,So as to push the high 10 Month export growth.In a word,Influenced by the western national holiday need to influence,Our export situation continued to improve.

　　2、进口增速低位徘徊，一般贸易进口增速持续负增长。10月进口增速与 9月持平，但一般贸易进口增速由上月-5.3%滑落至-6.4%。进口增速的持续低迷当然与全球需求不振，大宗商品价格偏低有关，但更主要的还是内需低迷造成的。这一点主要体现在一般贸易进口增速的持续负增长，反例则是受外需改善影响，9、10月加工贸易进口增速持续恢复。

2/Imports low wandering,General trade imports continued negative growth.October with imports September as,But general trade imports last month - 5.3% by slid to 6.4%.Imports of course and sustained downturn of global demand,Low commodity prices relevant,But more important, or domestic demand caused by the downturn.This is mainly embodied in the general trade imports of continuous negative growth,Counterexample is now by improving influence,9/October processing trade import growth sustained recovery.

　　3、对于顺差，我们认为全球需求不振引起大宗商品价格的下跌，从而使得我国贸易条件改善，故贸易盈余规模的进一步扩大则是意料之中，尤其是在当前在出口增速快于进口增速的情况下。而从贸易顺差的季节性看，我国下半月贸易盈余规模普遍高于上半年， 本月贸易盈余达 319.92 亿美元是金融危机之后的最高值。自 6月以来，我国贸易顺差规模持续放大，其对人民币汇率走势、对外贸企业结售汇行为的影响是值得我们关注的。

3/For the surplus,We believe that global demand caused by spot commodity prices fall,So that our country's trade conditions improve,The trade surplus scale further expansion is expected,Especially in the current in export growth faster than imports under the condition of growth.And from a trade surplus seasonal look,Second in China trade surplus in the first half of the scale of general prep above, The trade surplus of this month 319.92 $after the financial crisis is high.since Since June of,Our country's trade surplus scale continuous amplification,The RMB exchange rate movements/On foreign trade enterprise writtens guarantee behavior of the influence is worthy of our attention.

　　4、出口伙伴方面，10月对东盟出口显著增长，增速高达 44.8%，而将日韩东盟合计计算的话，对东亚区域内贸易伙伴的出口增速约为 20%，对区域内贸易伙伴的出口占比已超过 20%。这些数据显示，区域内贸易在我国出口中的地位进一步提高，发展区域内贸易对稳定出口局面有着重要的意义。

4/Export partners in,October to the export growth significantly,Growth up to 44.8%,Japan and South Korea and asean aggregate calculation words,On east Asian area trade partners about export growth 20%,Within the area of trade partners than exports more than 20%.These data show,Area in our country the status of trade export to further improve,In the development of regional trade on stable export situation has important significance.